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    Title: 小布希總統時期美國對台軍售之研究-以售台潛艦為例
    Study on the Us-Taiwan military sales program during president George W. Bush terms - case of submarine acquisition
    Authors: 趙建國
    Contributors: 姜家雄
    趙建國
    Keywords: 安全援助
    軍售
    發價書
    軍工複合體
    潛艦
    Date: 2010
    Issue Date: 2012-04-17 09:30:19 (UTC+8)
    Abstract: 二次世界大戰結束後,美國基於整體國家利益,在外交政策上運用對外安全援助來協助盟邦及友邦維持、獲得和平與安全。在美國對外安全援助中「軍售」是最大的計畫單元,美國藉由軍售來支持美國的外交政策與安全目標,同時達到友盟合作,以強化區域安全,亦使美國與盟邦及友邦間物資、教範及訓練建立標準化的模式,更有助於美國提升國防工業產能、增加美國就業業機會與降低武器裝備研發、生產的成本。
    1979年中華民國與美國斷交後,美國對台灣提供防衛性武器就從軍援變為軍售,美國對台軍售雖遭中國大陸不斷阻撓,但美國基於國家利益與全球戰略布局下,仍持續對台軍售,然隨著國際與國內情勢的轉變,美國亦隨之調整對台軍售的政策。小布希總統2001年1月就任後,即於4月份宣佈同意軍售柴電潛艦等多項武器裝備,並停止行之有年的軍售會議,但受到此期間美國整體反恐戰略的布局及美中、美台與兩岸關係的劇烈變化,使美國對台軍售立場再度修回保守的立場。
    小布希總統2001年同意循軍售方式供售台灣8艘柴電潛艦,因美國已不生產柴電潛艦,遂積極展開協商第三國的協助,卻在台灣立法院質疑美國報價合理性、構型不明確,與堅持推動「潛艦國造」的狀況下,使美國遭遇前所未有的推動阻力,是美國始料未及的。雖然台灣在2008年通過柴電潛艦第一階段首年預算,然而小布希總統直至卸任仍未向國會申請授權,對台灣而言,實已錯失籌獲潛艦的最佳時機。
    本論文主要探討小布希時期對台軍售由最佳的時期轉變為最壞的年代,其中國際與國內的變化及轉折,並以美售台潛艦之個案研究來驗證文中闡述的變數。
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    國防部軍事發言人室譯稿。梅復興。〈中華民國海軍潛艦購案〉。《台海軍情》(Taiwan Defense Review),2004年2月。
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    鄭赤炎。〈反分裂國家法的立法動機及其效應〉,《中國評論》,2005年3月,頁25-28。
    〈反分裂國家法〉,《中國評論》,2005年4月,頁45-47。
    潘光。〈中國反恐戰略的形成、發展和強化〉。《中國評論》。2004年11月,頁10-13。
    羅祥喜。〈中共對台政策的大方向〉。《中國評論》,2002年12月,頁11-14。
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    四、報紙
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    王玉燕,〈台灣大選中中共選擇「理性」對待〉,《聯合報》,2003年10月6日,版A13。
    王光慈,〈張良任赴美拜會歐巴馬團隊〉,《聯合報》,2008年11月21日,版A4。
    朱雲漢,〈星期專論—當總統大選變成世紀豪賭時〉,《中國時報》,2003年11月17日,版A2。
    李潔明1991年12月5日於哈佛大學甘迺迪學院講話,《聯合報》,民國80年12月7日,版1。
    姚中原,〈「軍購案」牽動美日台三邊合作〉,《大紀元》,2005年10月18日,版3。
    范凌嘉、王光慈,〈軍購案,看明天能否送國會〉,《聯合報》,2008年9月26日,版A13。
    張瑞昌,〈防衛性公投 日籲扁審慎處理〉,《中國時報》,2003年12月30日,版A2。
    楊永明,〈對台軍售的國內因素〉,《中國時報》,2005年9月26日,版A15。
    劉屏,〈美眾議員提案促中共撤飛彈〉,《中國時報》,2003年6月29日,版A13。
    劉屏,〈聽扁說夢美:誰願隨他下地獄?〉,《中國時報》,2007年9月9日,版A4。
    「王在希會見親民黨三通參訪團」,《人民日報》,2001年4月3日,版4。
    「唐樹備在”反台獨、促統一”研討會上說台灣新領導人越早承認一個中國的原則越能給兩岸關係的穩定和發展帶來契機」,《人民日報》,2000年4月28日,版4。
    五、學位論文
    朱建樹。《美國軍售政策與對華軍售之研究-析論一九七九年以後對華軍售政策》。淡江大學美國研究所碩士論文。民國75年6月。
    貳、英文部分
    一、政府出版品
    “Address Before a Joint Session of the Congress on the United State”, Response to the Terrorist Attacks of September 11,” Weekly Compilation of Presidential Documents”, Vol. 37, No. 38 (September 24, 2001), p. 1348。
    Bush George W., “Address Before a Joint Session of the Congress on the State of the Union”, January 29, 2002, “Weekly Compilationof Presidential Documents”, Vol. 38, No. 5(February 4, 2002), pp. 133-139.
