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https://nccur.lib.nccu.edu.tw/handle/140.119/146715
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| Title: | 中國崛起下美軍戰略(2016-2022)
The U.S. Military Strategy toward the Rise of China (2016-2022) |
| Authors: | 朴秀敏
SOOMIN, PARK |
| Contributors: | 張文揚
Chang, Wen-Yang
朴秀敏
PARK SOOMIN |
| Keywords: | 美軍戰略
中國人民解放軍的現代化
國防改革
臺灣軍事交流
兩岸關係
U.S. military strategy
Modernization of the People’s Liberation Army
Defense reform
Taiwan military exchange
Cross-strait relations |
| Date: | 2023 |
| Issue Date: | 2023-08-02 14:38:12 (UTC+8) |
| Abstract: | 自 2016 年蔡英文上台以來，台灣的政策發生了重大變化，台灣與中國的所有官方 接觸被中斷，於是台灣尋求更獨立的路徑，試圖減少對中國的經濟和政治依賴。台灣 努力在國際社會發聲，這導致在中美間的權力競爭中，其受到了更多的關注。這些政 策變化延續到蔡英文的第二任期，台灣加強與美國的合作，以促進自身的安全。儘管 受到中國的壓力，台灣仍積極增加與美國的軍事交流，並進口武器來應對安全威脅， 這些努力增強了台灣在國際上的認可，並保護了台灣的主權地位。
中國利用經濟增長，現代化軍隊，並以確保台灣，同時加強地區主導地位。美國 為回應，將台灣視為準盟友，提供更密切的合作。台灣的生存依賴於美國，因此增加 了軍火進口和軍事交流。台灣從過去僅是美中競爭中的一張牌，轉變為真正的「戰略 夥伴」。
在美中權力競爭中，川普政府採取對抗策略，強調國防開支和軍事創新，而拜登 政府則著重調整與合作，加強聯盟，尤其是在印太地區。兩屆政府的目標都是通過軍 事能力和聯盟來應對中國的挑戰，保護國家安全和利益。競爭轉變爲短期的激烈鬥爭。 如果中國的衰落加速，它可能會在失去入侵台灣的機會之前，採取冒險行動。
In Since Tsai Ing-wen assumed office in 2016, Taiwan’s policies have undergone significant changes. All official contacts with China were severed, and Taiwan sought a more independent path to reduce economic and political dependence on China. Efforts were made to raise Taiwan’s voice in the international community, leading to increased attention in the US-China power competition. These policy changes have continued into Tsai`s second term, with Taiwan enhancing cooperation with the US to promote its security. Despite China`s pressure, Taiwan has increased military exchanges and arms imports from the US to counter security threats. These efforts have strengthened Taiwan`s international recognition and protected its sovereignty.
China, leveraging economic growth, modernized its military and aimed to secure Taiwan while strengthening regional dominance. In response, the US treated Taiwan as a quasi-ally, providing closer cooperation. Taiwan`s survival relied on the US, leading to increased arms imports and military exchanges. Taiwan transformed from a mere card in the US-China competition to a “strategic partner.”
In the US-China power competition, the Trump administration pursued a confrontational strategy, emphasizing defense spending and military innovation. The Biden administration focused on adjustment and cooperation, strengthening alliances, particularly in the Indo-Pacific region. Both administrations aimed to counter China`s challenges and protect national security and interests using military capabilities and alliances. The competition shifted to a short-term intense struggle. If China`s decline accelerates, it may act adventurously before losing the opportunity to invade Taiwan. |
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조우찬 (Cho Woo-Chan), (2020), “대만 국방력의 특징에 관한 연구: 정치작전국과 정치작전학원의 무형전력 편제와 교육 방향을 중심으로 (A Study on the Characteristics of Taiwan’s National Defense Power: Focusing on the Intangible Power Organization and Education Direction of the Political Warfare Bureau (PWB) and the Fu Hsing Kang College (FHK))”, 국가전력 Vol. 26(1), pp 107-133
조현규 (Cho Hyeon Gyu), (2020), “시진핑 시대의 중국군 개혁 연구 – 중국 인민해방군의 조직 개편을 중심으로 (A Study on the China’s Military Reforms in the Xi jinping Era) – Emphasis on the Organizational Restructuring of PLA”, pp 1-226
최우선 (Choi wu-seon), (2022), “대만 군사충돌 시나리오와 한국의 대응 (Taiwan Military Collision Scenario and Korea’s Response)”, Institute of Foreign Affairs & National Security (IFANS), Korea National Diplomatic Academy, pp 1-17
최재덕 (Choi. Jae Duk), (2020), “미중패권경쟁의 전망과 한국의 외교전략 -아세안과 신남방정책의 협력을 중심으로 (Prospects of the US-China hegemonic Competition and Korea’s Diplomatic Strategy-Focused on cooperation between ASEAN and the New Southern Policy)”, 슬라브학보 Vol. 35(2), pp 173-204
Journals
Eric Cheung, “China thinks it’s diplomatically isolating Taiwan. It isn’t”, CNN, Mar 24. 2023
URL: < https://edition.cnn.com/2023/03/24/asia/taiwan-diplomatic-allies-support-analysis-intl-hnk-dst/index.html >
