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| Title: | 以B-Spline方法預測NBA冠軍
Predicting NBA Championship By Using B-Spline |
| Authors: | 王彥智
Wang, Yan Chih |
| Contributors: | 黃子銘
Huang, Tzee Ming
王彥智
Wang, Yan Chih |
| Keywords: | B-樣條
平滑資料
節點
美國男子職業籃球
總冠軍預測
B-Spline
knots
NBA
predict |
| Date: | 2012 |
| Issue Date: | 2013-09-03 09:53:56 (UTC+8) |
| Abstract: | 本文研究目的在於預測12-13年NBA總冠軍,蒐集12-13球季NBA常規賽數據,將每場球賽的數據整理分類,主要研究方法是使用B-Spline為基底建模,配適出每個球隊的實力曲線,再根據三種不同概念的指標,DIFF(Difference):比賽得失分差。GmSr(Game Score):自身球隊的效率分數,表示球隊攻擊能力。AntiGmSr(Anti-Game Score):比賽對手的效率分數,表示壓制對手的能力。最後,使用排名積分法和最適加權法來融合這三種不同指標分數,預測當年度總冠軍。此外,本文也將02-12年總共十個球季的總冠軍賽果加入預測判斷條件,使之更能加強對總冠軍預測的準確性。排名積分法預測2013年總冠軍為熱火隊、最適加權法預測為灰熊隊。
We apply a B-Spline approach to predict the playoff results of National Basketball Association (NBA). Here the features are composed of the regular seasons. Moreover, we use DIFF(diffentials),GmSr(gamescore) and AntiGmSr(the rival`s gamescore) to rank to predict the final result. With 10-year records, the predict result is that for the best chance of 2013 NBA Championship is Heat. |
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| Description: | 碩士
國立政治大學
統計研究所
100354003
101 |
| Source URI: | http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G0100354003 |
| Data Type: | thesis |
| Appears in Collections: | [統計學系] 學位論文
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