English  |  正體中文  |  简体中文  |  Post-Print筆數 : 27 |  Items with full text/Total items : 113822/144841 (79%)
Visitors : 51828838      Online Users : 505
RC Version 6.0 © Powered By DSPACE, MIT. Enhanced by NTU Library IR team.
Scope Tips:
  • please add "double quotation mark" for query phrases to get precise results
  • please goto advance search for comprehansive author search
  • Adv. Search
    HomeLoginUploadHelpAboutAdminister Goto mobile version
    Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: https://nccur.lib.nccu.edu.tw/handle/140.119/136534


    Title: 產業園區脆弱度評估與調適策略規劃之研究-以編定工業區為例
    A study on Vulnerability Assessment and Adaptation Strategies of Industrial Park
    Authors: 陳虹潔
    Chen, Hong-Jie
    Contributors: 白仁德
    Pai, Jen-Te
    陳虹潔
    Chen, Hong-Jie
    Keywords: 產業園區脆弱度
    調適策略
    模糊德爾菲法
    動態網路程序法
    Industrial park vulnerability
    Adaptation strategy
    Fuzzy Delphi Method
    Dynamic Network Process
    Date: 2021
    Issue Date: 2021-08-04 15:50:26 (UTC+8)
    Abstract: 受到極端氣候之影響,若發生颱風、地震、水災、旱災等天然災害,可能使災害規模提升,嚴重影響環境安全和經濟發展損失。產業園區是由不同規模之企業所組成,內部廠商、產業群聚與生產鏈結相互依存更加劇災害所帶來的衝擊,不同產業園區脆弱度決定了該區整體性的潛在危害與預期後果,透過脆弱性評估以確定園區可能存在的脆弱因子與潛在風險。根據經濟部統計,中央部會所報編之產業園區面積共18,745公頃,而工業局下轄之編定工業區約11,539公頃,佔地面積最高,可能對環境的影響首當其衝。故本研究以編定工業區作為研究對象,探討產業園區面對氣候變遷與災害衝擊時可能產生之脆弱因素與特性,並從地方政府、工業區服務中心與廠商三個層面進行整合與分析。

    為建構具有韌性之產業園區,透過國內外相關文獻理論與回顧,將脆弱度量化建立指標,以模糊德爾菲法(Fuzzy Delphi Method, FDM)篩選適用於園區脆弱度指標項目,再運用動態網路程序法(Dynamic Network Process, DNP)詢問專家學者對於面向、指標間的相關聯性以及2020年與2030年之權重變化。根據不同面向之脆弱度評估結果將工業區分為八種類型,並研擬不同類別的產業園區災害管理調適策略,包括地方政府、工業區服務中心與廠商不同管理單位之建議,作為園區因應災害下之防救災體系應變機制與風險管理的參考,實現土地利用與產業永續發展之目標。
    Affected by the extreme climate, natural disasters such as typhoons, earthquakes, floods, and droughts may increase the scale of disasters and seriously affect environment safety and economic development losses. The industrial parks are composed of enterprises and manufacturers of different scales. The interdependence of internal manufacturers, industrial clusters, and production chain has increased the impact of disasters. The vulnerability of different industrial parks determines the potential hazard and expected consequences of the whole region. The vulnerability assessment determines the possible vulnerability factors and potential risks of the industrial park. According to statistics from the Ministry of Economic Affairs, the total area of the industrial park reported by the Central Ministry’s club is 18,745 hectares, while the area of the projected industrial sites under the Industrial Development Bureau is 11,539 hectares, the largest area, May be the first to bear the brunt of the environmental impact. Therefore, this research will take the projected industrial sites as the research object, discuss the vulnerable factors and characteristics that may occur in the industrial parks in the face of climate change and disaster impact, and integrate and analyze from the three levels of municipal government, industrial park service center and manufacturers.

