| Reference: | 一、中文部份:
1. 江振南著，「政府財政收入之預測」，經濟論文第一卷第一期，民國六十二年三月:頁143~165。
2. 李慶泉著， 「我國稅收估測方法之研究」稅務旬刊第895期，民國六十五年八月:頁3~ 6及第896 期，民國六十五年八月:頁6~10。
3 . 林華德著，「台灣賦稅收入的預測」台大經濟論文叢刊，民國六十七年十一月:頁41~ 90。
4. ---------------，「台灣賦稅的月收入試析」，財稅研究第十二卷第五期，民國六十九年九月:頁16 ~35。
5 徐偉初著，「我國財政收支模型之估計」，中央研究院經濟研究所所舉辦之台灣經濟計量模型研討會的論文，民國七十八年十二月。
6 .曾永清著， 「台灣地區賦稅收入之預測──時間數序分析法在土地增值稅上之應用」，財稅研究，民國七十五年十一月。
7.曾雪雅著，「台灣地區股票上市公司每股盈餘之時間數列分析與預測」，國立交通大學，碩士論文，民國七十七年。
8.梁國源、王國源著，「預測組合權之分析與詮釋」，經濟論文第十七卷第一期，台北南港:中央研究院經濟研究院，民國七十八年三月。
9.張廣釋著，「營利事業所得稅之轉嫁問題」，財稅研究第十四卷第四期，民國七十一年七月:頁10~21.
10.劉鶯釗著，「單一方程迴歸與時間數列分析」，經濟論文叢刊，第十二輯民國七十三年五月:頁131~ 144。
11.----------，「多元時間數列分析法之介紹與應用」，經濟論文叢刊，第十輯，民國七十一年六月:頁191~ 210。
12.----------，「論因果關係的檢定－時間數列方法之應用」，經濟論文叢刊，第十一輯，民國七十二年五月:頁149~168。
13.鍾世保著，「我國賦稅收入短期預測之研究」，中國統計學報，第十四卷第三期民國六十五年八月。
二、英文部份:
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5.Box, G.E.P. and Jenkins, G.M., “Some statistical aspects of adaptive optimization and control”, Jour. Royal Stat. Soc., B24, 297.1962.
6 Box. G.E.P., Jenkins. G.M. and Bacon D.W., " ModeIs for forecasting seasibak and Non-Seasonal time Series”, Advanced Sencinar on Sepectral Analysis of Time Series,ed. B. Harris ,271,John Wiley:New York,1967.
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11.Cook, S.T. and Jackson, P.M.,”Currect Issue in Fiscal Policy”, Martin Robertsom,1979.
12. Granger, C.W.J., and Nowbold, P., "Forecasting Economic Time Series " . ( New York :Academic Press, Inc, 1977 ).
13 , HalI , Robert E, and Lilien, David M., “Micro Tsp User’s Mauual” version 6.0, 1988.
14.Havvey, A.C., “The Econometric Analysis of Time Series”, (Phillip Allan, 1981).
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17. Liviatan, Nissan, "0n the Interaction Between Monetary and Fiscal Policies Under Perfect Foresight”, Oxford Economic Papers 40 (1988 )193- 203 ,
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19.Maddalala,G.S., “Introduction to Econometric”, (Macmillan Publishing Company, New York,1988).
20. Makridakis , SpyrRos ,Wheelwright , Stevin C. and MeGee Victor E . , “ ForecastIng: Methods and Applications", (John Wiley &: Sons, 1983)
21.Mendenhall, William, Scheaffer, Richard L. and Wackerly, Dennis D., “Mathematical Statistics with Appilcations ", ( Duxbury Press,Boston, 1986) : 439 - 497 .
22. Pindyck , Robert S. and Rubinfeld, Danrel L. ,”Econometric Models and Economic Forecasts “, (McGraw-hill Book Company, 1981).
23. Plackett, R.L., “Principles of Regression Analysis”, Clarendon Press, Oxford,1960.
24. Reaume, David M., "Forecasting State Income Tax Collections A New Approach", Public Finance Quarterly Vol.6(Jan. 19878):67-91
25.Savage, L.J., “The Foundations of Statistical Inference”, Methuen, Lodon, 1962.
26. Singer, Neil M., "The Use of Dummy Variables in Estimating the Income Elasticity of State Income Tax Revenue”, National Tax Journal (June 1968):200-204.
27.StralKowski, C.M.,”Lower Order Autoregressiv Moving Average Stochastic Models and their Use for the Characteristic of Abrasive cutting Tools”, ph. D. Thesis University of Wisconsin , 1968.
28. Suits, Daniel B., “Forecasting and Analysis with and Econometric Model”, The American Economic Review (March 1962):104-132.
29.Sullivan, W.G.,” foundations of Forecasting”, (Prentice-Hall, Inc., 1977).
30.Thomopoulos, N.T., “Applied Forecasting Methods”, (Prentice-Hall, Inc.,1980).
31.Turnovsky, Stephen J., “Monetary and Fiscal Policy Under Perfect Foresight:A Symmetric Two-Country Analysis”, Economica, 53, 139-1570
32.Vandele, M., “Applied Time Series and Box-Jenkins Models”, (Acadamic Press and Box-Jenkins Models”,(Academic Press, Inc., 1983)
33.Whittle, P., “Prediction and Regulation by Linear-Squares Methods”, English Universities press, London, 1963.
34.Williamson, Jeffrey G., “Public Expenditure and REevenue:An International Comparison”, The Manchester School of Economics and Social Studies, Vol.xxix(1961):43-57.
35. Wold, H.O.,”A Study in the Analysis of Stationary Time Series”, Almouist and Wicksel, Uppsala, 1938(2nd.ed. 1954) |
