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    Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: https://nccur.lib.nccu.edu.tw/handle/140.119/30845


    Title: PBV投資策略-以台灣50指數為實證研究
    PBV investment strategy - emperical studies in Taiwan 50 index
    Authors: 黃俊翔
    Huang, Chun Hsiang
    Contributors: 吳啟銘
    Eric Wu
    黃俊翔
    Huang, Chun Hsiang
    Keywords: 相對評價法
    股價淨值比
    報酬率
    relative valuation
    price to equity
    return
    Date: 2007
    Issue Date: 2009-09-14
    Abstract: 本研究運用相對評價法中之PBV(Price to Book Ratio)乘數,進行橫斷面
    迴歸分析,判斷股價低估(undervalue)或高估(overvalue),並利用判斷結果進行投資組合部位建立。選取樣本利用台灣50 指數成分股排除公司規模之影響,而研究結果顯示,利用PBV 低估的股票進行多部位建立,在研究期間
    全期中,可以明顯超越市場報酬,但在空部位建立則無法超越市場報酬。
    研究中並發現,極端值對績效造成影響,其因素為金控及銀行類股與景氣
    循環股產業特性所致。
    This research applied the multiple of the price to book value in the relative valuation to begin cross-section regression analysis and to evaluate if the stock price
    was overpriced or underpriced. The result can be used to develop the investment portfolios. This research used the constituents in Taiwan 50 Index as samples in order to avoid the size effect. During the whole period, we found that we could gain excess profit obviously and defeat the market return by utilizing those stocks underpriced in PBV to develop the long position. However, we could not defeat the market return by developing the short position. In the research, we also found that the extreme value could affect the investment return, which result mainly from both stocks of financial holding companies and banks and stocks of business cycle
    industries.
    第壹章 緒論................p1
    第貳章 文獻探討.............p3
    第參章 研究方法.............p13
    第四章 實證結果與分析........p21
    第五章 結論與建議............p40
    Reference: 一、中文文獻
    1. 王韻晴(2003),我國指數股票型基金上市後之績效分析,國立政治大
    學,財務管理研究所碩士論文。
    2. 王士維(2006),發光二極體封裝產業企業評價之研究,國立政治大學企
    業管理研究所碩士論文。
    3. 田玲菱(2004),指數股票型基金投資組合最適避險策略,國立政治大學
    財務管理研究所碩士論文。
    4. 吳啟銘(2001),企業評價-個案實證分析,台北市:智勝文化事業公司。
    5. 林炯垚(1999),企業評價-投資銀行實務,台北市:禾豐企業發展文教
    基金會。
    6. 施純玉(1997),淨值市價比效果之探討,國立台灣大學財務金融學研究
    所碩士論文。
    7. 黃國彰(2007),各項選股指標於台灣股票市場的實用性探討--應用對象
    與應用時機之研究,國立台灣大學國際企業研究所碩士論文。
    8. 胡玉雪(1994),益本比、淨值/市價比及公司規模對股票報酬之影響—
    相似無關迴歸法之應用,國立台灣大學商學研究所碩士論文。
    9. 葛思惠、陳正斌(2001), ETF 在臺灣發行交易之可行性研究,臺灣證
    券交易所。
    10. 歐宏杰等(2003),臺灣50 指數ETF 投資實務,秀威資訊科技,台北市。
    11. 蔡佳蓉(2001),公司淨值市價比的落後及偏差因素與其預測未來股東權
    益報酬率能力之研究,國立成功大學會計學研究所碩士論文。
    12. 謝劍平(1997),財務管理---新觀念與本土化。
    二、英文文獻
    1. Chan L., Y. Hamao and J. Lakonishok (1991), Fundamental and Stock Return
    in Japan, Journal of Finance, pp.1739-1746.
    2. Copeland, T., Koller, T., & Murrin, J. (1995), Valuation-Measuring and
    managing the value of Companies , 2nd edition, NY:John Wiley & Sons.
    3. Damodaran, A. (2002), Investment Valuation: Tools and Techniques for
    Determining the Value of Any Asset , Second Edition, NY:John Wiley & Sons.
    4. Damodaran, A. (2006), Damodaran On Valuation 2E: Security Analysis For
    Investment And Corporate Finance , NY:John Wiley & Sons.
    5. Fairfield, P.M. (1994), P/E, P/B, and the Present Value of Future Dividends,
    Financial Analysts Journal ,vol 50, pp. 23-31.
    6. Fama, E. F. and K. R. French (1992), The Cross-Section of Expected Stock
    Returns, Journal of Finance, vol 47, pp. 427-466.
    7. Fama E.F. and K. R French (1995), Size and Book-to-Market Factors in
    Earnings and Returns, Journal of Finance, Vol. 50, Iss. 1, pp.131-155
    8. Fama, E. F. and K. R. French (2006), The Value Premium and the CAPM,
    Journal of Finance, vol 61, pp. 2163-2185.
    9. Johc C. H. (2006), Options, Futures, and Other Derivatives, 6th edition, New
    Jersey, Prentice Hall, pp. 75-98.
    10. Penman, S.H. (1996), The Articulation of Price-Earnings Ratios and
    Market-to-Book Ratios and the Evaluation of Growth, Journal of Accounting
    Research, vol 34, pp. 235-259.
    三、網路資料
    1. 台灣證券交易所,http://www.tse.com.tw/
    2. 寶來投信,http://www.tw50etf.com/
    Description: 碩士
    國立政治大學
    管理碩士學程(AMBA)
    95362025
    96
    Source URI: http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G0095362025
    Data Type: thesis
    Appears in Collections:[管理碩士學程/商管專業學院碩士學位學程 AMBA] 學位論文

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