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    Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: https://nccur.lib.nccu.edu.tw/handle/140.119/93767


    Title: 簡單逢機抽樣之貝氏推算
    Authors: 傅仁忠
    Contributors: 魏應澤
    傅仁忠
    Keywords: 簡單逢機抽樣
    貝氏推算
    Date: 1972
    Issue Date: 2016-05-06 14:09:40 (UTC+8)
    Abstract: 統計學或其他科學,在事前情報如事前機率分佈能預先知悉下,以貝氏方法加以分析。輒可獲得較為圓滿的結論。新近許多學者對它特感興趣,是故此法最近幾年中,在理論與實際應用方面均獲有迅速的發展。鑑於貝氏法於抽樣推算上,以往鮮有學者作有系統的闡述,爰特試撰「簡單逢機抽樣之貝氏推算」一文,期能對其理論加以說明,並望能藉此以推廣我國的統計分析工作。
    本文共分四章。第一章緒論,除說明貝氏法近年廣被研究的範疇外,並介紹貝氏事後機率定理。事前及事後機率密度與應用貝氏方法時一般常用的損失函數,俾作以後各章分析之基礎。第二章闡述貝氏推算,首先介紹貝氏直接推算法,繼再敘述貝氏比率推算法,文中引述了許多定理及實例,期以深入淺出的方式,對貝氏推算作有系統的說明。第三章將貝氏推算與傳統的推算互作比較,比較的方式除文辭與數理併述外,並且引述理論與應用之證明。最後一章對貝氏推算加以檢討,同時指出貝氏法欲加以推廣應用所需解決的問題。
    撰者才疏學淺,舛誤之處,敬祈指正,無任感禱。
    Description: 碩士
    國立政治大學
    統計學系
    Source URI: http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#B2002009080
    Data Type: thesis
    Appears in Collections:[Department of Statistics] Theses

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