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    題名: 財政幻覺 ─ 行為財政學的觀點
    Fiscal Illusion ─ A Perspective of Behavioral Public Finance
    作者: 陳皖瑜
    貢獻者: 周德宇
    陳皖瑜
    關鍵詞: 財政幻覺
    行為財政學
    地方政府財政
    Fiscal Illusion
    Behavioral Public Finance
    Local Public Finance
    日期: 2015
    上傳時間: 2015-07-13 11:17:48 (UTC+8)
    摘要: 不論是坊間或專業團體所發布的數據、圖表、民調等資料都可以發現,當台灣地方政府面臨債務餘額逐年增加的同時,地方民眾仍支持政府舉辦大型活動,此即為財政幻覺的具體表徵。本論文研究之動機,便是想探討民眾是否受到政府支出的誘惑,進而支持政府過度發行公債以達成政府過度支出的情形。

    文獻回顧的部分,除了介紹財政幻覺基本經濟模型外,還有介紹財政幻覺實證研究結果。接續財政幻覺介紹之後,討論台灣地方政府自有財源不足但民眾仍支持開銷龐大項目的現象。此部分並引入目前台灣地方政府各種大型活動之預算以及活動支出概況數據表格,顯示出台灣地方政府的大型活動開銷金額支龐大。文獻回顧最後,介紹行為財政學與行為經濟學之應用,並利用行為財政學之模型作為此篇論文的理論模型。

    經濟模型的部份,討論跨期模型時,把誘惑因素以及利他因素加入至模型中,並求解民眾在第一、二期受到利他與誘惑這兩者之間抗衡的結果。模型推論最後發現,就減少第一期舉債數量來看,單獨只有誘惑因素影響,沒有明顯之效果;但是只有利他因素的影響,效果比同時考慮誘惑、利他因素的結果還要有效。這表示利他因素對於抑制政府舉債數量有一定之影響力。

    本論文最後提到研究之限制,為理論模型尚且未能充分反應台灣真實狀況,期許未來學術研究能夠引入台灣的數據資料,為台灣地方政府政策研究貢獻一份心力。
    One of the most notable developments in recent Taiwan’s local public finance is to witness the growing size of debts and the growing popularity among constituency of those governments.

    To coin the term of fiscal illusion, most conventional literature takes the complexity of the taxation system as the major driving factor. Empirical studies are also surveyed in the thesis to compare to the phenomena in Taiwan. We use the stylized facts of Taiwan’s local spending to justify the use of a behavioral public finance model.

    Specifically, we develop a simple dynamic model incorporating bequest, debt financing, payroll tax with an unique temptation effect to address fiscal illusion. The findings show that bequest motive dominates the temptation effect in curbing debt financing.
    參考文獻: 中文部分

    李顯峰、陳儷文,2001,〈台灣地方財政不均與區域發展之研究〉,《財稅研究》,33(1):47-104。

    林恭正、姚明鴻、黃崇哲、蘇建榮,2013,〈歲入多元化與歲入穩定之研究:台灣地方政府之實證分析〉,兩岸發展關係比較學術研討會。

    吳佳穎,2010,《地方節慶, 創意經營-宜蘭國際童玩藝術節個案研究》,國立臺灣大學建築與城鄉研究所學位論文。

    蘇彩足,2000,〈歐洲地方政府之財政自主性〉,《主計月報》,540:41-47。

    劉志宏、郭乃菱,2012,〈歲入多元化與歲入穩定之研究:台灣地方政府之實政分析〉,《行政計政策學報》,54:83-120。

    余守章,2002,《統籌分配稅制度改進之研究:基於促進財政努力之觀點》,國立中山大學公共事務管理研究所碩士論文。

    陳立剛,1998,〈地方財政問題與調整之道〉,《政策月刊》,30:8-9。

    陳平路、陳遙根,2007,《行為財政理論架構下的黑工市場逃稅行為分析》,湖北省武漢市華中科技大學財政金融管理系博士論文。

    哭窮還狂燒錢?全台16縣市跨年晚會1夜花掉1億元
    (http://www.ettoday.net/news/20131202/302934.htm)

    喊窮有理?跨年晚會一夜燒掉1500萬!預算爆增700萬,郝市長搶當燒錢領頭羊
    (http://blog.udn.com/wenchiehl/7102049)

    財政收支劃分法 - 全國法規資料庫 - 法務部
    (http://law.moj.gov.tw/LawClass/LawAll.aspx?PCode=G0320015)

    MBA智庫百科
    (http://wiki.mbalib.com/wiki/%E9%A6%96%E9%A1%B5)

    全台燈會燒掉4億 約一間小學40年之經費
    (http://davidli.pixnet.net/blog/post/42888190-%E5%85%A8%E5%8F%B0%E7%87%88%E6%9C%83%E7%87%924%E5%84%84%EF%BC%8C1%E5%B0%8F%E5%AD%B840%E5%B9%B4%E7%B6%93%E8%B2%BB(%E8%B7%A8%E5%B9%B415%E5%B9%B4)(%E5%A4%A2%E6%83%B3 )

    劉政鴻滿意度高?你應該要知道的調查真相
    (http://www.cw.com.tw/article/article.action?id=5067422)

    天下雜誌505期
    (http://www.cw.com.tw/ppt/powerpoint.action?id=432)

    天下雜誌531期
    (http://www.cw.com.tw/article/article.action?id=5052286)

    天下雜誌555期
    (http://www.cw.com.tw/ppt/powerpoint.action?id=534)

    負債409億/國慶煙火秀 苗縣要燒1.8億
    (http://news.ltn.com.tw/news/politics/paper/589917)

    地方稅開徵的爭議
    (http://old.npf.org.tw/PUBLICATION/CL/095/CL-C-095-093.htm)


    英文部分

    Bahl, R., & Martinez-Vazquez, J. (2005) , Sequencing Fiscal Decentralization.Paper presented at the World Bank Conference, April 25, Washington D.C, World Bank.

