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    政大機構典藏 > 商學院 > 會計學系 > 學位論文 >  Item 140.119/36635
    Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: https://nccur.lib.nccu.edu.tw/handle/140.119/36635


    Title: 盈餘宣告前之融券信用交易
    Authors: 湯智勝
    Tang, Chih-Sheng
    Contributors: 郭弘卿
    湯智勝
    Tang, Chih-Sheng
    Keywords: 盈餘宣告
    信用交易
    融券
    事件研究法
    earnings announcement
    margin trading
    short-selling
    event study
    Date: 2005
    Issue Date: 2009-09-18 19:02:58 (UTC+8)
    Abstract: 本研究主要探討兩項關於融券交易的議題。首先,本研究發現巨量融券與續後的股價反應呈現顯著的負相關。再者,進一步探究盈餘宣告前的融券信用交易是否與非盈餘宣告的時間存有差異。本研究是採用在台灣證券交易所上市之股票並觀察其盈餘宣告前五日之融券交易行為。實證結果發現盈餘宣告前的融券與盈餘宣告後的股價反應存在負向關係,顯示可能有私有資訊的交易者在盈餘宣告前進行融券交易。接下來本研究進一步使用基本財務比率中的帳面價值對市價比將樣本區分成價值型與成長型之股票,發現擁有較低比率之公司較受融券交易者之青睞。本研究希望研究成果能對證券市場主管機關在制訂法律與提供更即時、更廣泛的信用交易資訊揭露給投資大眾參考。
    This research examines two issues of short-selling transactions.First,we find a strong negative relationship between short interest and subsequent abnormal returns.The second is whether short-selling in the days leading up to an announcement differs from short-selling in times when no announcement is imminent.We examine short-selling behavior of investors in the five days prior to the earnings announcements of Taiwan Stock Exchange (TSE)listed firms.The tests provide evidence that there might exist informed trading in pre-announcement short-selling because they reveal that abnormal short-selling is significantly linked to post-announcement stock returns.A high level of unusual pre-announcement short-selling is an indicator of future stock returns at earnings announcement.Also,the tests indicate that short-sellers typically are more active in stocks with low book-to-market ratio valuation.We believe that these results should encourage financial market regulators to consider providing more extensive and timely disclosures of short-selling to investors.
    Reference: 一、中文部份
    王慧雲,1998,年度盈餘宣告資訊效果的實證研究,國立中山大學財務管理系未出版碩士論文。
    王麗真,2004,盈餘宣告資訊效果與公司股價行為之研究,銘傳大學財務金融學系未出版碩士論文。
    王正翔,2002,盈餘宣告日前後未預期盈餘及股價報酬率之關聯性研究,東海大學管理碩士學程在職進修專班未出版碩士論文。
    李釗芹,2000,台灣上市公司自行宣告盈餘資訊內涵之研究,東海大學管理研究所未出版碩士論文。
    余尚武,1986,台灣證券交易市場股票上市公司盈餘宣告所含資訊內容之研究,國立台灣大學商學研究所未出版碩士論文。
    周燕玲,2001,台灣股票市場融券行為之實證研究,東海大學經濟系未出版碩士論文。
    姚復章,1996,融券餘額與超額報酬關係之研究,國立中正大學國際經濟所未出版碩士論文。
    許哲源,2002,從季盈餘宣告觀察交易量之資訊內涵,東海大學企管研究所未出版碩士論文。
    葉怡芬,2004,信用交易之資訊內涵及其投資策略獲利性之研究,國立成功大學財務金融研究所未出版碩士論文。
    羅順傑,2001,現金增資期間融券行為之研究,國立政治大學會計系未出版碩士論文。
    二、英文部份
    Aitken, M., A. Frino, M. McCorry, and P. Swan. 1998. Short sales are almost instantaneously bad news: evidence from the Australian stock exchange. Journal of Finance 53: 2205–2223.
    Asquith, P., and L. Meulbroek. 1996. An empirical investigation of short interest.Working paper, Harvard Business School.
    Ball, R., and P. Brown. 1968. An empirical evaluation of accounting numbers. Journal of Accounting Research 6: 159–178.
    Bamber, L. 1987. Unexpected earnings, firm size, and trading volume around quarterly earnings announcements. The Accounting Review 62(July): 510–532.
    Beaver, W., R. Clarke, and W. Wright. 1979. The association between unsystematic security returns and the magnitude of earnings forecast errors. Journal of Accounting Research: 316–340.
