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    Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: https://nccur.lib.nccu.edu.tw/handle/140.119/68305


    Title: 論阿拉伯之春期間內戰是否發生：以阿爾及利亞和利比亞為例
    Whether Civil War Happened During the Arab Spring: Exemplified by Algeria and Libya
    Authors: 楊邵帆
    Yang, Shao Fan
    Contributors: 劉長政
    Liu, Chang Cheng
    楊邵帆
    Yang, Shao Fan
    Keywords: 內戰
    阿拉伯之春
    和平持續期
    半民主
    阿爾及利亞
    利比亞
    civil war
    Arab Spring
    peace duration
    anocracy
    Algeria
    Libya
    Date: 2013
    Issue Date: 2014-08-06 11:55:18 (UTC+8)
    Abstract: 本文主要關注：何種原因造成2011年阿拉伯之春期間的內戰發生與否。在評估由Boix、Collier和Hoeffler，以及Fearon和Laitin所提出的內戰理論後，我發現單獨適用Collier和Hoeffler即可有效又簡約地解釋阿拉伯之春期間的情況。此外，我認為「和平持續期」(peace duration)和「半民主」(anocracy)可能是內戰的必要條件。為了進一步確認理論的解釋力，我將焦點轉移至探索造成理論預測例外（如阿爾及利亞和利比亞）的原因。最後，我提出對理論發展和政策的一些建議。
    The main concern of this study lies in what is the cause behind whether civil war broke out during the Arab Spring (2011). By evaluating civil war theories by Boix, Collier and Hoeffler, and Fearon and Laitin, I find that applying the theory by Collier and Hoeffler alone can effectively and parsimoniously explains the situation during the Arab Spring. In addition, I identify two variables: “peace duration” and “anocracy”, which might be the necessary conditions behind the civil wars during the Arab Spring. To further assure the explanatory power of theories, I switch the focus to explore the reasons why there are exceptions, such as Algeria and Libya, out of the theoretical prediction. Finally, I present some recommendations for theoretical development and policy.
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    Description: 碩士
    國立政治大學
    外交研究所
    100253025
    102
    Source URI: http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G1002530253
    Data Type: thesis
    Appears in Collections:[外交學系] 學位論文

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