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    Title: 臺灣證券市場週末效應之實證研究
    Authors: 盧瑞明
    Contributors: 郭崑謨
    盧瑞明
    Date: 1990
    1989
    Issue Date: 2016-05-03 14:06:55 (UTC+8)
    Abstract: 論文摘要:進幾年來,由於經濟發展迅速,外匯大量累積,投資管道並未開放,使得熱錢流到股票市場中,造成股票市場成為大眾所注目的焦點,因此了解股票價格行為,便成為投資者所關切的事。
    本研究著重股價行為中的週末效應,做為研究對像。早在1900年Bachelier就提出美國紐約證券交易所的股價在週末時會偏高,稱之為週末效應。其後又有學者股價在週一時會降下來,報酬率呈負值,又稱週一效應。從1900年,近一世紀以來,有無數學者對許多國家的證券市場做過研究,均得到一致結論,就是週末股價偏高,而週一又降下來。
    本研究係針對台灣股票市場研究其週末效應的情形,選取加權股價指數與十五家熱門股平均做實證研究,期間是從71年至75年,以t檢定與變異數分析為分析方法,結論如下。一.季報酬第一季最高,月報酬一月份最高,十月份最低。
    二.週一至週六報酬逐漸升高,週內各日的報酬有差異。
    三.在71年至75年具週末效應。
    四.71年至75年不符合交易時間假設與曆制時間假設。
    五.週末效應主要發生於非交易時間。
    六.週末效應並非休市效應。
    七.規模愈小,週末效應愈顯著。
    Reference: 參考文獻
    一、中文部份
    1.王淑芬著“投資學"第二版,P.65。
    2.余尚武,"臺灣證券市場股票上市公司盈餘宣告所含資訊內容之研究"臺灣大學商學研究所未出版論文,民國75年6月。
    3.余雪明著“證券交易法",P.20。
    4.林邦傑著:"變異數與共變數分析":,大世紀出版社,企業研究應用技術大全,P15。
    5.林煜宗著,"現代投資學──制度、理論與實務"修訂四版,自印,民國77年7月,P325。
    6.黃俊英著:"多變量分析",第三版,中國經濟企業研究所,民國77年2月,P.1。
    7.謝徽榮,台灣股價變動短期資料預測能力之研究。國立台灣大學商學研究所未出版碩士論文,民國66年6月。
    8.“證交資料"第三三六期,台灣證券交易所證交資料社發行。
    9.Richard Brealey and Stewart Myers,"Principles of Corporate Finance",華泰書局翻版本,民國73年,P.269。

    二、英文部分
    1. Clark, Peter K.,1973 "A subordinated stockastic process model with finite variance for speculative prices", Econometrica 41, Jan.,PP .135~155。
    2. Daw W. French " The Weekend Effect on The Distribution of Stock Prices Implications of Option Pricing " Journal of Financial Economics 13 (1984) PP .547~559。
    3. Donald B. Keim and Robert F. Stambaugh, "A Further Investigation of the Weekend Effect in Stock Peturns" ,The Journal of Finance,July 1984, PP.819~835。
    4. Eugene F. Fama, "Tomorrow on The New York Stock Exchange`" Journal of Bussiness 38, July 1965,PP. 285~299。
    5. Frank Cross, "The Behavior of Stock Prices On Fridays and Mondays`" Financia1 Ana1ysis Journa1 Nov. ~ Dec. 1973, PP . 67~69。
    6. Fama Eugene F. "The Behavior of Stock market Price ", Journal of Busness,38 (1965) Jan. PP .34~105。
    7. George S. Oldfield and Richard J. Rogalski, "The Theory of Common Stocks Returns Over Trading and Non - Trading Periods", The Journal of Finance, June 1980, PP. 729~751。
    8. Edward M. Miller , Why a Weekend Effect`" The Journa1 of Portfolio Management, Summer,1988 ,PP. 43~48。
    9. H. Thei1 and C. T. Leenders, "Tomorrow on The Amsterdam Stock Exchange`" Journal of Bussiness,July 1965, PP . 277~284。
    10. Jack Clark Francis, Investment: Analysis and manatement, 2nd ed. New York: McGraw-Hill, 1976, pp.578-579 .
    11. Jeffery Jaffe and Randolph Westerfield. "The Week – End Effect in Common Stock Returns: The International Evidence" Journal of Finance,Vol. XL, No.2, June 1985, PP.433~454。
    12 . Josef Lokonishok and Maurice Levi, "Weekend Effects on Stock Returns: A Note", Journal of Finance 37, June,1982, PP. 844。
    13. Kenneth R. French, "Stock Return And The Weekend Effect"` Journal of Financial Economics 8 (1980) PP . 55~56。
    14. Lawrence Harris , "A Transaction Data Study of Weekly and Interdaily Patterns in Stock Returns", Journal of Financial Economics 16 , Sep. 1986,PP .99~117。
    15. Michael Theobald and Vera Price` "Seasonality Estimation in Thin market", The Journal of Finance ,June 1984, PP. 377~392。
    16. M. M. Rao, "Probability Theory with Application" ,Academic Press, Inc.,1984, P. 334 。
    17 . M. R. Gibbon and Patrick Hess, "Day of The Week Effects and Asset Returns", Journal of Business,1981, Vol. 54, NO.4. PP.579~596。
    18. Peter Lioyd Davis, Michael Cames` "Stock Prices and The Pub1ication of Second – Hand Information" Journal of Business, 1978, Vol.51 No.1 PP .45~49。
    19. Richard J. Rogalski, "New Findings Regarding Day - of - the - Week Returns Over Trading and Non-Trading Periods: A Note", The Journal of Finance,Dec. 1984, PP.1603~1614。
    20. G . Judge, H . Carter and W . Griffiths,"Introduction to the Theory and Practice of
    Econometrics" , John Willey & Sons, Inc. ,1982.
    21. Richard Brealey and Stewart Myers, "The Principles of Corporate Finance " , Macgraw - Hill , inc., 1984 .
    22. Thomas E. Copeland and J . Fred Weston, "Financial Theory and Corporate Policy" , Addison – Wesley Publishing Company ,1979.
    Description: 碩士
    國立政治大學
    企業管理學系
    Source URI: http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#B2002005213
    Data Type: thesis
    Appears in Collections:[Department of Business Administation] Theses

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