    In order to build a resilient industrial park, through relevant literature review, the vulnerability evaluation indicators were selected. This research uses the Fuzzy Delphi Method (FDM) to filter the indicators that are suitable for the vulnerability of the park, and Dynamic Network Process (DNP) expert panel is utilized for the correlation between clusters and indicators, as well as the weight changes between 2020 and 2030. According to the results of different clusters of vulnerability assessment, the industrial parks are divided into eight types. According to different types, related industrial park disaster prevention management and adaptive strategies are proposed. Based on these strategies, this study will give municipal governments, industrial park service centers and manufacturers` respective recommendations. This study provides relevant suggestions on the adaptive strategies of disaster prevention in industrial parks of different management departments, which serve as a reference for the response mechanism and risk management of disaster management system of industrial parks to achieve the goal of sustainable development of land use and industry.
    Reference: 中文文獻
    于宜強、李宗融,2017,颱洪災害應變的情資研判服務,災害防救科技與管理學刊,6(1),63-78。
    何明錦、李泳龍、戴政安、李善將、戴銘均,2008,都市防災空間系統避難據點區位評估與最佳化配置,內政部建築研究所研究報告。
    吳杰穎、江宜錦,2008,臺灣天然災害統計指標體系建構與分析,地理學報,(51),65-84。
    吳杰穎、黃昱翔,2011,颱洪災害脆弱度評估指標之建立:以南投縣水里鄉為例,都市與計劃,38(2),195-218。
    吳秉諭,2015,高雄市各行政區坡地暨淹水災害脆弱度評估,國立高雄大學土木與環境工程學系碩士論文。
    吳振瑋,2011,颱洪災害對流域地區脆弱度影響之研究-以高屏溪流域為個案地區,國立臺北大學都市計劃研究所碩士論文。
    李欣輯、楊惠萱,2012,坡地災害社會脆弱度指標評估與應用,都市與計劃,39(4),375-406。
    李欣輯、楊惠萱、廖楷民、蕭代基,2009,水災社會脆弱性指標之建立,建築與規劃學報,10(3),163-182。
    李鶴、張平宇、程葉青,2008,脆弱性的概念及其評價方法,地理科學進展,27(2),18-25。
    林文苑,2011,「天然災害老人弱勢族群社經脆弱度評估指標」之建立與空間聚集性分析應用,都市與計劃,38(3),219-243。
    林文苑、洪啟東,2017,台灣本島網格化災害脆弱度空間分佈評估與OWA分析應用,地理學報,(87),39-78。
    林冠慧、吳珮瑛,2004,全球變遷下脆弱性與適應性研究方法與方法論的探討,全球變遷通訊雜誌,(43),33-38。
    林冠慧、張長義,2015,脆弱性研究的演變與當前發展,地理學報,(77),49-82。
    林麗琳,2015,典型化工園區企業安全脆弱度評估及公眾風險感知水平對比研究,南京大學環境科學系研究所碩士論文。
    邱建國、楊國鑫、陳道平、蔡長銘、邱子熙,2015,臺北市企業自主型防災工作推動機制研究,災害防救科技與管理學刊,4(1),49-75。
    姜芝妍、羅振倫、陳俊傑,2017,從都市規劃思維來看韌性城市,新北市政府106年自行研究計畫,新北市政府城鄉發展局。
    洪鴻智、林家鈺,2015,利害相關者對颱洪災害預警系統規劃要素之價值評估:多屬性效用理論之應用,台灣公共衛生雜誌,34(4),349-361。
    洪鴻智、陳令韡,2012,颱洪災害之整合性脆弱度評估-大甲溪流域之應用,地理學報,(65),79-96。
    胡太山、賈秉靜,2018,新舊產業園區用地政策方向之探討,臺灣經濟研究月刊,41(9),97。
    苗栗縣政府,2018,107年苗栗縣地區災害防救計畫,內政部災害防救災辦公室。
    張魁峯,2017,『 Super Decisions軟體操作手冊:以ANP突破AHP的研究限制』二版,臺北:鼎茂圖書。
    陳良治、田孟凌,2017,外部衝擊、區域經濟回復力之構成及作用機制,都市與計劃,44(1),1-25。
    陳亮全,2008,各層級國土空間規劃與管理之脆弱度與回復力之評估研究-以社區空間為對象I,國科會專題研究計畫報告NSC 97-2621-M-002-028。
    陳亮全,2009,各層級國土空間規劃與管理之脆弱度與回復力之評估研究-以社區空間為對象II,國科會專題研究計畫報告NSC 98-2621-M-002-028。
    陳亮全、郭士筠、周桂田、林子倫、林李耀、林宗弘、洪鴻智,2018,「氣候變遷災害衝擊之整合性風險治理」永續科學計畫,臺灣土地研究,21(2),153-180。
    陳禹銘、蘇昭郎、樊國恕,2009,災害風險評估研究之探討,危機管理學刊,6(1),41-50。
    黃泰霖,2012,系統韌性概念回顧與災防策略之省思,國家災害防救科技中心災害防救電子報,88。
    新北市政府,2018,107年新北市地區災害防救計畫,內政部災害防救災辦公室。
    新竹縣政府,2018,107年新竹縣地區災害防救計畫,內政部災害防救災辦公室。
    楊惠萱、陳怡臻、李欣輯,2014,天然災害社會脆弱度指標之建立及評估:以鄉鎮層級為例,災害防救科技與管理學刊,3(2),71-93。
    經濟部工業局,2004,工業區區域聯防組織實施參考指引。
    經濟部工業局,2007,我國工業區現況與未來展望介紹。
    葉政忠,2012,評估氣候變遷下島嶼城市之脆弱度-以澎湖馬公市為例,國立中山大學海洋環境及工程學系碩士論文。
    劉佩佳,2014,考量空間關聯性之地區洪災脆弱性研究-以雲林縣易淹水地區為例,成功大學都市計劃學系碩士論文。
    鄧子正、盧鏡臣,2017,規劃我國推動企業防災策略及編撰指導手冊勞務委託採購案,內政部消防署委託研究報告。
    鄧敏政、李中生、謝蕙如,2016,從實際災例探討產業園區地震防災管理技術,2016臺灣災害管理學會十週年年會,20-1。
    蕭代基、洪鴻智、楊智凱、黃德秀、王定心,2018,國家氣候變遷與災害脆弱度評估:資本分析法之應用,地理學報,(89),61-84。
    賴政佑,2017,颱洪災害脆弱度與調適能力之研究-以台中市為例,逢甲大學都市計畫與空間資訊學系碩士論文。
    謝芸庭,2009,供應鏈底下企業防災建置之研究-以光電產業為例,長榮大學土地管理與開發研究所碩士論文。
    鍾志彬,2016,工業區區域聯防組織運作機制之探討-以高雄仁大工業區為例,中央警察大學消防科學研究所碩士論文。

