English  |  正體中文  |  简体中文  |  Post-Print筆數 : 27 |  Items with full text/Total items : 113656/144643 (79%)
Visitors : 51733135      Online Users : 587
RC Version 6.0 © Powered By DSPACE, MIT. Enhanced by NTU Library IR team.
Scope Tips:
  • please add "double quotation mark" for query phrases to get precise results
  • please goto advance search for comprehansive author search
  • Adv. Search
    HomeLoginUploadHelpAboutAdminister Goto mobile version
    政大機構典藏 > 商學院 > 金融學系 > 學位論文 >  Item 140.119/94769
    Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: https://nccur.lib.nccu.edu.tw/handle/140.119/94769


    Title: 兩岸經濟依賴程度之實證研究
    Authors: 劉昶妤
    Contributors: 朱浩民
    劉昶妤
    Keywords: 經濟依賴程度
    兩岸經貿
    貿易順差
    新台幣匯率
    失業率
    Date: 2009
    Issue Date: 2016-05-09 11:50:17 (UTC+8)
    Abstract: 隨著中國大陸經濟的迅速地成長,兩岸經貿往來日益頻繁,台商赴大陸投資不斷增加,台灣經濟發展是否過度依賴中國大陸,乃成為大家關注的問題。本研究使用1998年第一季至2008年第四季之資料,對兩岸經貿重要議題進行實證分析,範圍包括:台灣對中國的貿易是否影響台灣之經濟成長率、台商赴大陸之大量投資是否造成本地失業率之惡化以及兩岸貿易是否顯著影響新台幣兌美元匯率。實證結果發現,在樣本期間,台灣對大陸之進出口貿易確實顯著影響台灣之經濟成長率;台商外移至大陸,也使得國內失業人口增加;而兩岸之間的貿易往來對新台幣匯率的影響則不顯著。因此未來兩岸經貿之互動,將影響台灣經濟之未來發展前景,政府在做兩岸決策時,必須謹慎從事,趨吉避凶,才能消弭社會的疑慮,並促進台灣經濟的健全發展。
    Reference: 1.方文碩、賴奕豪 (2000),「匯率風險對出口貿易之衝擊」,台灣金融財務季刊,第一輯第二期,83-101。
    2.王宣惠 (2004),我國匯率、資本與總體經濟指標關係之研究,朝陽科技大學財務金融學系碩士論文。
    3.林祖嘉 (2004),「台灣經濟發展與兩岸經貿依存度之研究」, 大選後兩岸經貿事務研討--二之一。
    4._______(2006),「1987年以來兩岸貿易與投資環境的變遷與發展」, 財團法人國家政策研究基金會-科經(研)095028號。
    5.林明旻 (2003),實質匯率變動對產出之影響---以台灣、南韓為例,國立成功大學政治經濟學系碩士論文。
    6.林孟鋒 (2002),影響台灣出口之相關總體經濟變數,國立台北大學經濟學系碩士論文。
    7.杜震華 (2003),「出口依賴中國大陸會讓台灣邊緣化嗎?」,國家發展研究,第三卷第一期,37-71。
    8.李秋瑤 (1999),台灣與主要貿易國家貿易收支之實證研究,國立台北大學經濟學系碩士論文。
    9.吳瑟致 (2005),「中國大陸經濟崛起與台灣因應策略之研究」,第十三屆新生代論文發表會。
    10.楊奕農 (2005),時間序列分析:經濟與財務上之應用,台北:雙葉書廊。
    11.廖先昱 (2001),匯率不確定性與經濟成長,國立台北大學經濟學系碩士論文。
    12.蔡筱筠 (2006),匯率升貶與進出口的關聯,國立東華大學碩士國際經濟學系碩士論文。
    13.蔡美珠 (2003),匯率與資本移動長期關係之研究及短期衝擊效應---台灣實證分析,東吳大學經濟學系碩士論文。
    14.魏毓廷 (2007),人民幣匯率變動對中國總體經濟影響之政經分析,國立成功大學政治經濟學學系碩士論文。
    15.Bacchetta Philippe and Eric van. Wincoop (2000),“ Does Exchange-Rate Stability Increase Trade and Welfare?,“ The American Economic Review, vol. 90, No. 5, pp. 1093-1109.
    16.Brada C. Josef and Jose A. Mendez (1985),“ Economic Integration among Developed, Developing and Centrally Planned Economies: A Comparative Analysis,“ The Review of Economics and Statistics, vol.67, No.4, pp.549-556.
    17.Chowdhury R. Abdur (1993),“ Does Exchange Rate Volatility Depress Trade Flows? Evidence from Error- Correction Models,“ The Review of Economics and Statistics, vol. 75, No. 4, pp. 700-706.
    18.Darby Julia, Hallett Andrew, Ireland Jonathan and Laura Piscitelli (1999) ,“ The Impact of Exchange Rate Uncertainty on the Level of Investment,“ The Economic Journal, vol. 109, No. 454, pp.C55-C67.
    19.Dewenter L. Kathryn (1995), “Do Exchange Rate Changes Drive Foreign Direct Investment?,“ The Journal of Business, vol. 68, No. 3, pp.405-433.
    20.Dobson Wendy (2001),“Regional Institutions and the International Economic System: Deeper Integration in East Asia,“ Blackwell Publishing, vol. 24(8), pp. 995-1018.
    21.Goldberg S. Linda and Charles D. Kolstad (1995),“ Foreign Direct Investment, Exchange Rate Variability and Demand Uncertainty, ” International Economic Review, vol. 36, No. 4, pp.855-873.
    22.Howe Christopher (2001),“ Taiwan in the 20th Century: Model or Victim? Development Problems in a Small Asian Economy,“ The China Quarterly, No.165, pp.37-60.
    23.MacBean I. and T. Nguyen (1981),“ Commodity Concentration
    and Export Earnings Instability: A Reply,“ The Economic Journal, vol.91, No.363, pp.758.
    24.Massell F. Benton (1964),“ Export Concentration and Fluctuations in Export Earnings: A Cross-Section Analysis,“ The American Economic Review, vol.54, No.2, Part 1, pp.47-63.
    25.Mendoza G. Enrique (1995),“ The Terms of Trade, the Real Exchange Rate and Economic Fluctuation,“ International Economic Review, vol. 36, No. 1, pp.101-137.
    26.Sung Hongmo and Harvey E. Lapan (2000), “ Strategic Foreign Direct Investment and Exchange-Rate Uncertainty,“ International Economic Review, vol. 41, NO. 2, pp.411-423.
    27.Turner E. R and P. Lambert (1981), “Commodity Concentration and Export Earnings Instability: A Comment,“ The Economic Journal, vol.91, No. 363, pp.755-757.
    28.Wong John and Sarah Chan (2003),“ China-Asean Free Trade Agreement: Shaping Future Economic Relations,“ Asian Survey (Published by University of California Press), vol.43, No.3, pp.507-526.
    Description: 碩士
    國立政治大學
    金融研究所
    96352014
    Source URI: http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G0096352014
    Data Type: thesis
    Appears in Collections:[金融學系] 學位論文

