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| Title: | 地緣政治對國防支出與配置之影響 - 以北約國家為例
The Impact of Geopolitics on Defense Spending and Allocation : A Case Study of NATO Countries |
| Authors: | 張智賢
Chag, Chih-Hsien |
| Contributors: | 翁永和
Weng, Yung-Ho
張智賢
Chag, Chih-Hsien |
| Keywords: | 國防支出與配置
地緣政治風險
Defense Spending and Allocation
Geopolitical Risk |
| Date: | 2024 |
| Issue Date: | 2025-03-03 13:25:35 (UTC+8) |
| Abstract: | 「國防支出與配置」是指國家在面臨多元安全挑戰與地緣政治風險時，針對國防資源進行分配與運用的策略性決策，其目的在於保障國家主權、維持國防能力及應對安全威脅，其中國防支出配置項目統一區分為，設備(裝備)、人員、基礎建設及其他等4類。本研究以北約國家為研究樣本，從地緣政治風險作為切入點，並加入人均GDP等7項其他因素，探討這些因素對國防支出及其配置模式的影響力。從實證迴歸結果發現，「地緣政治風險」對國防總支出占GDP比例、設備(裝備)及其他類國防支出占比有正向顯著影響，而對人員類占比具有負向顯著影響；「人均GDP」與「中央政府支出」均對國防總支出占GDP比例、設備(裝備)、基礎建設及其他類國防支出占比有正向顯著影響，人員類占比具有負向顯著影響；「經濟開放程度」對國防總支出占GDP比例及設備(裝備)類國防支出占比有負向顯著影響，人員及基礎建設類占比具有正向顯著影響；「城市化程度」對國防總支出占GDP比例、設備(裝備)及基礎建設類國防支出占比有負向顯著影響，人員類占比具有正向顯著影響；「政體(民主指數)」對國防總支出占GDP比例、設備(裝備)及基礎建設類國防支出占比有負向顯著影響，人員及其他類占比具有正向顯著影響。
"Defense spending and allocation" refers to the strategic decisions a nation makes to distribute and utilize defense resources in response to security challenges and geopolitical risks. Its goal is to safeguard sovereignty, maintain defense capabilities, and address threats. Defense spending is divided into four categories: equipment (armament), personnel, infrastructure, and others. This study examines NATO countries, focusing on geopolitical risk and seven additional factors, including national income, to analyze their impact on defense spending and allocation. The regression results show that "geopolitical risk" positively influences total defense spending as a percentage of GDP, as well as spending on equipment and other categories, but negatively affects personnel spending. "National income" and "central government expenditure" positively affect total defense spending, as well as spending on equipment, infrastructure, and other categories, but negatively impact personnel spending. "Economic openness" negatively affects total defense spending and equipment spending but positively influences personnel and infrastructure spending. "Urbanization" negatively impacts total defense spending, equipment, and infrastructure but positively affects personnel spending. Finally, "political regime (democracy index)" negatively influences total defense spending, equipment, and infrastructure, while positively affecting personnel and other categories. |
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| Description: | 碩士
國立政治大學
行政管理碩士學程
112921314 |
| Source URI: | http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G0112921314 |
| Data Type: | thesis |
| Appears in Collections: | [行政管理碩士學程(MEPA)] 學位論文
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