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    Title: 台灣地區年齡別死亡率的變遷模式:1950-2004
    Authors: 戴伯偉
    Tai, po wei
    Contributors: 林佳瑩
    戴伯偉
    Tai, po wei
    Keywords: 年齡別死亡率
    死亡率法則
    網絡結構相似性
    MDS空間結構分析
    Date: 2005
    Issue Date: 2009-09-18 10:45:52 (UTC+8)
    Abstract: 無論是試圖理解台灣地區過去五十五年來的平均餘命會逐漸增加的原因,或是台灣地區人口結構成長變化的情形,甚至是探討未來人口老化政策或是追求死亡率法則終極目標等等議題,我們首先應該設法了解過去五十五年來的年齡別死亡率是如何轉變的。而本研究最終目的則是希望能夠提供一個不同於以往傳統人口學的分析方法來觀察我們週遭人口變化的情形。

    本研究嘗試運用「網絡結構相似性(Structural Equivalence)」的觀念,先找出具有相似年齡別死亡模式結構的年代,進而區分出擁有不同年齡別死亡率模式的年代階段。再根據不同的年代階段,找出在每一年代類型中各年齡別死亡率是如何進行變遷。

    經由網絡結構相似性區分歷年的男性與女性年齡別死亡模式的年代類型,我們可以發現男性與女性的年齡別死亡模式類型,相當類似。根據年與年的網絡結構相似性,男性以及女性在過去五十五年來年齡別死亡模式都可以區分出五個不同的年齡別模式階段。而透過歷年MDS圖形來觀察嬰幼兒人口以及老年人口的年齡別死亡率的移動情形,更可以證明,歷年年齡別死亡模式的變遷和嬰幼兒以及老年人口死亡率改善移動的情形是息息相關。

    因此透過結構地位相似性的分析概念以及MDS空間結構距離的呈現,證明了台灣地區歷年年齡別死亡模式的變遷,的確和嬰幼兒人口以及老年人口年齡別死亡率的下降有關。更表示運用網絡結構的分析概念來分析人口事件也是可行的。
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    Description: 碩士
    國立政治大學
    社會學研究所
    93254001
    94
    Source URI: http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G0093254001
    Data Type: thesis
    Appears in Collections:[社會學系] 學位論文

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