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    Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: https://nccur.lib.nccu.edu.tw/handle/140.119/77680


    Title: 區間時間序列預測準確度探討
    Authors: 徐惠莉
    Contributors: 應數系
    Keywords: 區間時間序列;隨機區間;平均區間誤差平方和;平均相對區間誤差和
    Date: 2008
    Issue Date: 2015-08-18 16:25:27 (UTC+8)
    Abstract: 區間時間序列在決策過程中提供重要的信息,特別是在經濟發展、人口政策、規劃管理或金融監管等方面,因此如何計算出預測區間的精確度成為一個重要議題。本文提出兩種區間預測準確度分析的方法,通過估計預測結果的平均區間誤差平方和及平均相對區間誤差和,比較不同預測方法的優劣。并由預測區間與實際區間的重疊位置,充分說明預測方法所具有的有效性。這些分析預測區間準確度的方法,將為管理者提供更客觀的決策空間。
    Relation: 數量經濟技術經濟研究,2008(1),133-140
    Data Type: article
    Appears in Collections:[Department of Mathematical Sciences] Periodical Articles

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