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| Title: | 評估中國在東歐的影響力通過16+1機制 以羅馬尼亞、匈牙利和立陶宛為個案研究
Assessing China’s influence in Eastern Europe through the 16+1 Mechanism: A case study of Romania, Hungary and Lithuania |
| Authors: | 丹尼
Morar, Daniel Nicolae |
| Contributors: | 吳建輝
Wu, Chien-Huei
丹尼
Morar, Daniel Nicolae |
| Keywords: | 16+1機制
中國
北約
中國-中東歐國家合作
16+1 mechanism
China
NATO
China-CEEC Cooperation |
| Date: | 2024/07/14 |
| Issue Date: | 2024-08-05 13:00:59 (UTC+8) |
| Abstract: | 本論文表明，中華人民共和國（PRC，或中國）利用16+1機制擴大其在歐洲影響力的努力目前尚未取得決定性成果，主要因為本文所選擇的三個研究對象中仍然有其中兩者對北大西洋公約組織（NATO）和美國（US）表現出依賴。本文的研究個案有三：選擇加強與中國關係的匈牙利、試圖在經濟夥伴關係和安全承諾之間取得平衡的羅馬尼亞、以及與中國保持距離的立陶宛。本文主要以外部和內部壓力為切入點，探究致使三國在作為其安全保障者的北約與作為其重要經濟夥伴的中國之間搖擺不定的原因，並認為三國所面臨到的不同內外壓力構成形塑了其不同的決策模式與自主性需求。透過比較歷史分析，本文重點分析了這三個國家為履行其安全承諾而必須做出的決定，以及他們在履行安全承諾的情況下所做的決定，並最終表明16+1機制對中東歐國家，特別是匈牙利、立陶宛和羅馬尼亞的外交政策、特別是安全承諾的影響微乎其微。
This thesis shows that the People’s Republic of China’s (PRC, or China) attempt of using the 16+1 mechanism to spread its influence in Europe has not yet succeeded; as two of the three countries analyzed here still show promising allegiance towards North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) and the United States (US). It will explain how external and domestic pressures made three countries of the 16+1 mechanism oscillate between NATO as their security guarantor and China as their promising economic partner. The thesis focuses on Hungary, which is strengthening its ties with China; Romania, which tries to balance its economic partnership and security commitments; and Lithuania, which is distancing itself from China. These countries are dynamic players that face a multitude of pressures from within and without. They have agency, and they build their relationship with China and NATO on their own. They are not just small passive players with no power in front of the Chinese influence. Through a comparative historical analysis, the thesis will present the decisions the three countries have to make in order to satisfy their security commitments. Also, the decisions they make despite their security commitments will be presented as well. This thesis shows that the impact of the 16+1 Mechanism on the foreign policy of the CEE countries, specifically on the security commitments of Hungary, Lithuania and Romania is negligible. |
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| Description: | 碩士
國立政治大學
亞太研究英語碩士學位學程(IMAS)
111926030 |
| Source URI: | http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G0111926030 |
| Data Type: | thesis |
| Appears in Collections: | [亞太研究英語博/碩士學位學程(IDAS/IMAS)] 學位論文
|
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