    Bush George W., “Remarks at a Welcoming Ceremony for Premier Wen Jiabao of China”, December 9, 2003,” Weekly Compilation of Presidential Documents”, Vol. 39, No. 50 (December 15, 2003), p. 1776。
    Department of Defense, “Report on PRC Military Power,” July 30, 2003.
    Dumbaugh Kerry, “Taiwan-U.S. Political Relations: New Straits and Changes”(Washington, D.C.: Congressional Research Service, Order Code RL33684, October 10, 2006)。
    Greenstein Fred I., “The George W. Bush Presidency: An Early Assessment”, Baltimore: The Johns Hopkins University Press, 2003.
    Kan Shirley A.,” Taiwan: Annual Arms Sales Proces”s, “CRS Report for Congress”, Order Code RS20365(Washington, D.C.: Congressional Research Service, Updated June 5, 2001)。
    Kan Shirley A., “Taiwan: Annual Arms Sales Process”,” CRS Report for Congress”, Order Code RS30957(Washington, D.C.: Congressional Research Service, Updated August 31, 2010), pp. 1-2。
    Kan Shirley A., “Taiwan: Major U.S. Arms Sales Since 1990”, “Congressional Research Service Report for Congress” (Washington, D.C.: The Library of Congress, October 21, 2004), pp. 3-4。
    Kan Shirley, Bolkcom Christopher, and Rourke Ronald O, “ China’s Foreign Conventional Arms Acquisitions: Background and Analysis,” CRS Report for Congress”, October 10, 2000.
    “Remarks Following Discussions With Premier Wen Jiabao of China and an Exchange With Reports”, December 9, 2003, ”Weekly Compilation of Presidential Documents”, pp. 1777-1778。
    Sutter Robert G., “The United States and East Asia: Dynamics and Implications", "Maryland: Rowman & Littlefield Publishers”, Inc2003.
    The White House, Remarks by National Security Advisor Hadley to the National Bureau of Asian Research Strategic Asia Forum, Washington, D.C., April 5, 2006”。
    “The President’s Radio Address”, ”Weekly Compilation of Presidential Documents”, October 9, 2006。
    U.S. Congress, Nomination of China L. Powell to Be Secretary of State, Hearing before the Committee on Foreign Relations, “United States Senate, 107th Congress, First Session”, January 17, 2001 (Washington, D.C.: U.S. Government Printing Office, 2001)。
    U.S. Congress, Nomination of Colin L. Powell to Be Secretary of State, Hearing before the Committee on Foreign Relations, “United States Senate, 107th Congress, First Session”, January 17, 2001(Washington, D.C.: U.S. Government Printing Office, 2001)。
    U.S. Department of Defense, 2002 Annual Report on the Military Power of PRC, Report to Congress Pursuant to the FY 2000 National Defense authorization Act.
    U.S. Congress, U.S. Security Policy in Asia and the Pacific: Restructuring America’s Forward Deployment, Hearing before the Subcommittee on Asia and the Pacific of the Committee on International Relations, House of Representatives, 108th Congress, First Session, June 26, 2003 (Washington, DC: Government Printing Office, 2003)。
    U.S. Department of Defense, “Quadrennial Defense Review Report”, Washington, D.C.: Department of Defense, September 30, 2001 , pp. Ⅳ-27。
    U.S. Department of State, Joint Statement, “Joint Statement of the U.S.-Japan Security Consultative Committee,” Washington, DC, February 19, 2005。
    U.S. Congress, China’s Anti-Secession Law and Developments Across the Taiwan Strait, Hearing before the Subcommittee on Asia and Pacific of the Committee on International Relations, House of Representatives, 109th Congress, First Session, April 6, 2005, (Washington DC, U.S. Government Printing office), 2005, pp. 2-3。
    “U.S.-China Economic and Security Review Commission”, Hearing on Military Modernization and Cross-Strait Balance, p. 12, 21。
    US Congress, “The Taiwan Relations Act: The Next Twenty-Five Years, Hearing before the Committee on International Relations” ,”House of Representatives, 108th Congress, Second Session”, April 21, 2004(Washington, DC: U.S. Government Printing Office, 2004) , pp. 59。
    U.S. Congress, Nomination of Hon. Donald H. Rumsfeld to be Secretary of Defense, Hearing before the Committee on Armed Services, United States Senate, 107th, First Session, January 11, 2001(Washington, D.C.: U.S. Government Printing Office, 2002), pp. 51。
    U.S. Congress, The International Campaign Against Terrorism, Hearing before the Committee on Foreign Relations, United States Senate, 107th Congress, First Session, October 25, 2001 (Washington, D.C.: U.S. Government Printing Office, 2001), pp. 10。
    U.S. Congress, Foreign Policy Overview and President’s Fiscal Year 2003 Foreign Affairs Budget Request, Hearing before Committee on Foreign Relations, United State Senate, 107th Congress, Second Session, February 5, 2002 (Washington, D.C.: U.S. Government Printing Office, 2002), pp. 15。
    U.S.-Taiwan Business Council, “Defense and Security Report”, 3rd Quarter 2005。
    U.S.-Taiwan Business Council, “Defense and Aerospace Report” , Second Quarter 2003; Bloomberg, July 10, 2003; “Defense Daily”, July 11, 2003; TDReview, September 19, 2003。
    二、專書
    Batchelor John, Perston Antony, and Casey Louis S., “Sea Power”, New York: Phoebus Publishing Company, 1979.
