政大機構典藏-National Chengchi University Institutional Repository(NCCUR):Item 140.119/131234
English  |  正體中文  |  简体中文  |  Post-Print筆數 : 27 |  全文笔数/总笔数 : 113822/144841 (79%)
造访人次 : 51797398      在线人数 : 538
RC Version 6.0 © Powered By DSPACE, MIT. Enhanced by NTU Library IR team.
搜寻范围 查询小技巧：
  • 您可在西文检索词汇前后加上"双引号"，以获取较精准的检索结果
  • 若欲以作者姓名搜寻，建议至进阶搜寻限定作者字段，可获得较完整数据
    •  进阶搜寻


    请使用永久网址来引用或连结此文件: https://nccur.lib.nccu.edu.tw/handle/140.119/131234


    题名: 氣候變遷對離婚率之影響-以臺灣地區為例
    Impact of Climate Change on Divorce Rate—Evidence from Taiwan
    作者: 何世翔
    Ho, Shi-Xiang
    贡献者: 黃智聰
    Huang, Jr-Tsung
    何世翔
    Ho, Shi-Xiang
    关键词: 氣候變遷
    離婚率
    空間計量分析
    空間相依
    臺灣
    Climate change
    Divorce rate
    Spatial measurement analysis
    Spatial dependence
    Taiwan
    日期: 2020
    上传时间: 2020-08-03 18:21:26 (UTC+8)
    摘要: 氣候變遷是當前人類面臨，而且正在發生的事實，根據大量理論顯示，氣候影響人的行為特性；另一方面，婚姻是人口再替換必要的社會關係，維繫著社會的安定和諧，而離婚的空間特徵是社會地理學關注的重要問題，本文以2011-2018年間臺灣地區（縣、市）離婚率變化為資料來源，結合傳統數理分析和空間計量分析方法探究其空間依賴性與空間異質性特徵。結果表明：1. 氣候變遷顯著影響臺灣地區各縣市離婚率表現，氣溫增加對離婚具有正向影響；2. 2011-2018年間地區間離婚率空間分佈呈現出都市高鄉村低的分異態勢；3. 地區間離婚現象的高低分異與產業比例有關；4. 家庭收入的增加對離婚具有顯著的正向影響；5. 離婚率在空間相依上具有顯著的正向影響。
    Climate change is a fact that human beings are currently facing and is happening. According to a large number of theories，climate affects the behavioral characteristics of people；on the other hand，marriage is the necessary social relationship for the population to replace the social stability and harmony，and the space for divorce Characteristic is an important issue of social geography. This paper takes the change of divorce rate in Taiwan (county and city) from 2011 to 2018 as the data source，and combines traditional mathematical analysis and spatial econometric analysis methods to explore its spatial dependence and spatial heterogeneity. The results show that: 1. Climate change significantly affects the performance of divorce rates in various counties and cities in Taiwan, and the increase in temperature has a positive effect on divorce; 2. The spatial distribution of divorce rates between regions from 2011 to 2018 shows a trend of high urban and rural low differentiation; 3. The difference in divorce between regions is related to the proportion of industries; 4. An increase in family income has a significant positive effect on divorce; 5. The divorce rate has a significant positive effect on spatial dependence.
    參考文獻: 壹、中文文獻
    王淑楨（2018）。人類行為與社會環境。新北：揚智。
    王開泳、丁俊、王甫園（2016）。全面二孩政策對中國人口結構區域人口空間格局的影響。地理科學進展，35（11），1305-1316。
    汪中和（2017）。當快樂腳不再快樂－認識全球暖化。台北：五南。
    吳秀琳（2019）。婚姻財產制之改革芻議—分別財產制之修正與婚姻財產協議之訂立。國立成功大學法律研究所碩士學位論文，未出版，台南。
    吳惠林、林桓億、郭祐誠（2012）。我國離婚率發展之趨勢、影響及因應作法之研究。內政部戶政司委託之專題研究成果報告（編號：X1001223），未出版。
    吳佳玲（2017）。外籍配偶對台灣地區各縣市離婚率之影響。國立政治大學社會學所碩士學位論文，未出版，台北。
    李大正與楊靜利（2004）。台灣婦女勞動參與類型與歷程之變遷。人口學刊，28，頁109-134。
    李在軍、劉帥賓、馬志飛（2017）。中國省域離婚率的空間異質性分析。地理科學進展， 36（10），1313-1320。
    李曉敏（2014）。互聯網普及對離婚率的影響。中國人口科學，3，77-87。
    林濰雅（2017）。中國大陸課稅努力的影響因素―以空間計量模型分析。國立政治大學社會學所碩士學位論文，未出版，台北。
    柏中強，王卷樂，楊雅萍，孫九林（2015)。2015基於鄉鎮尺度的中國25省區人口分布特徵及影響因素。地理學報，70（8），1229- 1242。
    封志明，李鵬（2011）。20 世紀人口地理學研究進展。地理科學進展，30（2），131-140。
    張會平、曾潔雯（2010）。城市女性的相對收入水平及受教育程度差異對婚姻質量的影響。中國臨床心理學雜誌，5，632- 634。
    徐安琪、葉文振（2002）。中國離婚率的地區差異分析」。人口研究，26（4），28-35。
    高月霞、陳仕偉（1994）。臺灣婦女勞動參與行為之因果關係分析」。婦女與兩性學刊，5，1-45。
    陳正和（1997）。台灣戰前與戰後離婚率變動之因果模型。國家科學委員會研究彙刊：人文及社會科學，7（4），562-576。
    陳妍蒨、劉錦添、王齡懋（2016）。失業對離婚的影響。經濟論文叢刊， 44（4），577-610。
    曾長麗（1993）。臺灣地區婦女教育、就業、生育及人口流動與離婚率之探討。國立政治大學教育學所碩士學位論文，未出版，台北。
    蔡騰芳（1998）。婦女婚姻狀態與勞動供給之關係。國立中興大學經濟學研究所碩士學位論文，未出版，台北。
    勞動部統計處（2018）。勞動統計通報（2018年6月5日）。台北：勞動部。
    劉華、楊麗霞、朱晶、陸炳靜（2014）。農村人口出生性別比失衡及其影響因素的空間異質性研究—基於地理加權迴歸模型的實證檢驗。人口學刊，第4卷第36期，頁5-15。
    鄧志松（2006），「選舉的空間因素：以三次總統選舉為例」。國家發展研究，6（1），89-144。
    賴昂廷、林益卿、楊鈺雯、吳美鳳（2012）。氣候變遷與人類健康。內科學誌，23，343-350。
    蘇里云、楊曉鶴、柏國應、李風蘭（2018）。中國人口出生率的空間非均衡性及地域差異分析。重慶理工大學學報（自然科學）， 32（3），249-258。

