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    Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: https://nccur.lib.nccu.edu.tw/handle/140.119/85961


    Title: 運用Cox模型於短期現金支出之研究-以公務人員退撫基金為例
    Applying Cox Model in Short-term Cash Ouflow-A Case Study of Public Employees Retirement System
    Authors: 陳靜宜
    Chen, Jin-i
    Contributors: 張士傑
    陳靜宜
    Jin-i Chen
    Keywords: Cox模型
    脫退率
    短期現金支出
    退撫基金
    公務人員
    退休基金
    Cox Model
    turnover
    Short-term cash outflow
    Pension
    Proportional hazard
    Decrement
    Date: 1998
    Issue Date: 2016-04-22 11:03:56 (UTC+8)
    Abstract: 本研究主要以Cox 迴歸模型為主軸，以1995年7月1日至1999年5月7日公務人員退撫基金成員:公務人員及教育人員為研究對象，分析影響基金成員各項脫退的個別變數，並量化所擇取之變數的影響，以估計各個基金成員的脫退率。同時針對現有基金成員，評估退撫基金短期現金支出並分析之。實證結果發現：藉由Cox迴歸模型之分析可知，相異的脫退因素，被不同的迴歸變數所影響著，且各個變數對各項脫退的影響程度亦存在著差異。短期現金支出的評估結果顯示，各項給付支出，以退休給付的支出佔最大的比例，次為資遣、死亡及離職給付。而人數比例較少的教育人員，其脫退給付支出金額，高於公務人員之給付支出。
    Cox regression model is proposed in this study to investigate the demographic factors (i.e., gender, age, seniority, salary scale and the entry date) that influence the turnover pattern of the plan members. This research has focused on the government employees and public school teachers in Taiwan Public Employees Retirement System (Tai-PERS). Quantitative analyses on turnover are performed through monitoring and selecting the significant factors in Cox regression model. Finally based on the current members in Tai-PERS, the short-term cash outflow is projected.
    Reference: 略
    Description: 碩士
    國立政治大學
    風險管理與保險研究所
    85358011
    Source URI: http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#B2002001438
    Data Type: thesis
    Appears in Collections:[風險管理與保險學系] 學位論文

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