政大機構典藏-National Chengchi University Institutional Repository(NCCUR):Item 140.119/131183
English  |  正體中文  |  简体中文  |  Post-Print筆數 : 27 |  全文笔数/总笔数 : 113303/144284 (79%)
造访人次 : 50819667      在线人数 : 776
RC Version 6.0 © Powered By DSPACE, MIT. Enhanced by NTU Library IR team.
搜寻范围 查询小技巧:
  • 您可在西文检索词汇前后加上"双引号",以获取较精准的检索结果
  • 若欲以作者姓名搜寻,建议至进阶搜寻限定作者字段,可获得较完整数据
  • 进阶搜寻


    请使用永久网址来引用或连结此文件: https://nccur.lib.nccu.edu.tw/handle/140.119/131183


    题名: 亞洲各國匯率與黃金期貨價格之頻域因果關係
    作者: 周清宥
    Chou, Qing-You
    贡献者: 徐士勛
    Hsu, Shih-Hsun
    周清宥
    Chou, Qing-You
    关键词: 匯率
    黃金期貨價格
    頻域因果關係檢定
    Granger因果關係檢定
    日期: 2020
    上传时间: 2020-08-03 18:12:21 (UTC+8)
    摘要: 本文藉由時域架構下的Granger 因果關係檢定及Breitung and Candelon
    (2006) 提出之頻域架構下的因果關係檢定,探討亞洲各國匯率與黃金
    期貨價格之頻域因果關係,且在不同時間下的因果關係是否會有所不
    同。在時域的架構下探討亞洲匯率變數與黃金期貨價格之間的因果關
    係,可以發現在未加控制變數及加入控制變數後無條件及有條件模型
    下,得出兩變數之間僅存在單向的因果關係。然而本文在頻域的架構
    下探討亞洲匯率變數與黃金期貨價格之因果關係。在無條件模型中,
    欲將時間劃分成全期及三個子樣本下,得出在全期下,變數之間存在
    雙向因果關係,而在三個子樣本中,僅存在單向的因果關係;在有條
    件模型中,得出在全期及2008 年至2012 年這組子樣本下存在雙向的
    因果關係,另外兩個子樣本僅存在單向的因果關係。
    參考文獻: [1] Breitung, J., and B. Candelon(2006).“Testing for Short and Long Run Causality:A FrequencyDomain Approach. Journal of Econometrics, 132(2),363-378.
    [2] Bhunia, A., and Pakira, S., (2014).“Investing the impact of gold price and exchange rates on sensex:An evidence of India.”European Journal of Accounting,Finance of Business, 2(1), 1-11.
    [3] Dickey, D.A. and W.A. Fuller (1981). “Likelihood ratio statistics for autoregressive time series with a unit root.”Econometrica, 49,1057–1072.
    [4] Geweke, J., (1982). “Measurement of linear dependence and feedback between multiple time series.” Journal of the American Statistical Association, 77, 304–313.
    [5] Granger,C.W.J (1969).“Investigating casual relations by econometric models and cross spectral methods. Econometrica, 37,424–438.
    [6] Hosoya, Y., (1991).“The decomposition and measurement of the interdependency between secondorder
    stationary processes.”Probability Theory Relat Fields, 88, pp. 429-444.
    [7] Hosoya, Y., (2001).“Elimination of third‐series effect and defining partial measures of causality.”Journal of time series analysis, 22(5),537-554.
    [8] Le, T.H., and Chang, Y.,(2013).“Dynamic Relationships between the Price of Oil, Gold and Financial Variables in Japan: A Bounds Testing
    Approach.”Online at http://mpra.ub.unimuenchen.
    de/33030/ MPRA , Paper No. 33030.
    [9] Nelson, C. R., and Plosser, C. R.,(1982). “Trends and random walks in macroeconmic time series: some evidence and implications.”Journal of monetary economics, 10(2), 139-162.
    [10] Schaling,E., Ndlovu,X., and Alagidede,P.,(2014).“Modelling the rand and commodity prices: A Ganger causality and cointegration analysis.” Sajems Ns ,17,No 5:673–690.
    [11] Yao, F., and Hosoya, Y., (2000). “Inference on one way effect and evidence in japanese macroeconomic data.”Journal of Econometrics, 98, 225–255.
    描述: 碩士
    國立政治大學
    經濟學系
    107258028
    資料來源: http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G0107258028
    数据类型: thesis
    DOI: 10.6814/NCCU202000699
    显示于类别:[經濟學系] 學位論文

    文件中的档案:

    档案 描述 大小格式浏览次数
    802801.pdf1432KbAdobe PDF20检视/开启


    在政大典藏中所有的数据项都受到原著作权保护.


    社群 sharing

    著作權政策宣告 Copyright Announcement
    1.本網站之數位內容為國立政治大學所收錄之機構典藏,無償提供學術研究與公眾教育等公益性使用,惟仍請適度,合理使用本網站之內容,以尊重著作權人之權益。商業上之利用,則請先取得著作權人之授權。
    The digital content of this website is part of National Chengchi University Institutional Repository. It provides free access to academic research and public education for non-commercial use. Please utilize it in a proper and reasonable manner and respect the rights of copyright owners. For commercial use, please obtain authorization from the copyright owner in advance.

    2.本網站之製作,已盡力防止侵害著作權人之權益,如仍發現本網站之數位內容有侵害著作權人權益情事者,請權利人通知本網站維護人員(nccur@nccu.edu.tw),維護人員將立即採取移除該數位著作等補救措施。
    NCCU Institutional Repository is made to protect the interests of copyright owners. If you believe that any material on the website infringes copyright, please contact our staff(nccur@nccu.edu.tw). We will remove the work from the repository and investigate your claim.
    DSpace Software Copyright © 2002-2004  MIT &  Hewlett-Packard  /   Enhanced by   NTU Library IR team Copyright ©   - 回馈