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    Title: 市地重劃開發時點對周圍房價之外溢效果-以土城重劃區為例
    The Spillover Effects of Developing Timing for Land Readjustment Project on Neighboring Housing Prices – A Case Study in Tucheng District
    Authors: 彭于倩
    Peng, Yu-Cian
    Contributors: 江穎慧
    丁秀吟

    Chiang, Ying-Hui
    Ding, Hsiu-Yin

    彭于倩
    Peng, Yu-Cian
    Keywords: 市地重劃
    外溢效果
    開發時點
    周圍房價變動
    Land Readjustment
    Spillover Effects
    Developing Timing
    Neighboring Housing Prices
    Date: 2022
    Issue Date: 2022-08-01 18:21:35 (UTC+8)
    Abstract: 市地重劃為促進土地有效使用與健全都市發展之土地改良與開發策略,它能為重劃區內土地所有權人及政府機關帶來效益,構成雙贏的局面。過往文獻指出市地重劃能有效提升重劃區內房地價,對周圍房價的外溢效果則較少著墨。過往研究曾指出高房價地區對周圍地區的房價可能產生正面之效果,倘若市地重劃進一步推高高房價區域的房價,可能讓周圍非高房價區的房價也隨之提高,民眾之購屋壓力也將愈發沉重。因此本研究探討市地重劃開發時點對周圍房價與周圍高平均房價鄰里房價的外溢效果,主要釐清重劃完成與重劃區內推出建案的影響。
    本研究以新北市的土城暫緩發展區及附近地區市地重劃開發案為研究案例,並採用民國101年8月至民國110年6月於內政部不動產交易實價登錄資料庫中新北市土城區的不動產交易資料進行實證分析。首先將土城重劃區的影響範圍設為400公尺,利用特徵價格理論為基礎建立傳統迴歸模型,並結合差異中之差異法探討重劃區完成重劃對周圍房價的外溢效果。後續透過傳統迴歸模型,進一步釐清重劃區內推出建案對周圍房價的外溢效果,以及市地重劃對周圍高平均房價鄰里房價的影響等。因樣本資料存在空間自相關,採用空間誤差模型改善空間問題,避免估計結果偏誤。本研究的實證結果顯示市地重劃完成與重劃區內推出建案之效益會外溢至重劃區周圍400公尺,重劃完成後將帶動周圍400公尺房價上漲約1.12%,推出建案則是使周圍房價上漲約2.69%;而市地重劃完成對重劃區周圍高平均房價鄰里房價具有負面外溢效果,相較於重劃前,重劃後交易使其房價減少約2.4%,至於重劃區內推出建案則無顯著影響。期望此研究結果可供政府未來制定重劃區內外配套措施的參考。
    Land readjustment is a land improvement and development strategy to promote land use and urban development. Most research focused on changes in housing prices within the land readjustment project area, while less research was focused on spillover effects on the areas next to the projects. This study examined the spillover effects of developing timing of land readjustment projects on neighboring housing prices and the neighborhoods with high housing prices.
    Data for this study was derived from the Actual Price Registration database governed by the Ministry of the Interior between 2012 and 2021. For the study, a hedonic regression model with DID was employed to analyze the spillover effects when the land readjustment project was completed. The hypothesis was made that the neighboring housing prices within a 400-meter radius of the readjustment project were influenced by the project. Besides, the hedonic regression model was used for examining the spillover effects on the neighboring housing prices when presale of housing projects began. Moreover, the model was also applied to investigate impacts of the readjustment project on high housing-price neighborhoods. The spatial error models were estimated to understand possibility of spatial dependence. The empirical results indicated positive spillover effects on the neighboring housing prices both when the land readjustment project was completed and when presale of housing projects began. The neighboring housing prices increased by 1.12% and 2.69% respectively. Conversely, the housing prices decreased by 2.4%in the high housing-price neighborhoods.
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    Description: 碩士
    國立政治大學
    地政學系
    109257002
    Source URI: http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G0109257002
    Data Type: thesis
    DOI: 10.6814/NCCU202200957
    Appears in Collections:[地政學系] 學位論文

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