    Baker, S. H. (1983). The determinants of median voter tax liability: An empirical test of the fiscal illusion hypothesis. Public Finance Review, 11(1), 95-108.

    Bergstrom, T. C., & Goodman, R. P. (1973). Private demands for public goods.The American Economic Review, 280-296.

    Breeden, C. H., & Hunter, W. J. (1985). Tax revenue and tax structure. Public Finance Review, 13(2), 216-224.

    Buchanan, J. M. (1967). The Fiscal Illusion. In Public Finance in Democratic Process: Fiscal Institutions and Individual Choice. Chapel Hill: University of North Carolina Press.

    Clotfelter, C. T. (1976). Public spending for higher education: An empirical test of two hypotheses. Public Finance= Finances Publiques, 31(2), 177-95.

    Dalamagas, B. (1993). Fiscal illusion and the level of indebtedness: An international comparison. South African Journal of Economics, 61(1), 29-37.

    Dollery, B. E., & Worthington, A. C. (1995). State expenditure and fiscal illusion in Australia: A test of the revenue complexity, revenue elasticity and flypaper hypotheses. Economic Analysis and Policy, 25(2), 125-140.

    Dollery, B. E., & Worthington, A. C. (1996). The empirical analysis of fiscal illusion. Journal of Economic Surveys, 10(3), 261-297.

    DiLorenzo, T. J. (1982). Tax Elasticity and the Growth of Local Public-Expenditure. Public Finance Quarterly, 10(3), 385-392..

    Dougan, W. R., & Kenyon, D. A. (1988). Pressure groups and public expenditures: The flypaper effect reconsidered. Economic Inquiry, 26(1), 159-170.

    Floyd, J. E., & Hynes, J. A. (1978). Debt illusion and imperfect information.European Economic Review, 11(4), 379-386.

    Frederick, S., Loewenstein, G., & O`donoghue, T. (2002). Time discounting and time preference: A critical review. Journal of economic literature, 351-401.

    Fuster, L. (1999). Is altruism important for understanding the long-run effects of social security?. Review of Economic Dynamics, 2(3), 616-637.

    Grossman, P. J. (1990). The impact of federal and state grants on local government spending: A test of the fiscal illusion hypothesis. Public Finance Review, 18(3), 313-327.

    Hubbard, R. G., & Judd, K. L. (1987). Social security and individual welfare: precautionary saving, borrowing constraints, and the payroll tax. The American Economic Review, 630-646.

    Hunter, W. J., & Scott, C. E. (1986). Interstate differences in individual income taxes. Public Finance Review, 14(1), 69-85.

    Kopczuk, W., & Lupton, J. P. (2007). To leave or not to leave: The distribution of bequest motives. The Review of Economic Studies, 74(1), 207-235.

    Kreps, D. M. (1979). A representation theorem for " preference for flexibility” . Econometrica: Journal of the Econometric Society, 565-577.

    Kumru, C. S., & Tran, C. (2012). Temptation and social security in a dynastic framework. European Economic Review, 56(7), 1422-1445.

    Logan, R. R. (1986). Fiscal illusion and the grantor government. The Journal of Political Economy, 1304-1318.

    Martinez-Vazquez, J. (1983). Renters` Illusion or Savvy?. Public Finance Review, 11(2), 237-247.

    McCaffery, E. J., & Slemrod, J. B. (2004). Toward an agenda for behavioral public finance. USC Law and Economics Research Paper, 04-25.

    McCulloch, J. R. (1975). A Treatise on the Practical Influence of Taxation and the Funding Systems, ristampato a cura di DP O`Brien.

    Mill, J. S. (1973). Principles of Political Economy.Longman, Green and Co. Original Edition 1848,New Edition 1909, Reprint New Jersey: Augustus M. Kelley, Clifton.

    Misiolek, W. S., & Elder, H. W. (1988). Tax structure and the size of government: An empirical analysis of the fiscal illusion and fiscal stress arguments. Public Choice, 57(3), 233-245.

    Oates, W. E. (1975). Automatic increases in tax revenues: The effect on the size of the public budget. Financing the New Federation. Revenue Sharing, Conditional Grants and Taxation, Johns Hopkins University Press, Baltimore.

    Wagner, R. E. (1976). Revenue structure, fiscal illusion, and budgetary choice.Public Choice, 25(1), 45-61.

    Winer, S. L. (1983). Some evidence on the effect of the separation of spending and taxing decisions. The Journal of Political Economy, 126-140.
    描述: 碩士
    國立政治大學
    財政研究所
    102255018
    103
    資料來源: http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G0102255018
    資料類型: thesis
    顯示於類別:[財政學系] 學位論文

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