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    Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: https://nccur.lib.nccu.edu.tw/handle/140.119/83466


    Title: 國際金融衝擊之產出緊縮效果
    Authors: 陳憶萱
    Chen, Yi-Shuan
    Contributors: 曹添旺
    Tsaur, T.W.
    陳憶萱
    Chen, Yi-Shuan
    Keywords: 國際金融衝擊
    產出緊縮效果
    體制崩潰
    Date: 2000
    Issue Date: 2016-03-31 16:45:05 (UTC+8)
    Abstract: 本文設立一個資本不完全移動且採行浮動匯率的小型開放經濟模型,同時運用體制崩潰的分析方法,據以探討總體經濟變數的動態行為。我們研究的前提設定:經濟體系遭受未預料到的國際金融的衝擊,對商品市場及外匯市場產生干擾使得產出持續銳減的情況下,理性預期的民眾知悉,一旦產出減少到政策當局所能忍受的門檻水準,政府將透過調整貨幣供給量的措施以防止產出進一步遞減。我們以經濟體系遭受衝擊導致產出持續減少作為體制崩潰的原因,民眾在預知貨幣當局於未來會有所行動時,探討民眾事先的因應將如何主導經濟體系的動態調整。研究的結果指出,長期產出與匯率的變化取決於國際金融衝擊對商品市場的干擾與對外匯市場的干擾之比例。政府所能忍受的產出水準下限與體制是否崩潰、體制崩潰的時機息息相關。政府所能忍受的產出門檻水準及資本移動性大小會左右體制崩潰過程中,匯率的動態調整路徑。
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    Description: 碩士
    國立政治大學
    經濟學系
    87258010
    Source URI: http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#A2002001797
    Data Type: thesis
    Appears in Collections:[經濟學系] 學位論文

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