Frank Aum, (2022), “Biden’s Asia Trip Seeks to Revitalize Alliances, Focus on China”, United States Institute of Peace, Analysis and Commentary, May 25. 2022
URL: <https://www.usip.org/publications/2022/05/bidens-asia-trip-seeks-revitalize-alliance s -focus-china >
Gao Charlie, (2018), “Revealed: The Old American Tank Taiwan is Modernizing to Fight China in a War”, March 17. 2018
URL: < https://nationalinterest.org/blog/the-buzz/the-old-american-tank-taiwan-modernizin g-fight-china-war-24950 >
Gordon Lubold, “U.S. Troops Have Been Deployed in Taiwan for at Least a Year”, The Wall Street Journal, (Oct 7, 2021)
URL: <https://www.wsj.com/articles/u-s-troops-have-been-deployed-in-taiwan-for-at-least-a-year-11633614043 >
Hannah NG, Tiffany Meier. “Xi Jinping May Invade Taiwan to shift Blame for Economic Turmoil: China Economic Analyst”, The Epoch Times, Oct 24. 2022,
URL: < https://www.theepochtimes.com/xi-jinping-may-invade-taiwan-to-shift-blame-for-economic-turmoil-china-economic-analyst_4816937.html >
Horton, C., “Taiwan Set to Receive $2 Billion in U.S. Arms, Drawing Ire From China”, The New York Times, July 9. 2019
URL: < https://www.nytimes.com/2019/07/09/world/asia/taiwan-arms-sales.html>
Institute for Information Industry (III), (2020), “Taiwan Collaborates with U.S. Again -cohack Stay together, cohack can help! Calling on Cross-domain Talents to Find Innovative Solutions to the Pandemic”, April 27. 2020
URL: < https://web.iii.org.tw/Press/NewsDtl.aspx?nsp_sqno=276&fm_sqno=14 >
J. Michael Cole, (2014), “To Buy or Not to Buy? A Dilemma for Taiwan’s Navy”, April 19, 2014
URL: <https://thediplomat.com/2014/04/to-buy-or-not-to-buy-a-dilemma-for-taiwans-navy>
Jennifer Hansler, (2021), “Biden administration proposes $750 million arms sale to Taiwan in a move likely to anger Beijing”, CNN, Aug 4. 2021
URL: <https://edition.cnn.com/2021/08/04/politics/biden-administration-taiwan-arms-sales /index.html>
Julian spencer-churchill, (2021), “Embrace the Arms Race in Asia”. War on the rocks. Dec 10. 2021
URL: < https://warontherocks.com/2021/12/embrace-the-arms-race-in-asia/ >
Kelvin Chen, (2021), “US Air Force cargo plane makes brief top in Taipei – American military aircraft lands at Sonshan Airport to deliver package to new AIT director”, Taiwan News, July 15. 2021
URL: < https://www. taiwannews.com.tw/en/news/4249082 >
Lawrence Chung, (2018), “Taiwan hints F-16V fighter jets are back on its defence shopping list – F-35s not an option amid concerns of a backlash from Beijing, Taiwan might try again to buy 66 lower grade warplanes from the US”, South China Morning Post, (Nov 29. 2018),
URL: < https://www.scmp.com/news/china/military/article/2175614/taiwan-hints-f-16v-fighter-jets-are-back-its-defence-shopping >
Mearsheimer J. J., (2005). ”The Rise of China Will Not Be Peaceful at All”, The Australian
Ministry of Foreign Affairs ROC (MOFA), (2021), Taiwan-US-Japan Trilateral Indo-Pacific Security Dialogue held in Taipei, conveying joint commitment to safeguarding democracy and freedom”, Dec 14. 2021
URL: < https://en.mofa.gov.tw/News_Content.aspx?n=1329&sms=272&s=96971 >
Ministry of Foreign Affairs ROC (MOFA), (2023), “MOFA welcomes and appreciates G7 foreign ministers’ communiqué reaffirming importance of peace and stability across Taiwan Strait”, April 18. 2023
URL: < https://en.mofa.gov.tw/News_Content.aspx?n=1328&sms=273&s=100147 >
Nick Schifrin, Dan Sagalyn, “Indo-Pacific Commander discusses rising tensions with China, future of the region”, Dec 15. 2022,
URL : < https://www.pbs.org/newshour/show/pacific-commander-of-u-s-navy-discusses-rising-tensions-with-china-future-of-region >
Pew Research Center, (2022), “Negative Views of China Tied to Critical Views of Its Policies on Human Right”, June 29. 2022
URL:<https://www.pewresearch.org/global/2022/06/29/negative-views-of-china-tied-to-critical-views-of-its-policies-on-human-rights/>
Ryan Hass, (2022), “What is Taiwan’s plan to protect itself against Chinese pressure?”, Brookings, Aug 19. 2022
URL:<https://www.brookings.edu/blog/order-from-chaos/2022/08/19/what-is-taiwans-plan-to-protect-itself-against-chinese-pressure/>
