政大機構典藏-National Chengchi University Institutional Repository(NCCUR):Item 140.119/80492

English | 正體中文 | 简体中文 | Post-Print筆數 : 27 | Items with full text/Total items : 113656/144643 (79%)
Visitors : 51718314 Online Users : 568

RC Version 6.0 © Powered By DSPACE, MIT. Enhanced by NTU Library IR team.

Home ‧ Login ‧ Upload ‧ Help ‧ About ‧ Administer

政大機構典藏 > 商學院 > 資訊管理學系 > 期刊論文 > Item 140.119/80492

Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: https://nccur.lib.nccu.edu.tw/handle/140.119/80492

Title:	User adoption of wisdom of crowd: usage and performance of prediction market system
Authors:	李有仁;童振源;張書勳 Li, Eldon Y.;Tung, Chen-Yuan;Chang, Shu-Hsun
Contributors:	資管系
Keywords:	wisdom of crowd;prediction markets;MSRs;market scoring rules;CDA;continuous double auction;epidemic prediction;TPB;theory of planned behaviour;continuance intention;user adoption;risk management;Taiwan;infectious diseases;disease prediction;public welfare;hedonic motivations;prize motivation;trading performance;user satisfaction;perceived behaviour control;peer influence
Date:	2015-07
Issue Date:	2016-01-11 14:36:45 (UTC+8)
Abstract:	Prediction markets have been adopted to forecast events (trends) and manage risks related to the events in different projects. This paper scrutinises the first prediction market system (PMS) established in Taiwan, which shows favourable accuracy of the PMS in predicting infectious diseases comparing with expected value of historical data for the same period. It further analyses the incentive structure as well as system quality of PMS to attract initial as well as continuous participation. The paper concludes that public welfare and hedonic motivations are the most significant factors driving members` initial participation in the PMS. And prize motivation influenced the trading performance in this prediction system. Finally, based upon theory of planned behaviour (TPB), this paper finds that satisfaction and perceived behaviour control of participants in the PMS have positive influences on continuance intention and actual participation, while peer influence has little positive impact.
Relation:	International Journal of Electronic Business,12(2),185-214
Data Type:	article
DOI 連結:	http://dx.doi.org/10.1504/IJEB.2015.069092
DOI:	10.1504/IJEB.2015.069092
Appears in Collections:	[資訊管理學系] 期刊論文

Files in This Item:

File	Description	Size	Format
index.html		0Kb	HTML2	1006	View/Open
408492.pdf		2351Kb	Adobe PDF2	731	View/Open

社群 sharing

著作權政策宣告 Copyright Announcement

1.本網站之數位內容為國立政治大學所收錄之機構典藏，無償提供學術研究與公眾教育等公益性使用，惟仍請適度，合理使用本網站之內容，以尊重著作權人之權益。商業上之利用，則請先取得著作權人之授權。
The digital content of this website is part of National Chengchi University Institutional Repository. It provides free access to academic research and public education for non-commercial use. Please utilize it in a proper and reasonable manner and respect the rights of copyright owners. For commercial use, please obtain authorization from the copyright owner in advance.

2.本網站之製作，已盡力防止侵害著作權人之權益，如仍發現本網站之數位內容有侵害著作權人權益情事者，請權利人通知本網站維護人員(nccur@nccu.edu.tw)，維護人員將立即採取移除該數位著作等補救措施。
NCCU Institutional Repository is made to protect the interests of copyright owners. If you believe that any material on the website infringes copyright, please contact our staff(nccur@nccu.edu.tw). We will remove the work from the repository and investigate your claim.

Loading...