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政大機構典藏 > 社會科學學院 > 財政學系 > 期刊論文 > Item 140.119/74027

Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: https://nccur.lib.nccu.edu.tw/handle/140.119/74027

Title:	Empirical study of the local government deficit, land finance and real estate markets in China
Authors:	Pan J.-N., Huang J.-T., Chiang T.-F. 黃智聰
Contributors:	財政系
Keywords:	Local government deficit;Land finance;Real estate;China;Panel smooth transition regression model
Date:	2015-02
Issue Date:	2015-03-25 10:15:42 (UTC+8)
Abstract:	The purpose of this study is to explore an important issue concerning the relationship among the local government deficit, land finance and real estate markets in China. This study uses a panel data of 30 provinces in China during 1999–2010 to estimate the panel smooth transition regression model. Since the estimated transition threshold value is 14.62, provinces with the ratio of fiscal deficits to GDP of greater than 14.62% are categorized as in the high fiscal difficulty (HFD) regime. Otherwise they are in the low fiscal difficulty (LFD) regime. The primary finding of this study is that the land leasing fee has a significantly positive influence on the total value of commodity buildings sold in the LFD regime. In addition, the local fiscal deficit has a significantly positive impact on the real estate market in the LFD regime, but this impact turns to be negative in the HFD regime.
Relation:	China Economic Review,32,57-67
Data Type:	article
DOI 連結:	http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.chieco.2014.11.003
DOI:	10.1016/j.chieco.2014.11.003
Appears in Collections:	[財政學系] 期刊論文

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