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    Title: 臺灣的分紅壽險選擇權與保證利益的時間價值
    Time value of options and guarantees of Taiwan’s participating life insurance
    Authors: 林耕伍
    Lin, Keng-Wu
    Contributors: 蔡政憲
    Tsai, Cheng-Hsien
    林耕伍
    Lin, Keng-Wu
    Keywords: TVOG
    蒙地卡羅模擬
    分紅保單
    IFRS 17
    TVOG
    Monte Carlo Simulation
    participating policy
    IFRS 17
    Date: 2022
    Issue Date: 2022-08-01 17:32:52 (UTC+8)
    Abstract: 近年受疫情與經濟大環境影響,人們趨向穩健理財,因此具保本與投資雙重性質的分紅保單逐漸成為熱門商品。再者,由於近期臺灣逐步接軌IFRS 17,保單評價回歸現時基礎,因此讓近期銷量增長的分紅保單評價成為關注的焦點,但IFRS 17對於分紅保單中關於未來費差、死差、利差的保單期間未實現價值變化的衡量僅文字上原則性規範,並未提供實際做法,故本文透過文獻與精算會計報告回顧挑選實務上較為常見的作法:隨機情境法,用來衡量市面上的分紅保單關於未實現價值變化部分,此價值變化部分也就是所謂的選擇權與保證利益的時間價值,最後根據保單計算結果提出建議。
    Due to the impact of COVID-19 and economic environment, people manage their wealth more conservative, which makes participating policies with guarantees more popular. On the other hand, since insurance companies in Taiwan have gradually phased in IFRS 17 emphasizing on fair valuation of the policy on the market basis, the valuation of participating policies has become more and more important; however, IFRS 17 doesn’t provide the details of measuring unrealized value regarding expense margin, mortality margin, and interest margin. Therefore, this paper reviews literature and actuarial accounting reports and finds that stochastic modeling is a proper method to measure the policy’s unrealized value which is so-called Time Value of Options and Guarantees(TVOG). In the end, the paper provides suggestions based on TVOG of the policy.
    Reference: 1、王靈芝,2015,基於一致性原則的償二代TVOG風險因子校準,保險研究,12期: 30-39。
    2、余清祥,2015,修勻學:生命表的建構與相關考量,https://reurl.cc/ZAkLYW,搜尋日期:2022年6月1日。
    3、余清祥,2015,修勻學:參數修勻法,https://reurl.cc/NAW7Y5,搜尋日期: 2022年6月1日。
    4、孫鑫,2020,IFRS17與大陸現行會計準則負債公允價值之研究:以分紅保險為例,國立政治大學風險管理與保險學研究所未出版之碩士論文,臺北,臺灣。
    5、財政部,2002,本業銷售分紅及不分紅人壽保險單應遵守原則,https://reurl.cc/QLMMDo,搜尋日期:2022年6月15日
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    7、凱晟精算顧問有限公司,2021,IFRS 17主要關鍵導入議題委託研究案期末報告。
    8、黃芳文,2015,死亡風險的自然避險與商品設計,國立政治大學風險管理與保險學研究所未出版博士論文,臺北,臺灣
    9、萬歷歷,2016,償二代壽險責任準備金評估的理論研究及實證分析,南開大學經濟學研究所未出版之碩士論文,天津,中國。
    10、詹志清,2020,臺灣個人壽險解約與銷售通路之實證研究,逢甲大學金融學位學程未出版之博士論文,臺中,臺灣。
    11、Grosen, A., and Jørgensen, P. L. 2000. Fair valuation of life insurance liabilities: The impact of interest rate guarantees, surrender options, and bonus policies. Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, 26 (2000) : 37–57
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    15、Deloitte. 2018. IFRS 17 and Embedded Value Reporting. https://reurl.cc/d2Ykn6. Accessed Apr. 15, 2022.
    16、Hull, J. C. 2015. Options, Futures and other Derivatives (9th .ed). US:PEARSON
    17、International Accounting Standards Board. 2017. IFRS 17 Insurance Contracts. https://reurl.cc/Wr6z1e. Accessed March. 2, 2022.
    18、National Association of Insurance Commissioners. 2016. Actuarial Guideline XLIII: CARVM FOR VARIABLE ANNUITIES.
    19、National Association of Insurance Commissioners. 2021. Valuation Manual.
    20、Noel Harewood and Kenneth LaSorella. 2009. Embedded Value (EV) Reporting. American Academy of Actuaries Life Financial Reporting Committee: US: 19-20.
    21、Hunt, P. J. ,and Kennedy, J. E. 2000. Financial Derivatives in Theory and Practice. England : John Wiley and Son LTD.
    22、Hieber, P., Natolskic, J., and Werner, R. 2019. Fair valuation of cliquet-style return guarantees in (homogeneous)heterogeneous life insurance portfolios. Scandinavian Actuarial Journal. 6: 478–507.
    23、Komański, P., and Sokoliński, O. 2015. Least-Squares Monte Carlo Simulation for Time Value of Options and Guarantees Calculation. Unpublished doctoral dissertation, University of Warsaw, Poland.
    24、Nocito, S. 2015. Stochastic Mortality Projections: A Comparison of the Lee-Carter and the Cairns-Blake-Dowd models Using Italian Data. Unpublished doctoral dissertation, University of Studies of Turin, Italy.
    25、Singapore Actuarial Society. 2020. Options and Guarantees.
    26、Society of Actuaries. 2016. Nested Stochastic Modeling for Insurance Companies. https://reurl.cc/6Z8n5y. Accessed Apr. 16, 2022.
    27、Society of Actuaries. 2019. Yield Curve Extrapolation Methods Methodologies for Valuing Liability Cash Flows That Extend Beyond the Maximum Yield Curve.
    Description: 碩士
    國立政治大學
    風險管理與保險學系
    109358021
    Source URI: http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G0109358021
    Data Type: thesis
    DOI: 10.6814/NCCU202200973
    Appears in Collections:[Department of Risk Management and Insurance] Theses

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