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    Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: https://nccur.lib.nccu.edu.tw/handle/140.119/140756


    Title: 以小波方法分析台灣股市價量關係及類股輪動變化
    Estimating the Relationship between Price and Trading Volume and Sector Rotation in Taiwan Stock Market by using Wavelet approaches
    Authors: 戴妙珊
    Tai, Miao-Shan
    Contributors: 徐士勛
    戴妙珊
    Tai, Miao-Shan
    Keywords: 價量關係
    類股輪動
    小波相干性
    時頻域因果關係
    Price-volume relationship
    Sector rotation
    Wavelet coherence
    Time-frequency domain causality
    Date: 2022
    Issue Date: 2022-07-01 17:09:43 (UTC+8)
    Abstract: 本研究採用時頻域架構下的小波方法來研究台灣股市的價量關係,並與時域架構下之Granger 因果關係檢定結果比較其異同。另外,本研究更進一步利用小波方法來探討台灣股市中是否存在類股輪動的現象。
    我們選定六個標的進行分析,分別是台灣加權股價指數及五個產業指數。在價量關係上,轉換為定態後,時域架構下的分析皆呈現一致的領先落後關係;但時頻域架構下,小波相干性除放寬序列為定態的假設外,其實證結果顯示同一個標的之價格與成交量的連動性及因果關係會隨不同的時間及頻率而有所改變。而透過各產業指數價格與加權指數價格的領先落後關係分析,我們也發現台灣股市中確實有產業類股輪動的現象。
    This study uses the wavelet approaches in the time-frequency domain to study the price-volume relationship of the Taiwan stock market, and compares the similarities and differences with the results of the Granger causality test in the time-domain. In addition, this study further uses the wavelet approaches to explore whether there is a sector rotation in the Taiwan stock market.
    We select six targets for analysis, namely the Taiwan Capitalization Weighted Stock Index and five industry indices. In terms of price-volume relationship, after converting the series to be time-domain, the analysis shows a consistent lead-lag relationship. However, in the time-frequency domain, in addition to relaxing the assumption that the series are stationary, the empirical results of wavelet coherence show that the co-movement and causality between the price and trading volume of the same target varies with different times and frequencies. Through the analysis of the lead-lag relationship between the prices of various industry indices and the Taiwan Capitalization Weighted Stock Index price, we also found that there is indeed a sector rotation in the Taiwan stock market.
    Reference: 林思如,陳宗仁,王憲斌與魏石勇(2017),「股市規模波動的價量關係—以台灣股票市場為例」,《中華管理評論國際學報》, 20(2)。

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    Description: 碩士
    國立政治大學
    經濟學系
    109258010
    Source URI: http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G0109258010
    Data Type: thesis
    DOI: 10.6814/NCCU202200561
    Appears in Collections:[經濟學系] 學位論文

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