政大機構典藏-National Chengchi University Institutional Repository(NCCUR):Item 140.119/35903

政大機構典藏-National Chengchi University Institutional Repository(NCCUR):Item 140.119/35903

English | 正體中文 | 简体中文 | Post-Print筆數 : 27 | Items with full text/Total items : 113822/144841 (79%)
Visitors : 51796782 Online Users : 407

RC Version 6.0 © Powered By DSPACE, MIT. Enhanced by NTU Library IR team.

Scope

please add "double quotation mark" for query phrases to get precise results

please goto advance search for comprehansive author search

Adv. Search

Home ‧ Login ‧ Upload ‧ Help ‧ About ‧ Administer

Goto mobile version

政大典藏 > College of Social Science > Department of Land Economics > Theses > Item 140.119/35903

Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: https://nccur.lib.nccu.edu.tw/handle/140.119/35903

Title:	家戶住宅居住時間分析-存活模型之運用 The Study for Household Duration of Residence-Apply the Survival Analysis
Authors:	黃文祺
Contributors:	張金鶚黃文祺
Keywords:	遷徙行為居住時間存活分析 Migration duration of residence survival analysis
Date:	2007
Issue Date:	2009-09-18 16:20:54 (UTC+8)
Abstract:	在過去文獻中多有討論遷徙行為者，但少有對家戶的居住時間進行分析，本研究首先檢視自有者與租賃者之居住時間，其次為瞭解家戶對實質住宅的經濟需求較大，還是對已建立的社會關係網絡需求較大，提出居住時間的時間相依性問題，即隨著居住時間的增加，家戶會因為對住宅需求改變而愈容易遷徙？還是在累積惰性下愈不易遷徙？最後則是探討家戶居住時間的影響因素，藉由不同的住宅與家戶特徵來瞭解家戶可能的居住時間，以作為住宅遷徙、流動性及其他住宅政策分析之參考。本研究在實證方法上採取存活分析法，並利用華人家庭動態資料庫的橫斷面跨時資料進行研究。實證結果顯示，自有者的存活函數明顯大於租賃者，且自有家戶之居住時間為租賃家戶的3.11倍。另外，家戶遷徙機率具有正時間相依性，反應出家戶隨著居住時間的增加，遷徙機率會增加，然而自有家戶模型的遷徙機率卻呈現負時間相依性。居住時間影響因素實證結果，每人坪數較大，居住時間會較短，而年齡愈大與居住人數愈多者，居住時間會較長。 Although there are lots of studies exploring migration, few of them focus on analysis household duration of residence. Duration of residence is an important source of information for a variety of private and pubic decisions and for the understanding of various social and economic phenomena. This study makes a residence duration comparison between owners and tenants. Due to cumulative stress and inertia, moving probability will be increased or decreased. We attempt to describe the duration of residence is positive or negative time dependent. This study also provides the evidence that house and household characteristics determine the duration of residence. This empirical study employs the survival analysis and uses the data from Panel Study of Family Dynamics. The result indicates that the survival function of owners is larger than of tenant. Duration of owner residence is 3.11 times longer than that of tenants. Generally, household moving probability is positive while the owner’s is negative. Research finding further reveals that ping per person is negatively related to residence duration. Age and household size are positively related to residence duration.
Reference:	一、中文部分 1.李春長、張金鶚、林祖嘉(1997)，房屋交易市場上銷售期間之研究：存活模型之應用，國家科學委員會研究彙刊：人文及社會科學，七卷三期，P.420-437 2.林祖嘉(1988)，隨機程序模型下的住屋需求與遷徙，中國經濟學年會論文集，P.269-317 3.周美伶(2005)，先前租買經驗對自住者購屋搜尋行為之影響-存活分析之應用，十四卷一期P.21-40 4.高孟定（1987），住宅環境選擇行為之研究，國立台灣大學土木工程研究所博士論文 5.陳淑美、張金鶚、陳建良(2004)，家戶遷移與居住品質變化關係之研究-台北縣市的實證分析報，住宅學報，十三卷一期P.51-74 6.陳淑美、張金鶚(2002)，家戶遷移決策與路徑選擇之研究-台北縣市的實證研究，住宅學報，十一卷一期P.1-22 7.陳佳欣(2007)，家戶首次購置住宅與生命歷程之關聯分析，國立成功大學都市計劃研究所博士論文 8.曾喜鵬(2004)，居住遷移與住宅選擇模式建立之研究-以住宅消費失衡與調整為觀點的解釋，國立台北大學都市計劃研究所博士論文 9.靳燕玲、陳小紅(2007)，遷移計畫中的改善調整因素，中華民國住宅學會第十六屆論文集，P.307-320 10.薛立敏、曾喜鵬、謝鈺偉(2007)，台灣地區近年來遷移行為變化之影響因素分析-家戶遷移決策與遷移地點選擇之聯合估計，人口學刊，第34期，P.69-109 11.薛立敏(1999)，台灣地區居住遷徙行為與住宅市場關係之探討，中華民國住宅學會第八屆論文集，P.95-108 二、英文部分 1.Allison, P. D.(1995),“Survival Analysis Using the SAS System: A Practical Guide”, Cary, NC: SAS Institute Inc 2.Anily S., Jacob Hornik and Miron Israeli(1999),“Inferring the Distribution of Household’s Duration of Residence From Data on Current Residence Time”, Journal of Business & Economic Statistics 17,373-381 3.Brown, D. L. E. G., Moore(1970),“The Intra Urban Migration Process: A Perspective ”, Economic Geography 55,338-352 4.Boehm, T. P., K. R., Ihlanfeld (1986) “Residential Mobility and Neighborhood Quality”, Journal of Regional Science, 26(2): 411-424 5.Bassett, K., J. R., Short (1980) Housing and Residential Structure: Alternative Approaches, London, Boston and Henley: Routledge and Kegan Paul 6.Clark W. A. V., J. O., Huff(1977),“Some Empirical Test of a Joint Model of Residential Mobility and Housing Choice”, Environment and Planning 17,915-930 7.Cox, D. R. and D. Oakes(1984),“Analysis of Survival Data.”, London, New York: Croom Helm 8.Deng Y., Stuart A. Gabriel and Frank E. Nothaft(2003) “Duration of Residence in the Rental Housing Market”, Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics 26:2/3,267-285 9.Goodman, A. C. (2003) “Following a panel of stayers: Length of stay, tenure choice, and housing demand ”, Journal of Housing Economics 12,106-133 10.Gronberg T. J. and W. Robert Reed(1992),“Estimation of Duration Models Using the Annual Housing Survey”, Journal of Urban Economics 31,311-324 11.Haurin D. R., H. Leroy Gill(2002),“The Impact of Transaction Costs and the Expected Length of Stay on Homeownership”, Journal of Urban Economics 51,563-584 12.Henderson and Y. Ioannides(1992),“Dynamic Aspects of Consumer Decisions in Housing Markets”, Journal of Urban Economics 26,212-230 13.Ioannides, Y. M. (1986),“Residential Mobility and Housing Tenure Choice”, Urban Economics 31,311-324 14.Jarvis, H.(1999),“Housing Mobility as a Function of Household Structure”, Housing Studies 14(4),491-505 15.McGinnis, R.(1968),“A Stochastic Model of Social Mobility”, American Sociological Review 33,712-722 16.McLeod, P.B., and J.R.Ellis.(1983),“Alternative Approaches to the Family Life Cycle in the Analysis of Housing Consumption”, Journal of Marriage and the Family 32,326-350 17.Reinback. E. R. and Oliva T. A. (1981),“General Living Systems Theory and Marketing: A Framework for Analysis”, Journal of Marketing 45,30-37 18.Speare, A. Jr. (1974) “Residential Satisfaction as an Intervening Variable in Residential Mobility”, Demography, 11:173-188 19.Shelton, J. P. (1968),“The Cost of Renting Versus Owning a Home”, Land Economics 44,59-72 20.Wolpert, J. (1965),“Behavioral Aspects of the Decision to Migrate”, Papers and Proceedings of the Regional Science Association 15,159-169
Description:	碩士國立政治大學地政研究所 95257020 96
Source URI:	http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G0095257020
Data Type:	thesis
Appears in Collections:	[Department of Land Economics] Theses

