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    Title: 台灣電子業經營績效之預測實證研究
    An Empirical Study on Predicting Business Performance of the Electronics Industry in Taiwan
    Authors: 鄭安庭
    Cheng, An-Ting
    Contributors: 邱奕嘉
    Chiu, Yi-Chia
    鄭安庭
    Cheng, An-Ting
    Keywords: 經濟附加價值
    台灣電子業
    企業表現
    經營績效
    價值動因
    Economic Value Added
    EVA
    Value Drivers
    Business Performance
    Electronics Industry
    Date: 2023
    Issue Date: 2023-12-01 10:39:52 (UTC+8)
    Abstract: 本研究針對近十年來所有的台灣電子業公司經營績效進行實證研究,透過企業內部的價值動因以及外部環境之因素,了解其對於企業表現所帶來的影響,並找出台灣電子業公司創造經濟利潤的重要因素。另外,本研究根據重要影響因素建立預測模型,提供企業更為明確而具體的指標作為參考,協助企業制定有效的策略、保持其競爭優勢。有鑒於傳統財務指標在評價企業表現上之缺失,本研究採以經濟附加價值 (Economic Value Added) 做為企業經營績效之衡量標準。

    研究中所使用到的分析工具包含多元線性迴歸模型、主成分分析以及隨機森林迴歸模型。除了對整體電子業進行研究之外,亦將電子業的公司按照交易所分類細分為八個子產業——光電業、半導體、資訊服務業、通信網路業、電子通路業、電子零組件、電腦及周邊以及其他電子業,並逐一進行分析,以了解各個子產業的重要影響因素是否有所差異。本研究使用模型預測在各個因素的影響之下,公司的經營績效會如何變化,提供企業具體的指標,協助其制訂、調整管理決策。
    This study conducts empirical research into the operational performance of all Taiwanese electronics industry companies over the past decade. It examines the internal value drivers and external environmental factors to understand their impact on corporate performance and identifies crucial factors contributing to economic profits generated by Taiwanese electronics companies. Additionally, the study establishes predictive models based on significant influencing factors, offering clearer and more specific indicators for enterprises to reference. This aids in formulating effective strategies and maintaining competitive advantages.

    Considering the limitations of traditional financial indicators in evaluating corporate performance, this research employs Economic Value Added (EVA) as the measurement standard for business operational performance. The analytical tools adopted in this study encompass multiple linear regression models, principal component analysis, and random forest regression models.

    Beyond the overall electronics industry analysis, companies within the electronics industry are categorized into eight sub-sectors based on Taiwan Stock Exchange. These sub-sectors include optoelectronics, semiconductors, information services, communication networks, electronic channels, electronic components, computers and peripherals, as well as other electronics sectors. Each sub-sector is analyzed individually to discern potential differences in the significant influencing factors.

    This study utilizes model to predict how a company's performance will change under the influence of various factors, providing specific indicators to assist businesses in formulating and adjusting management decisions.
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    Description: 碩士
    國立政治大學
    科技管理與智慧財產研究所
    110364118
    Source URI: http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G0110364118
    Data Type: thesis
    Appears in Collections:[科技管理與智慧財產研究所] 學位論文

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