    Beaver, W., R. Lambert, and D. Morse. 1980. The information content of security prices. Journal of Accounting and Economics 2: 3–28.
    Bernard, V., and J. Thomas. 1989. Post-earnings-announcement drift: Delayed price response or risk premium. Journal of Accounting Research 27(supplement): 1–36.
    Bhattacharya, A., and G. Gallinger. 1991. Causality tests of short sales on the New York Stock Exchange. Journal of Financial Research 14: 277–286.
    Brent, A., D. Morse, and E. Stice. 1990. Short interest: Explanations and tests. Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis 25: 273–289.
    Chambers, A., and P. Stephen. 1984. Timeliness of reporting and the stock price reaction to earnings announcements. Journal of Accounting Research 22:21–47.
    Chen, H., and V. Singal. 2003. Role of speculative short sales in price formation: theCase of the weekend effect. Journal of Finance 58: 685–705.
    Choie, K., and J. Hwang. 1994. Profitability of short-selling and exploitability of short information. Journal of Portfolio Management 20: 33–38.
    Conrad, J. 1986. The price effect of short sales restrictions: some empirical evidence.Ph. D. dissertation, University of Chicago.
    Dechow, P., A. Hutton, L. Meulbroek, and R. Sloan. 2001. Short sellers, fundamental analysis and stock returns. Journal of Financial Economics 61: 77–106.
    Diamond, W., and R. Verrecchia. 1987. Constraints on short-selling and asset price adjustment to private information. Journal of Financial Economics 18: 277–311.
    Easton, P., and T. Harris. 1991. Earnings as an explanatory variable for return. Journal of Accounting Research 29: 19–36.
    Figlewski, S. 1981. The informational effect of restrictions of short sales: some empirical evidence. Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis 16: 463–476.
    Figlewski, S., and G. Webb. 1993. Options, short sales, and market completeness. Journal of Finance 48: 761–777.
    Fama, F., and K. French. 1992. The cross-section of expected stock returns. Journal of Finance 47: 427–465.
    Fama, F., and K. French. 1995. Size and book-to-market factors in earnings and returns. Journal of Finance 50: 131–155.
    Judge, G., R. Hill, W. Griffiths, and T. Lee. 1985. The theory and practice of econometrics, New York, NY: John Wiley &Sons.
    Hemang, D., K. Ramesh, S. Thiagarajan, and B. Balachandran. 2002. An investigation of the informational role of short interest in Nasdaq market. Journal of Finance 57: 2263–2287.
    Lakonishok, J., S. Andrei, and V. Robert. 1994. Contrarian investment, extrapolation, and risk. Journal of Finance 49: 1541–1578.
    Latane, H., and C. Jones. 1977. Standardized unexpected earnings—A progress report. Journal of Finance 32: 1457–1465.
    Lev, B., and J. Patell. 1989. On the usefulness of earnings research: lessons and directions from two decades of empirical research. Journal of Accounting Research 27: 153–201.
    Litzenberger, R., and M. Richard. 1977. The adjustment of stock prices to announcements of unanticipated changes in quarterly earnings. Journal of Accounting Research 15: 207–230.
    Rendleman, R., C. Jones, and H. Latane. 1982. Empirical anomalies based on earnings’ yields and market values. Journal of Financial Economics 10: 269–287.
    Safieddine, A., and W. Wilhelm Jr. 1996. An empirical investigation of short-selling activity prior to seasoned equity offerings. Journal of Finance 51: 729–749.
    Senchack, A., and L. Starks. 1993. Short-sale restrictions and market reaction to short-interest announcements. Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis 28: 177–194.
    Skinner, D., and R. Sloan. 2002. Earnings surprises, growth expectations, and stock returns or don’t let an earnings torpedo sink your portfolio. Review of Accounting Studies 7: 289–312.
    Strong, N., and M. Walker. 1993. The explanatory power of earnings for stock returns. The Accounting Review 68: 385–399.
    Vu, J., and P. Caster. 1987. Why all the interest in short interest ? Financial Analysts Journal 43: 76–79.
    Woolridge, J., and A. Dickinson. 1994. Short selling and common stock prices. Financial Analysts Journal 50: 30–38.
    三、網站資料
    台灣證券交易所網站:http://www.tse.com.tw
    證券暨期貨市場發展基金會:http://www.sfi.org.tw
    證券暨期貨法令判解查詢系統:http://www.selaw.com.tw
    Description: 碩士
    國立政治大學
    會計研究所
    93353021
    94
    Source URI: http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G0093353021
    Data Type: thesis
    Appears in Collections:[會計學系] 學位論文

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