| Reference: | 一、中文部分：
1.于宗先，經濟預測，中央研究院經濟研究所現代經濟探討叢書，民國六十一年。
2.陳正澄，計量經濟學，雙葉書廊，民國六十三年。
3.陸民仁，經濟分析-總體理論之部，財政部財稅人員訓練所編印，民國六十二年。
4.郭婉容，總體經濟學，民國六十八年三版。
5.鄭堯伴，數理統計學，民國六十七年二版。
6.行政院主計處編印，中華民國國民所得，民國七十三年。
7.________________，中華民國台灣地區國民經濟動向統計季報（國民所得統計按季估計），民國七十三年十一月。
8.台北市政府主計處編印，台北市施政統計與動向，民國七十一年十二月。
9.邱依忠，經濟預測方法，正中書局，也國六十八年二版。
二、英文部分：
1. Anderson, T. W. An Introduction to Multivariate statistical Analysis. New York : Wiley, 1958.
2. Bayes, Rev. T., " An Essay Toward Solving a Problem in the Doctrine of Chances," Biometrika, 45, 293-315 (1958).
3. Bellman, R., Introduction to Matrix Analysis. New York : McGraw-Hill, 1962.
4. Boot, J. C. G., and G. M. de Wit, " Investment Demand : An Empirical Contribution to the Aggregation Problem," Inter. Econ. Rev. 1, 3-30 (1960).
5. Box, G. E. P., and G. C. Tiao, " Multiparameter Problems from a Bayesian Point of View, " Ann. Math Statist., 36, 1468-1482 (1965).
6._______ , Bayesian Inference in Statistical Analysis, Massachasetts : Addison-Wesley Publishing Company, Inc. 1973.
7. Beach, E. F., Economic Models, New York : Wiley d Sons, Inc., 1957.
8. Geisser, S., " A Bayes Approach for Combining Correlated Estimates," J. Am. Statist Assoc., 60, 602-607 (1962).
9. Jeffreys, H., Theorey of Probability (3rd ed.) Oxford : Claredon, 1961 and 1966.
10. John Neter and William Vasserman, Applies Linear Statistical Models, 1978, 華泰。
11. Kmenta, J., Elements of Econometrics, 1971.
12. Kendall, M. G., and A. Stuart, The Advances Theorey of Statistics, Vol. I. London : Griffen, 1958.
13. Hildebrand, F. B., Introduction to Numerical Analysis, New York : McGraw-Hill, 1956.
14. Degroot, M. H., Optimal Statistical Decision, New York : McGraw-Hill, 1970.
15. Raiffa, H. A., and R. S. Schlaifer, Applies Statistical Decision Theory, Boston : Harvard University, 1961.
16. Tiao, G. C., and A. Zellner, " Bayes` Theorem and the Use of Prior Knowledge in Regression Analysis, " Biometrika, 51, 219-230 (1964).
17. Tocher, K. D., " Discussion on Mr. Box and Dr. Wilson`s Paper" J. Roy. Statist. Soc., Series B, 13, 39-42 (1951).
18. Zellner, A., An Introduction to Bayesian Inference in Econometrics, New York : Wiley, 1971.
19._______, and V. K. Chetty, " Prediction and Decision Problem in Regession Models from the Bayesian Point of View," J. Am. Statist. Assoc., 60, 608-616 (1965).
20._______ , and G. C. Tiao, " Bayesian Analysis of Regression Model with autocorrelated Errors," J. Am. Statist. Assoc., 59, 763-778 (1964). |
