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    題名: State-dependent jump risks for American gold futures option pricing
    作者: 廖四郎
    Lian, Yu-Min;Liao, Szu-Lang;Chen, Jun-Home
    貢獻者: 金融系
    關鍵詞: State-dependent jump risk;American gold futures option;Merton measure;Esscher transform;Least-squares Monte Carlo method
    日期: 2015-07
    上傳時間: 2016-03-14 16:01:03 (UTC+8)
    摘要: In this study, we investigate the valuation of American-style options when the underlying gold futures price follows a pure diffusion structure with state-dependent jump dynamics. Under such dynamics, the jump events are described as a compound Poisson process with a log-normal jump amplitude, and the regime-switching arrival intensity is captured by a hidden Markov chain whose states represent the economic states. Considering the different jump risk assumptions, we use the Merton measure and Esscher transform to derive risk-neutral gold futures price dynamics under an incomplete market setting. To achieve a desired accuracy level, the least-squares Monte Carlo method is used to approximate the values of American gold futures options. Our empirical and numerical results based on actual market data are provided to illustrate the importance of incorporating state-dependent jump risks when pricing American put options on gold futures.
    關聯: The North American Journal of Economics and Finance,33,115-133
    資料類型: article
    DOI 連結: http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.najef.2015.04.001
    DOI: 10.1016/j.najef.2015.04.001
    顯示於類別:[金融學系] 期刊論文

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