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    題名: The Role of US Variables in Long-Run and Short-Run Taiwan Stock Volatility
    作者: 趙世偉
    Chao, Shih-Wei
    貢獻者: 金融系
    關鍵詞: GARCH;MIDAS;Taiwan stock market;volatility components
    日期: 2018-04
    上傳時間: 2018-08-28 14:27:02 (UTC+8)
    摘要: This article uses the GARCH-MIDAS model to decompose Taiwan stock volatility and studies the role of US economic variables in each component. The full-sample results indicate that the additional explanatory information of US variables is contributed mostly by stock market measures, and the link between short-run Taiwan and US stock volatility is particularly evident. The out-of-sample results suggest that the in-sample significant US variables lead to slightly smaller forecast errors for both volatility components, but the improvements are very limited. The analysis also extends to Electronics and Non-Electronics subindices, a range-based volatility estimator and a different volatility decomposition method. Despite these alternatives, the main conclusions do not change.
    關聯: Emerging Markets Finance and Trade
    資料類型: article
    DOI 連結: https://doi.org/10.1080/1540496X.2018.1464908
    DOI: 10.1080/1540496X.2018.1464908
    顯示於類別:[金融學系] 期刊論文

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