    Files in This Item:

    File SizeFormat
    index.html0KbHTML2236View/Open


    All items in 政大典藏 are protected by copyright, with all rights reserved.


    社群 sharing

    著作權政策宣告 Copyright Announcement
    1.本網站之數位內容為國立政治大學所收錄之機構典藏,無償提供學術研究與公眾教育等公益性使用,惟仍請適度,合理使用本網站之內容,以尊重著作權人之權益。商業上之利用,則請先取得著作權人之授權。
    The digital content of this website is part of National Chengchi University Institutional Repository. It provides free access to academic research and public education for non-commercial use. Please utilize it in a proper and reasonable manner and respect the rights of copyright owners. For commercial use, please obtain authorization from the copyright owner in advance.

    2.本網站之製作,已盡力防止侵害著作權人之權益,如仍發現本網站之數位內容有侵害著作權人權益情事者,請權利人通知本網站維護人員(nccur@nccu.edu.tw),維護人員將立即採取移除該數位著作等補救措施。
    NCCU Institutional Repository is made to protect the interests of copyright owners. If you believe that any material on the website infringes copyright, please contact our staff(nccur@nccu.edu.tw). We will remove the work from the repository and investigate your claim.
    DSpace Software Copyright © 2002-2004  MIT &  Hewlett-Packard  /   Enhanced by   NTU Library IR team Copyright ©   - Feedback