English  |  正體中文  |  简体中文  |  Post-Print筆數 : 27 |  Items with full text/Total items : 113656/144643 (79%)
Visitors : 51764303      Online Users : 531
RC Version 6.0 © Powered By DSPACE, MIT. Enhanced by NTU Library IR team.
Scope Tips:
  • please add "double quotation mark" for query phrases to get precise results
  • please goto advance search for comprehansive author search
  • Adv. Search
    HomeLoginUploadHelpAboutAdminister Goto mobile version
    政大機構典藏 > 商學院 > 統計學系 > 學位論文 >  Item 140.119/90501
    Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: https://nccur.lib.nccu.edu.tw/handle/140.119/90501


    Title: 整合統計模式與專家系統之研究
    Integrating Statistical Models and Expert Systems
    Authors: 黃建芬
    Contributors: 余千智
    黃建芬
    Date: 1989
    Issue Date: 2016-05-04 14:24:21 (UTC+8)
    Abstract: 摘要
    近年來隨著統計分析的日受重視,統計套裝軟體之使用率普遍提昇;而現今一般統計套裝軟體,除可提供良好的數值處理功能與便於使用的優點外,對於使用者有二基本假設:(1)熟悉系統操作與程式設計, (2)可正確使用統計方法。故易造成一般非統計專業人員之使用者的誤用與不便。
    本文係引進專家系統之推理、解釋等統計專家知識,與決策支援系統之數量分析、資料粹取管理功能等,實際與統計套裝軟體整合,建構一統計專家系統,以改善統計套裝軟體之缺點,並增加系統之使用者親和性。
    文中首先將過去統計專家系統之相關研究文獻,做一分類回顧與探討;並提出一整合性統計專家系統的觀念、架構,其中設計重點有二:
    (1)統計知識之模組化層次設計:配合統計知識結構與統計分析特性,將統計知識採塊狀模組化層次設計,實際解決統計系統與專家系統之知識整合。
    (2)執行程序庫之設計:控制專家系統與統計軟體系統間之資訊傳遞,實際處理統計系統與專家系統之軟體整合。
    為擴增系統使用層面,此架構又具二功能之子系統:
    (1)統計諮詢系統:利用統計知識庫,提供非統計專業人員一完整之統計問題諮詢;含適當統計模式的選取、分析及分析結果解釋等。
    (2) 統計決策支援系統:提供統計專業人員一親和性之統計決策支援環境;使用者無需統計知識庫的協助,直接進入系統,選取所需統計模式進行分析。
    整合性統計專家系統強調其對各種軟體具有包容性及擴展性;為驗證其可行性,特引用現有軟體,依此觀念架構建立一原型系統,並分別以多元直線迴歸與多項式迴歸二例,代入系統實際執行,以觀察其運作流程。
    Reference: 參考文獻
    (一)中文部份
    [1] 杜修文,碩士論文:"整合性決策支援系統產生器概念架構與運作過程,"國立臺灣技術學院技術工業管理組. 1987.
    [2] 孫家麟,『專家系統之理論與程式設計』.松崗. 1987年12月
    [3] 陳禹辰、歐陽崇榮 ,『決策支援與專家系統』.全華. 1988年2月
    [4] 陳彰文,碩士論文:"知識型決策支援系統的概念架構及運作過程."國立臺灣技街學院技術工業管理組. 1988.
    [5] 黃俊英,『多變量分析』.第三版,華泰. 1988年2月
    [6] 曾國雄,『多變量解析與其應用』.第二版,華泰. 1985年8月
    [7] 顏月珠,『應用數理統計學』.第二版,三民. 1985年9月