Sameer Joshi, (2019), “A2/AD projection is a series of overlapping capabilities across multiple domains like Air, Land, Sea, EW, Ai, Cyber and Space, with the sole aim of imposing maximum attrition on the adversaries’ war fighting capability in all spectrums”, April 10. 2019
URL: < https://sameerjoshi73.medium.com/demystifying-the-anti-access-area-denial-a2-ad-threat-d0ed26ae8b9e>
Sethi, Manpreet. (2018). “US NSS 2017: Through the Nuclear Prism”, Centre for Air Power Studies (CAPS), Forum for National Security Studies (FNSS)
URL: <https://capsindia.org/wp-content/uploads/2021/10/CAPS_ExpertView_MS_05.pdf>
Lawrence Chung, (2019), “Taiwan invites US military observers to computer war games during annual Han Kuang exercises”, South China Morning Post (SCMP), Dec 11. 2019
URL: < https://www.scmp.com/news/china/military/article/3041471/taiwan-invites-us-military-observers-computer-war-games-during?module=perpetual_scroll_0&pgtype= article&campaign=3041471 >
Stockholm International Peace Research Institute, (2022) “World Military Expenditure Passed $2 trillion for first time”, SIPRI Yearbook 2022, April 25. 2002
URL: < https://www.sipri.org/media/press-release/2022/world-military-expenditure-passes-2-trillion-first-time >
Taipei Times, (2016), “China unveils new military units”, Jan 3. 2016
URL: < https://www.taipeitimes.com/News /front/archives/2016/01/03/2003636299 >
Taipei Times, (2021), “Ministry welcomes US pledge of vaccines”, Jun 7. 2021
URL: < https://www.taipeitimes.com/News/taiwan/archives/2021/06/07/2003758725 >
Taiwan Defense & National Security, (2022), “Taiwan Arms Sales 1990-2022”, Sep 2. 2022,
URL: < https://www.ustaiwandefense.com/taiwan-arms-sales-notified-to-congress-1990-2022/ >
The Economist, (2021), “The most dangerous place on Earth”, May 1. 2021
URL: <https://www.economist.com/leaders/2021/05/01/the-most-dangerous-place-on-earth >
The Self-Defense Forces, (2015), “The Guidelines for Japan-U.S. Defense Cooperation”, April 27. 2015
URL: < https://www.mofa.go.jp/files/000078188.pdf >
TRTWORLD, (2022), “What is the Chip 4 alliance?”, Aug 9. 2022,
URL: < https://www.trtworld.com /business/what-is-the-chip-4-alliance-59586 >
Washington Talk, (2023), “Special talk on the 70th anniversary of the U.S.-Korea alliance and What’s a vision for the future?”, Voakorea
URL: <https://www.voakorea.com/a/7077691.html?withmediaplaye r=1>
곽예지 (Kuak Ye-JI), “China’s Beidou Competes with U.S. GPS, Creating Industrial Value KRW 68 Trillion This Year”, Aju Business Daily, (July 2. 2020)
URL: <https://www.ajunews.com/view/20200701090019544>
김영호 (Kim young-ho), (2023), “다가오는 미중전쟁, 한국에 미칠 영향과 대응전략은?”
URL: < https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YWC1rWDkvT0&t=1s >
김영호 (Kim young-ho), (2023), “미국 전문가들이 보는 ‘워싱턴 선언’의 쟁점들은?”
URL: < https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6eNk4MN0tJ4&t=7s >
김철주 (Kim chel-ju), (2018), “대만 F-35대신 최신형 F-16V 도입으로 선회 - F-35 기밀 중국에 넘겨갈 수 있다”, NewDaily News, (Nov 29, 2018)
URL: < https://www.newdaily.co.kr/site/data/html/2018/11/29/2018112900209.html >
이창형 (Lee Chang-hyung), (2022), “중국 해군의 제4함대 창설 전망과 시사점 (Prospects and Implications for the Fourth Fleet of the Chinese Navy)”, KIMS Periscope Vol.220, Feb 2022
URL: < https://kims.or.kr/issubrief/kims-periscope/peri220/ >
정주호 (Jeong Jooho), (2007), “대만 전투기도 ‘장제스 색깔 빼’ (Taiwanese fighter jets also said, ‘Take out the color of Chiang Kai-shek’”), Yonhap News Agency,
URL: < https://n.news.naver.com/mnews/article/001/0001588202?sid=104 >
주재우 (Joo Jea-Woo), (2022), “시진핑 3연임과 중국의 대외전략 – 동아시아와 한반도에 미치는 영향을 중심으로 (Xi Jinping’s 3rd consecutive term and China’s foreign strategy)”, Seoul National University Asia Center (SNUAC), Current Issues and Policy Implications Vol. 2(36)
金灿荣, (2021), “中国必须统一！解决台湾问题，中国大陆至少有十大收益”, 人民大學 國際關係學部
URL: <https://www.163.com/dy/article/GPOBPH1T0543AUYD.html> |
| Description: | 碩士
國立政治大學
外交學系
110253026 |
| Source URI: | http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G0110253026 |
| Data Type: | thesis |
| Appears in Collections: | [外交學系] 學位論文
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