    Brookes Peter T., “U.S.-Taiwan Defense Relations in the Bush Administration in Strategic Surprise? U.S.-China Relations in the Early Twenty – first Century”, ed., Jonathan D. Pollack, Newport, RD: Naval War College Press, 2003.
    Chase, Michael S., “U.S.–Taiwan Security Cooperation: Enhancing an Unofficial Relationship,” in Nancy Bernkopf Tucker edited , Dangerous Strait: The U.S. – Taiwan – China Crisis, New York: Columbia University Press, 2005.
    Cliff Roger, Burles Mark, Chase Michael S., Eaton Derek, Pollpeter, Kevin, “Entering the Dragon’s Lair: Chinese Anti-access Strategies and Their implications for the United States”, Santa Monica, CA: RAND, 2007。
    Donovan John C., “The Policy Makers”, New York: Pegasus, 1970.
    Dupuy Trevor N., “The Evolution of Weapons and Warfare,” Fairfax, Virginia: Da Capo Press, 1984.
    Fuller J. F. C., “Armament and History: The Influence of Armament on History from the Dawn of Classical Warfare to the End of the Second World War”, New York: Da Capo Press, 1998.
    Hill J. R., “Anti-Submarine Warfare,” Annapolis, Maryland: U.S. Naval Institute Press, 1985.
    Jameson William, “The Most Formidable Thing: The Story of the Submarine from Its Earliest Days to the End of World WarΠ,” London: Rupert-Hart-Davis, 1965.
    Jane’s Fighting Ship, 1989-90. Surry: Jane’s Information Group, 1989.
    Ji You, “A Blue Water Navy: Does It Matter, in China Rising: Nationalism and Interdependence”,(eds.), S.G. David Goodman and Segal Gerald, London and New York: Routledge, 1997.
    Kegley Jr. Charles W. and Wittkopf Eugene R., “American Foreign Policy: Patterns and Process”, 5th ed. New York: St. Martin’s, 1996.
    Kissinger, Henry ,”American Foreign Policy”,New York:W. W. Norton and Co., Inc., 1977.
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    三、期刊、雜誌
    Bachman David, “The United States and China: Rhetoric and Reality,” Current History, Vol. 100, No. 647, September 2001, pp. 257-262.
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    Hemmer, Christopher and Katzenstein Peter J., “Why Is No NATO in Asia ? Collective Identity, Regionalism, and the Origins of Multilateralism, “International Organization, Vol. 56, No. 3, (Summer 2002).
    Hughes, Christopher “Living with ‘One Country, Two Systems’?” Cambridge Review of International Affairs, Vol. 14, No. 2(2001), pp. 121-134.
    Ikenberry, G. John “American Grand Strategy in the Age of Terror,” Survival, Vol. 43, No. 4,(Winter2001-02), pp. 19-34.
    Jaffe, Greg “U.S. Navy, Defense Industry Push Sale of Aegis Destroyers to Taiwan,” The Wall Street Journal, March 21, 2001.
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    Joffe Josef, ”Bismarck or Britain ? Toward an American Grand Strategy After Bipolarity,” International Security, Vol. 19, No. 4, (Spring 1995).
    Joffe Josef,” How America Does It, ”Foreign Affairs, Vol. 76, No. 5, (September/October 1997), pp. 13-27.
    Kangan, Robert and Kristol William,” Will China Pay No Price?” The Weekly Standard, April 30, 2002.
    Kaplan, Robert D., “How We Would Fight China,” The Atlantic Monthly, June 2005, pp. 53-59.
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    Lague, David “U.S. Hold Tighter to Taiwan’s Hand,” Far Eastern Economic Review, August 30, 2001, pp. 12-16.
    Lampton, David M., “Cycles, Process, Post-APEC China US Relation”s”, Shanghai Institute on International Studies, September 3-4, 2001.
    Lintner, Bertil “Arms for Eyes: Military Sales Raise China’s profile in Bay of Bengal,” Far Economic Review, December 16, 1993, pp. 26-29.
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    四、報紙
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    Letter from Richard Lawless to Taiwan’s Defense Minister Lee Jye, June 27, 2006; Jim Wolf, “U.S. Clear Two-Stage Path to Taiwan Submarine Deal,” Reuters, July 14, 2006.
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    Ricks, Thomas E., “Pentagon Study May bring Big Shake-Up; Unconventional Defense Thinker Conducting Review,” The Washington Post, February 9, 2001, p. A. 1.
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    參、網路
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    Description: 碩士
    國立政治大學
    外交學系戰略與國際事務碩士在職專班
    97922020
    99
    Source URI: http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G0097922020
    Data Type: thesis
    Appears in Collections:[戰略與國際事務碩士在職專班] 學位論文

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