    (一)英文部份
    [8] Allred. L.J., and Green. B.F. (1986) "Languages for User-friendly Statistical Packages." in Computer Science and Statistics: Proceedings of the 18th Symposium on the Interface. Allen. D.M. (ed.). Springer-Verlag. 37-38.
    [9] Altman. N. S. (1985) "Expert Systems and Statistical Expertise. Part I : Statistical Expert Systems." 1985(5). Stanford Univ.,NTIS AD-A 159 503.
    [10] Baines. A ., Clithero. D.T ., Leeds.(1986) "Interactive User-friendly Package for Design and Analysis of Experiments." in Proceedings COMPSTAT 86. Antoni. F.D., Lauro. N.,and Rizzi. A.(ed.). Physica-Verlag. 320-325.
    [11] Blum. R.L. (1982) Discovery and representation of causal relationships from a large timeoriented clinical database: The RX project. New York: Springer-Verlag.
    [12] Bowerman. B.L ., O`Connell. R.T. and Dickey. D.A. (1986) Linear Statistical Models An Applied Approach. Duxbury Press. Boston.
    [13] Carlsen. F ., and Bergen. B. (1986) "EXPRESS –An Expert System Utilizing Standard Statistical Packages.- in Proceeding COMPSTAT 86. Antoni. F.D ., Lauro. N ., and Rizzi. A. (ed.). Physica Verlag. 265-270.
    [14] Chambers. J.M. (1981) "Some Thoughts on Expert Software." in Computer Science and Statistics Processings of the 13th Symposium on the Interface. Eddy. W.F. (ed.. Springer-Verlag. 36-40.
    [15] Chambers. J.M., Pregibon. D ., and Zayas. E.R. (1981) "Expert software for Data Analysis-An Initial Experiment." in Proceedings of the 43rd Session of the I.S.I XLIX. Buenos Aires. 279-297.
    [16] Chou. Y.L.(1975) Statistical Analysis. Reading, Holt. Rinehart and Winston. N.Y ., 3-9.
    [17] Churchill. G.J. (1979) Marketing Research: Methodological Foundations(2nd ed.), Dryden Press. p. 215.
    [18] Dambroise. E ., and Montpellier. P.M. (1986)" MUSE: An Expert System in Statistics." in Proceeding COMPSIAI 86. Antoni. F.D ., Lauro.N ., and Rizzi. A. (ed.). Physica-Verlag. 271-276.
    [19] Deogun. J.S. (1988) "A Conceptual Approach to Decision Support System Models." Information Processing & Management. Vol. 24. No.4. 429-448.
    [20] Gale. W.A. (1984) "Overview of Artificial Intelligence and Statistics." in Artificial Intelligence and Statistics. Reading. Addison Wesley. 1-16.
    [21] Gale. W.A. (1984) NREX Review." in Artificial Intelligence and Statistics,Reading. Addison Wesley. 1-16.
    [22] Gale. W.A ., and Lubinsky. D.J. (1986) VA Comparison of Regressions for Statistical Strategies." Proceedings of the A.S.A Statistical Computing Section. 88-96.
    [23] Gale. W.A ., and Pregibon. D. (1982) "An Expert System for Regression analysis." in Computer Science and Statistics: Proceedings of the 14th on the Interface. Heiner. Scher. and Wilkinson (eds.). New York. Springer-Verlag. 110-117.
    [24] Gale. W.A ., And Pregibon. D. (1983) "REX: An Expert System for Regression Analysis." in Proceedings COMPSTAT 84. Prague. Czechoslovakia. 242-248.
    [25] Gale. W.A ., And Pregibon. D. (1984) "Artificial Intelligence Research in Statistics." The AI Magazine. Vol. 5. No.4. 72-75.
    [26] Haaland. P.D ., Yen. D ., and Liddle. R.F. (1985) "An Expert System for Experiment Design." Proceedings of the A.S.A: Statistical Computing Section. 78-87.
    [27] Haaland. P.D ., Yen. D ., and Liddle. R.F. (1986) "An Expert System for the Design of Screening Experiment." Proceedings of the A.S.A Statistical Computing Section. 223-228.
    [28] Hahn. G.J. (1985) "More Intelligent Statistical Software and Statistical Expert Systems: Future Directions." The American Statistician. 33. 351-369.
    [29] Hair. J.F.J ., Anderson. R.E ., Tatham. R.L ., and Grablowsky. B.J. (1979) Multivariate Data Analysis. Reading. Macmillan.
    [30] Hand. D.J. (1984) "Statistical Expert Systems : Design." The Statistician. 33. 351-369.
    [31] Hand. D.J. (1984) "Patterns in Statistical Strategy." in Artificial Intelligence and Statistics. Reading. Addison Wesley. 355-387.
    [32] Hand. D.J. (1985) "Statistical Expert Systems Necessary Attributes." Journal of Applied Statistics. 12. 19-27.
    [33] Hayes-Roth. F ., Waterman. D.A ., and Lenat. D.B. (1983) "An Expert Overview of Expert Systems." in Building Expert Systems. Reading. Addison Wesley. 3-29.
    [34] Heverlee. P.L.D. (1986) "Building Expert Systems with the Help of Existing Statistical Software: An Example." in Proceeding COMPSTAT 86. Antoni.F.D ., Lauro.N ., and Rizzi.A. (ed.). Physica-Verlag. 277-282.
    [35] Holsapple. C.W ., and Whinston. A.B., (1987) Business Expert Systems. Reading. Irwin.
    [36] Keirn. R.T.C ., and Jacobs. S. (1986) "Expert Systems: The DSS of the Future?" Journal of Systems Management. Dec. 1986 ., 6-14.
    [37] Manuel. 1. (1985) "The Pell -Well Push into Expert Systems Forces Integration Issue." Electronics. July 1. 1985.
    [38] Marti. P.A ., and Catot. J.M. (1985) "Incorporrating Expertise in Time Series Modelling: The STATXPS SYSTEM." Statistical Software Newsletter.
    Vol. 11. No.2. 55-62.
    [39] Mendenhall. W ., Reinmuth. J.E ., Beaver. R ., and Duhan. D. (1986) Statistics for Management and Economics. Reading. Duxbury Press. Boston. 6-9.
    [40] Neter. J ., Wasserman. W. and Kutner. M.H.(1983)
    Applied Linear Regression Models. Reading.
    Richard D. Irwin. Inc.
    [41] O`Keefe. Richard (1982)-An Expert Systems for Statistics." paper presented at the Technical Conference on Theory and Practise of Knowledge Based Systems. Brunal University. England.
    [42] Oldford. R.W. and Peters. S.C. (1984) "Building a Statistical Knowledge Based System with MiniMYCIN." Proceedings of the A.S.A Statistical Computing Section. 309-311.
    [43] Oldford. R.W ., and Peters. S.C. (1984) "Implementation and Study of Statistical Strategy. II in Artificial Intelligence and Statistics. Reading. Addison Wesley. 335-353.
    [44] Portier.,K..M ., and Lai. P.Y (1983) "A Statistical Expert System for Analysis Determination. II Proceedings of the A.S.A: Statistical Computing Section. 309-311.
    [45] Pregibon. D. (1984) "A DIY Guide to Statistical Strategy. II in Artificial Intelligence and Statistics. Reading. Addison Wesley. 389-399.
    [46] Rich. E., (1983) Artificial Intelligence. Reading. McGraw-Hill Book Com ., 1-6.
    [47] Sachs. L. (1984) Applied Statistics A Handbook of Techniques. Reading. Springer-Verlag.N . Y ., 3-6.
    [48] Smith. A.M.R ., Lee. L.S ., and Hand. D.J. (1983) "Interactive User-friendly Interface to Statistical Packages." The Computer Journal. Vol. 26. No.3. 199-204.
    [49] Sprague. Building Reading. R.H.J., and Carlson. E.D. (1986) Effective Decision Support Systems.
    [50] Tabachnick. B.G. and Fidell. L.S. (1983) Using Multivariate Statistics. Reading. Harper & Row. Publishers. Inc.
    [51] Tampere. P.H.(1986) "How to Assist an Inexperienced User in the Preliminary Analysis of Time Series: First Version of the Estes Expert System." in Proceeding COMPSTAT 86. Antoni. F.D ., Lauro. N., and Rizzi. A. (ed.). Physica-Verlag.295-300.
    [52] Turban. E., and Watkins. P.R.,(1986)"Intergrating Expert Systems and Decision Systems. "MIS Quartely. July. 1986.121-136.
    Description: 碩士
    國立政治大學
    統計學系
    Source URI: http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#B2002005735
    Data Type: thesis
    Appears in Collections:[統計學系] 學位論文

