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    題名: 報導習性與MD&A當期報導一致性之關聯研究
    A Study of the Relationship between the Past Reporting Tendency and the Reporting Consistency of MD&A
    作者: 莊南琦
    貢獻者: 周濟群
    莊南琦
    關鍵詞: 報導習性
    報導一致性
    文字探勘
    MD&A
    K-means
    Reporting tendency
    Reporting consistency
    Text mining
    MD&A
    K-means
    日期: 2014
    上傳時間: 2015-07-01 14:43:09 (UTC+8)
    摘要: 本研究透過文字探勘法(Text Mining)對美國2004年至2014年之企業進行分析，擷取10-K年報中之MD&A段落及Compustat資料庫中企業之財務資料，利用正負向詞典、向量空間模型(VSM)、TFIDF技術、K-means演算法等技術，將企業之MD&A與財務績效進行分群，最終將MD&A與財務績效之報導語調分類為悲觀、保守、持平、樂觀、誇大，共5種企業報導情境。本研究探討過去企業管理階層之MD&A報導語調與當期MD&A報導語調與財務績效一致性之關聯，研究假說為企業當期MD&A之報導一致性，會與過去的報告習性呈現正相關，亦即若過去企業報導習性呈現樂觀之平均報導語調，企業在當期MD&A與財務績效一致性也會有偏向樂觀之報導語調。

    研究結果顯示，企業過去3年之平均報導語調與當期企業MD&A與財務績效一致性之報導語調呈現顯著正相關，故可以合理推論，隨著時間經過，管理階層仍會維持相同的MD&A報告習性。
    This study presented a way to analyze US’s enterprises from 2004 to 2014 via text mining method. I use computer programs to capture MD&A paragraphs in 10-K annual report and financial information in Compustat database. The methods used to measure the consistency of MD&A and financial performance include Dictionary approach, TFIDF, Vector space model (VSM) and K-means cluster analysis. The consistency can be presented five different reporting tones: pessimistic, conservative, fair, optimistic, exaggerate.

    This study investigated the relationship between management’s past reported tendency of MD&A and current-year reporting consistency of MD&A and financial performance. Research hypotheses is current-year reporting consistency will present significantly positive relationship to the past reporting tendency. It’s present that if the average reported tendency in past three years showing the optimistic tone, current-year reporting consistency of MD&A and financial performance will also report optimistic tone.

    The results show that companies’ average reported tendency in past three years presents significantly positive relationship to the current-year reporting consistency of MD&A and financial performance. The results can be reasonably inferred that enterprise’s management will maintain the same reporting tendency in disclosing MD&A from the past years to the current year.
    參考文獻: 第一節 中文參考文獻

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    第二節 英文參考文獻

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    描述: 碩士
    國立政治大學
    會計研究所
    102353023
    103
    資料來源: http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G0102353023
    資料類型: thesis
    顯示於類別:[會計學系] 學位論文

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