    英文文獻
    Adger, W. N., Nick, B., and Bentham, G., 2004. “New Indicators of Vulnerability and Adaptive Capacity,” Oxford: Tyndall Centre.
    Adger, W., 2006. “Vulnerability,” Global Environmental Change, 16(3).
    Balica, W., 2012. “A flood vulnerability index for coastal cities and its use in assessing climate change impacts,” Natural Hazards (Dordrecht), 64(1), 73–105.
    Bergstrand, K., Mayer, B., Brumback, B., & Zhang, Y., 2015. “Assessing the Relationship Between Social Vulnerability and Community Resilience to Hazards,” Social Indicators Research, 122(2), 391–409.
    Berrouet, L., Machado, J., & Villegas-Palacio, C., 2018. “Vulnerability of socio-ecological systems: A conceptual Framework,” Ecological Indicators, 84, 632–647.
    Birkmann, J., 2007. “Risk and vulnerability indicators at different scales: Applicability, usefulness and policy implications,” Environmental Hazards, 7(1), 20–31.
    Bohle, H. G., Downing, T. E., & Watts, M. J., 1994. “Climate change and social vulnerability: toward a sociology and geography of food insecurity,” Global environmental change, 4(1), 37–48.
    Chang, S. E., & Falit-Baiamonte, A., 2002. “Disaster vulnerability of businesses in the 2001 Nisqually earthquake,” Global Environmental Change Part B: Environmental Hazards, 4(2), 59–71.
    Chen, G., Huang, K., Zou, M., Yang, Y., & Dong, H., 2019. “A methodology for quantitative vulnerability assessment of coupled multi-hazard in Chemical Industrial Park,” Journal of Loss Prevention in the Process Industries, 58, 30–41.
    Chen, Y., Song, G., Yang, F., Zhang, S., Zhang, Y., & Liu, Z., 2012. “Risk Assessment and Hierarchical Risk Management of Enterprises in Chemical Industrial Parks Based on Catastrophe Theory,” International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health, 4386–4402.
    Cutter, S. L., 1996. “Vulnerability to environmental hazards,” Progress in Human Geography, 20, 529–539.
    Cutter, S., Barnes, L., Berry, M., Burton, C., Evans, E., Tate, E., & Webb, J., 2008. “A place-based model for understanding community resilience to natural disasters,” Global Environmental Change, 18(4), 598–606.
    Cutter, S., Boruff, B., & Shirley, W., 2003. “Social Vulnerability to Environmental Hazards,” Social Science Quarterly, 84(2), 242–261.
    Delbecq, A. L., Van de Ven, A. H., & Gustafson, D. H., 1975. “Group techniques for program planning: A guide to nominal group and Delphi processes,” Scott, Foresman,.
    Füssel, H. M., 2007. “Vulnerability: A generally applicable conceptual framework for climate change research,” Global environmental change, 17(2), 155–167.
    Gallopín, G., 2006. “Linkages between vulnerability, resilience, and adaptive capacity,” Global Environmental Change, 16(3), 293–303.
    Gheorghe, A. V., & Vamanu, D. V., 2001. “Adapting to new challenges: IDSS for emergency preparedness and management,” International Journal of Risk Assessment and Management, 2(3–4), 211–223.
    Halsnaes, K., & Traerup, S., 2009. “Development and climate change: a mainstreaming approach for assessing economic, social, and environmental impacts of adaptation measures,” Environmental management, 43(5), 765–778.
    Holling, C., 1973. “Resilience and Stability of Ecological Systems,” Annual Review of Ecology and Systematics, 4, 1–23.
    Holm, J. R., & Østergaard, C. R., 2015. “Regional employment growth, shocks and regional industrial resilience: a quantitative analysis of the Danish ICT sector,” Regional Studies, 49(1), 95–112.
    International Strategy for Disaster Reduction, 2004. “Living with risk: A global review of disaster reduction initiatives (Vol. 1),” United Nations Publications.
    IPCC, 2007. “Climate change the physical science basis,” AGUFM, 2007, U43D–01.
    Johansson, J., Hassel, H., & Zio, E., 2013. “Reliability and vulnerability analyses of critical infrastructures: Comparing two approaches in the context of power systems,” Reliability Engineering and System Safety, 120, 27–38.
    Kaplan, S., 1997. “The words of risk analysis,” Risk analysis, 17(4), 407–417.
    Kates, R. W., 1985. “The interaction of climate and society,” Climate impact assessment, 27, 3–36.
    Khakzad, N., Reniers, G., Abbassi, R., & Khan, F., 2016. “Vulnerability analysis of process plants subject to domino effects,” Reliability Engineering and System Safety, 154, 127–136.
