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| Title: | 臺灣北部區域房價傳遞之研究 ─以房價漣漪效應觀點
Study on the rigional housing price diffusion in Northern Taiwan : Based on the Ripple Effects of housing prices |
| Authors: | 汪芷均
Wang, Jhih-Jyun |
| Contributors: | 劉小蘭
吳文傑
汪芷均
Wang, Jhih-Jyun |
| Keywords: | 房價漣漪效應
區域房價
Granger因果關係
Housing Price Ripple Effect
Regional housing price
Granger Causality Test |
| Date: | 2019 |
| Issue Date: | 2019-08-07 16:45:34 (UTC+8) |
| Abstract: | 近年來不動產價格不斷高漲，引發各界的關注，而使居住正義成為顯學，各界開始由不同面向進行探討，以檢視房價的成因或相關之研究，然區域間的房價是否會彼此影響則無廣泛研究，而政府在擬訂政策或規劃時，鮮有考量區域房價擴散之情形，易造成一地房價受政府政策影響後連帶擴散至其他地區，使房市政策多掣肘。本研究以臺灣北部區域為範圍使用房價指數進行時間序列分析，利用衝擊反應函數及Granger因果關係檢定，進行縣市尺度與行政區尺度之實證分析。
研究結果顯示，縣市尺度下臺北市為臺灣北部區域之房價漣漪中心，其正向的房價衝擊對其他縣市亦造成正向的房價反應，行政區尺度下則以臺北市住宅單價最高之行政區─大安區為房價漣漪中心，經實證結果可得知其對外圍地區的房價影響程度隨距離增加而減弱，而最外圍地區具有反波及效果，由最外圍地區之房價再反波及影響中心地區─大安區。臺灣北部區域房價逐層波及效果主要仍歸因於地理位置鄰近，又本研究之空間單位設定為行政區，與過往相關研究以城市為空間單位有所區別，因此逐層波及效果較不明顯。
In recent years, housing prices have been rising, causing public concerns. Scholars have begun to explore different aspects to examine the causes of housing prices or its related research. However, whether regional housing prices will affect each other has not been widely studied. In the formulation of policies, a government rarely considers the possible spread of housing prices from its region to another. Housing prices in one place could be easily affected by its government policy, but neglecting the fact that such influenced housing prices would then spread to other regions will eventually constrain the effectiveness of the housing market policy itself. In this study, a time series analysis was conducted using the price index in northern Taiwan. The impulse response function and the Granger causality test were used to conduct an empirical analysis on the city scale and the administrative district scale.
The results of the study show that Taipei City is the center of the housing prices ripple in the northern part of Taiwan under the city scale, and its positive housing price shock has also caused positive housing price responses from other counties and cities. Under the administrative district scale, Da`an District is the center of the housing prices ripple. According to the empirical results, its degree of influence on housing prices in the peripheral areas will decrease with the increase in distance. The most peripheral areas, on the other hand, also have the ability to influence the central area, and the housing prices in the peripheral areas will come back to influence the central area - Da`an District. The ripple impact on housing prices in northern Taiwan is still mainly due to geographical proximity. Moreover, unlike past studies where cities are a spatial unit, the space unit of this study is set on administrative districts; therefore, the ripple effect is less obvious. |
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網頁參考文獻
財團法人國家政策研究基金會，取用日期：2018年11月13日
https://www.npf.org.tw/
內政部主計處，取用日期：2018年11月15日
https://www.moi.gov.tw/stat/index.aspx
內政部戶政司，2018年11月15日
https://www.ris.gov.tw/app/portal
內政部不動產資訊平台，取用日期：2018年11月16日
http://pip.moi.gov.tw/V2/Default.aspx
國政研究報告，取用日期：2018年11月29日
https://www.npf.org.tw/2/1843 |
| Description: | 碩士
國立政治大學
地政學系
106257021 |
| Source URI: | http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G0106257021 |
| Data Type: | thesis |
| DOI: | 10.6814/NCCU201900584 |
| Appears in Collections: | [地政學系] 學位論文
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