    Files in This Item:

    File SizeFormat
    index.html0KbHTML2324View/Open


    All items in 政大典藏 are protected by copyright, with all rights reserved.


    社群 sharing

    著作權政策宣告 Copyright Announcement
    1.本網站之數位內容為國立政治大學所收錄之機構典藏,無償提供學術研究與公眾教育等公益性使用,惟仍請適度,合理使用本網站之內容,以尊重著作權人之權益。商業上之利用,則請先取得著作權人之授權。
    The digital content of this website is part of National Chengchi University Institutional Repository. It provides free access to academic research and public education for non-commercial use. Please utilize it in a proper and reasonable manner and respect the rights of copyright owners. For commercial use, please obtain authorization from the copyright owner in advance.

    2.本網站之製作,已盡力防止侵害著作權人之權益,如仍發現本網站之數位內容有侵害著作權人權益情事者,請權利人通知本網站維護人員(nccur@nccu.edu.tw),維護人員將立即採取移除該數位著作等補救措施。
    NCCU Institutional Repository is made to protect the interests of copyright owners. If you believe that any material on the website infringes copyright, please contact our staff(nccur@nccu.edu.tw). We will remove the work from the repository and investigate your claim.
    DSpace Software Copyright © 2002-2004  MIT &  Hewlett-Packard  /   Enhanced by   NTU Library IR team Copyright ©   - Feedback