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| Title: | 越南城鄉的遷移與巨型城市的形成
Rural-urban Migration and the Formation of a Megacity in Vietnam |
| Authors: | 武梅香
Huong, Vo Thi Mai |
| Contributors: | 陳樹衡
Chen, Shu-Heng
武梅香
Vo Thi Mai Huong |
| Keywords: | 城鄉流動
遷移動態
城市化
性別不平等
基於代理的建模
Rural-Urban Migration
Urbanization
Migration Dynamics
Gender Inequality
Agent-Based Modeling |
| Date: | 2025 |
| Issue Date: | 2025-03-03 15:38:37 (UTC+8) |
| Abstract: | 本論文探討了在快速城市化背景下越南城鄉遷移的動態。採用結合實證分析和基於代理的建模（ABM）的混合方法，我以胡志明市（HCMC）和河內作為主要目的地進行研究。
通過將2015年內部遷移調查中的個人層面數據與省級指標相結合，構建了一個微觀-宏觀關聯數據集。該數據集使我能夠：（i）分析推動遷移到不同省份和城市的因素，（ii）開發一個預測城鄉遷移流的ABM模型，以及（iii）探討遷移中的性別維度。研究還利用2015年戶籍研究的數據，探討了戶籍（hộ khẩu）制度對移民在城市勞動力市場結果的影響。主要發現表明，胡志明市的經濟機會和教育回報高於對過度城市化的擔憂，使其成為更具吸引力的目的地。移民在城市中長期建立的社會網絡促進了農村人口對城市生活的嚮往，推動了這一遷移潮。然而，移民在勞動力市場中面臨劣勢，尤其是女性，由於戶籍制度和性別不平等的雙重負擔，她們在獲取公共服務方面受到限制。本論文提出了具體的政策改革建議，旨在管理城鄉遷移流，提高戶籍制度的包容性，並為女性移民提供有針對性的支持。這些措施旨在促進更好的經濟融合和賦權。
This dissertation examines the dynamics of rural-urban migration in Vietnam within the context of rapid urbanization. Using a mixed-method approach that combines empirical analysis and Agent-Based Modeling (ABM), I focus on Ho Chi Minh City (HCMC) and Ha Noi as primary destinations.
A micro-macro linked dataset was constructed by merging individual-level data from the Internal Migration Survey 2015 with provincial-level indicators. This dataset enables me to (i) analyze the factors driving migration to different provinces and cities, (ii) develop an ABM model that predicts rural-urban migration flows, and (iii) explore the gendered dimensions of migration. The study also uses data from the 2015 Household Registration Study to study the impact of the household registration (hộ khẩu) system on the urban labor market outcomes of migrants. Key findings indicate that economic opportunities and higher returns to education in HCMC outweigh concerns about overurbanization, making it a more attractive destination. The long-established social networks of migrants in cities
contribute to the aspirations of the rural population for urban life, fueling this influx. However, migrants face disadvantages in the labor market, particularly women, who experience limited access to public services due to the hộ khẩu system and the double burden of gender inequalities. This dissertation proposes specific policy reforms aimed at managing the rural-urban migration flow, improving the inclusivity of the household registration system, and providing targeted support for female migrants. These measures aim to facilitate better economic integration and empowerment. |
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| Description: | 博士
國立政治大學
亞太研究英語博士學位學程(IDAS)
106265507 |
| Source URI: | http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G0106265507 |
| Data Type: | thesis |
| Appears in Collections: | [亞太研究英語博/碩士學位學程(IDAS/IMAS)] 學位論文
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