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| Title: | 經濟衰退對於應屆畢業生之職涯衝擊
The career effects of graduating in a recession |
| Authors: | 柯香聞
Ko, Hsiang-Wen |
| Contributors: | 黃柏鈞
Huang, Po-Chun
柯香聞
Ko, Hsiang-Wen |
| Keywords: | 經濟衰退
初入勞動市場
失業率
薪資損失
recession
entering the labor market
unemployment rate
wage loss |
| Date: | 2022 |
| Issue Date: | 2022-09-02 15:27:26 (UTC+8) |
| Abstract: | 本文採用2004年至2018年間的華人家庭動態資料庫的資料，探討在經濟衰退期間進入職場對青年隨後在勞動市場表現上的影響。實證結果顯示，景氣衰退期間進入職場的不幸青年初始薪資損失為21%，和相對於失業率低一個百分點進入職場的青年在初始工資上有顯著的差異。每當失業率上升一個百分點時，隨著年資的累積，工作經驗的報酬有顯著正向影響，背後所隱含著在景氣衰退下進入職場的青年需花16年的工作經驗，縮短與景氣較好時進入職場的青年薪資報酬間的差距。另外，將初入職場的青年依照不同個人特性去做分組，其中發現男性或教育程度為高中或在學時期選擇理組科系較容易受到景氣衰退的影響且累積的薪資折現損失較大。
This article estimates the impact of entering the workforce during a recession on youth`s subsequent labor market performance using data from the 2004 and 2018 Panel Study of Family Dynamics（PSFD）. The empirical results show that youth entering the workforce during recessions lost 21% of their initial wages, significantly lower than the initial wages for youth entering the workforce when the unemployment rate is one percentage point lower. With the accumulation of seniority, the remuneration of work experience has a significant positive impact, which implies that it takes 16 years of work experience for the wage loss to disappear. In addition, males, high-school graduates, or those who choose science major are more likely to be affected by economic recession and have a larger cumulative discounted salary loss. |
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| Description: | 碩士
國立政治大學
經濟學系
109258038 |
| Source URI: | http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G0109258038 |
| Data Type: | thesis |
| DOI: | 10.6814/NCCU202201355 |
| Appears in Collections: | [經濟學系] 學位論文
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