    Khazai, B., Merz, M., Schulz, C., & Borst, D., 2013. “An integrated indicator framework for spatial assessment of industrial and social vulnerability to indirect disaster losses,” Natural Hazards, 67(2), 145–167.
    Li, F., Bi, J., Huang, L., Qu, C., Yang, J., & Bu, Q., 2010. “Mapping human vulnerability to chemical accidents in the vicinity of chemical industry parks,” Journal of Hazardous Materials, 179(1-3), 500–506.
    Lo, A. Y., Liu, S., & Cheung, L. T., 2019. “Socio-economic conditions and small business vulnerability to climate change impacts in Hong Kong,” Climate and Development, 11(10), 930–942.
    Mitchell, W., 1989. “Whether and when? Probability and timing of incumbents` entry into emerging industrial subfields,” Administrative science quarterly, 208–230.
    Nocco, B. W., & Stulz, R. M., 2006. “Enterprise risk management: Theory and practice,” Journal of applied corporate finance, 18(4), 8–20.
    Okuyama, Y., 2004. “Modeling spatial economic impacts of an earthquake: Input‐output approaches,” Disaster Prevention and Management: An International Journal.
    Papathoma-Köhle, M., Kappes, M., Keiler, M., & Glade, T., 2011. “Physical vulnerability assessment for alpine hazards: state of the art and future needs,” Natural Hazards, 58(2), 645–680.
    Parry, M., Parry, M. L., Canziani, O., Palutikof, J., Van der Linden, P., & Hanson, C. (Eds.)., 2007. “Climate change 2007-impacts, adaptation and vulnerability: Working group II contribution to the fourth assessment report of the IPCC (Vol. 4),” Cambridge University Press.
    Pelling, M., 2003. “The vulnerability of cities: natural disasters and social resilience,” Earthscan.
    Pimm, S. L., 1984. “The complexity and stability of ecosystems,” Nature, 307(5949), 321–326.
    Ryu, J., Lee, D., Park, C., Ahn, Y., Lee, S., Choi, K., & Jung, T., 2016. “Assessment of the vulnerability of industrial parks to flood in South Korea,” Natural Hazards, 82(2), 811–825.
    Saaty, T. L, 1994. “How to Make a Decision: The Analytic Hierarchy Process,” Interfaces (Providence), 24(6), 19–43.
    Simmie, J., & Martin, R., 2010. “The economic resilience of regions: towards an evolutionary approach,” Cambridge journal of regions, economy and society, 3(1), 27–43.
    Smit, B., & Wandel, J., 2006. “Adaptation, adaptive capacity and vulnerability,” Global Environmental Change, 16(3), 282–292.
    Tierney, K. J., 2007. “Businesses and disasters: Vulnerability, impacts, and recovery,” In Handbook of disaster research, 275–296.
    Tierney, K., & Bruneau, M., 2007. “Conceptualizing and measuring resilience: A key to disaster loss reduction,” TR news, (250).
    Timmerman, P., 1981. “Vulnerability resilience and collapse ofsociety,” A ReviewofModels and Possible Climatic Appli-cations, Toronto, Canada, Institute for Environmental Studies, University of Toronto.
    Tiwari, A., & Premi, R., 2016. “Vulnerability Analysis of a Factory using Highly Flammable Gases,” IJSRSET, 2(2), 910–914.
    Treado, C. D., & Giarratani, F., 2008. “Intermediate steel-industry suppliers in the Pittsburgh region: a cluster-based analysis of regional economic resilience,” Economic Development Quarterly, 22(1), 63–75.
    Turner, B. L., Kasperson, R. E., Matson, P. A., McCarthy, J. J., Corell, R. W., Christensen, L., ... & Polsky, C., 2003. “A framework for vulnerability analysis in sustainability science,” Proceedings of the national academy of sciences, 100(14), 8074–8079.
    UNISDR, U., 2012. “Disaster risk reduction and climate change adaptation in the Pacific: an institutional and policy analysis. Suva,” Fiji: UNISDR, UNDP.
    Wang, D., Zheng, J., Song, X., Ma, G., & Liu, Y., 2017. “Assessing industrial ecosystem vulnerability in the coal mining area under economic fluctuations,” Journal of Cleaner Production, 142(4), 4019–4031.
    Yan Jingyi, Zhang Lijing, Tao Gang, Jiang Shu, & Guo Hanyu., 2016. “The Assessment of Comprehensive Vulnerability of Chemical Industrial Park Based on Entropy Method and Matter-element Extension Model,” MATEC Web of Conferences, 61.
    Yodmani, S., 2001. “Disaster risk management and vulnerability reduction.”
    Zhang, M., Xiang, W., Chen, M., & Mao, Z., 2018. “Measuring social vulnerability to flood disasters in China,” Sustainability, 10(8), 2676.
    Zhang, Y., Lindell, M. K., & Prater, C. S., 2009. “Vulnerability of community businesses to environmental disasters. Disasters,” 33(1), 38–57.