Files in This Item:

File	Description	Size	Format
702001.pdf		42Kb	Adobe PDF2	799	View/Open
702002.pdf		84Kb	Adobe PDF2	795	View/Open
702003.pdf		64Kb	Adobe PDF2	804	View/Open
702004.pdf		57Kb	Adobe PDF2	775	View/Open
702005.pdf		126Kb	Adobe PDF2	1197	View/Open
702006.pdf		175Kb	Adobe PDF2	1337	View/Open
702007.pdf		127Kb	Adobe PDF2	1509	View/Open
702008.pdf		231Kb	Adobe PDF2	1221	View/Open
702009.pdf		112Kb	Adobe PDF2	876	View/Open
702010.pdf		88Kb	Adobe PDF2	845	View/Open
702011.pdf		137Kb	Adobe PDF2	1209	View/Open

All items in 政大典藏 are protected by copyright, with all rights reserved.

社群 sharing

著作權政策宣告 Copyright Announcement

1.本網站之數位內容為國立政治大學所收錄之機構典藏，無償提供學術研究與公眾教育等公益性使用，惟仍請適度，合理使用本網站之內容，以尊重著作權人之權益。商業上之利用，則請先取得著作權人之授權。
The digital content of this website is part of National Chengchi University Institutional Repository. It provides free access to academic research and public education for non-commercial use. Please utilize it in a proper and reasonable manner and respect the rights of copyright owners. For commercial use, please obtain authorization from the copyright owner in advance.

2.本網站之製作，已盡力防止侵害著作權人之權益，如仍發現本網站之數位內容有侵害著作權人權益情事者，請權利人通知本網站維護人員(nccur@nccu.edu.tw)，維護人員將立即採取移除該數位著作等補救措施。
NCCU Institutional Repository is made to protect the interests of copyright owners. If you believe that any material on the website infringes copyright, please contact our staff(nccur@nccu.edu.tw). We will remove the work from the repository and investigate your claim.

DSpace Software Copyright © 2002-2004 MIT & Hewlett-Packard / Enhanced by NTU Library IR team Copyright © - Feedback