    網路資料
    許靜文,2016,全球氣候變遷調適在臺灣:對脆弱性與韌性的重視,風險社會與政策研究中心,檢索日期:2020年7月12日,https://reurl.cc/N6dQMk。
    單信瑜,2019,九二一20年(六):沒有校園防災,就沒有企業防災,鳴人堂,檢索日期:2020年9月30日,https://reurl.cc/MZKyjp。
    Description: 碩士
    國立政治大學
    地政學系
    108257007
    Source URI: http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G0108257007
    Data Type: thesis
    DOI: 10.6814/NCCU202100961
    Appears in Collections:[地政學系] 學位論文

    Files in This Item:

    File Description SizeFormat
    700701.pdf7389KbAdobe PDF20View/Open


    All items in 政大典藏 are protected by copyright, with all rights reserved.


    社群 sharing

    著作權政策宣告 Copyright Announcement
    1.本網站之數位內容為國立政治大學所收錄之機構典藏,無償提供學術研究與公眾教育等公益性使用,惟仍請適度,合理使用本網站之內容,以尊重著作權人之權益。商業上之利用,則請先取得著作權人之授權。
    The digital content of this website is part of National Chengchi University Institutional Repository. It provides free access to academic research and public education for non-commercial use. Please utilize it in a proper and reasonable manner and respect the rights of copyright owners. For commercial use, please obtain authorization from the copyright owner in advance.

    2.本網站之製作,已盡力防止侵害著作權人之權益,如仍發現本網站之數位內容有侵害著作權人權益情事者,請權利人通知本網站維護人員(nccur@nccu.edu.tw),維護人員將立即採取移除該數位著作等補救措施。
    NCCU Institutional Repository is made to protect the interests of copyright owners. If you believe that any material on the website infringes copyright, please contact our staff(nccur@nccu.edu.tw). We will remove the work from the repository and investigate your claim.
    DSpace Software Copyright © 2002-2004  MIT &  Hewlett-Packard  /   Enhanced by   NTU Library IR team Copyright ©   - Feedback