    貳、外文文獻
    Anderson, C. A. (1989). Temperature and aggression: Ubiquitous effects of heat on occurrence of human violence. Psychological Bulletin, 106(1), 74-96.
    Anderson, C. A. (2001). Heat and violence. Current Directions in Psychological Science, 10(1), 33-38.
    Autor, D., D. Dorn, and G. Hanson (2017). When work disappears: Manufacturing decline and the falling marriage market value of men. National Bureau of Economic Research, 1(2), 161-178.
    Becker, G. S. (1973). A theory of marriage: Part I. Journal of Political Economy, 84(4), 813-846.
    Becker, G. S., E. M. Landes, and R. T. Michael (1977). An economic analysis of marital instability. Journal of Political Economy, 85(6), 1141-1187.
    Binner, J. M. and A. W. Dnes (2001). Marriage, divorce, and legal change: New evidence from England and Wales. Economic Inquiry, 39(2), 298-306.
    Blau, F. D., L. M. Kahn and J. Waldfogel (2000). Understanding young women`s marriage decisions: The role of labor and marriage market conditions. ILR, 53(4), 624-647.
    Berry, H. L., B. Kathryn, T. Kjellstrom (2009). Climate change and mental health: A causal pathways framework. International Journal of Public Health, 55, 123-132.
    Breault, K. D. and A. J. Kposowa (1987). Explaining divorce in the United States - A study of 3,111 counties, 1980. Journal of Marriage and Family, 49(3), 549-558.
    Bullough, V. L. and F. R. Fang (1994). “Marriage, divorce, and sexual relations in contemporary China.” Journal of Comparative Family Studies, 25(3), 383-393.
    Carter, H. and P. C. Glick (1970). Marriage and divorce: a social and economic study. Cambridge, MA: Harvard University Press.
    Chan, M. L. (1999). Married womens’ decision regarding time allocation and the divorce probability. Journal of Ming Chuan University, 4(1), 75-90.
    Collins, W., R. Colman, J. Haywood, M. R. Manning, and P. Mote (2007). The physical science behind climate change. Scientific American, 297(2), 64-73.
    DiFurio, F., W. Lewis, and T. Goode (2012). A regional analysis of divorce rates. International Journal of Business and Social Science, 3(13), 38-43.
    Elhorst, J. P., D. J. Lacombe, and G. Piras (2012). On Model specification and parameter space definitions in higher order spatial econometric models. Regional Science and Urban Economics, 42(1-2), 211-220.
    Friedberg, L. (1998). Did unilateral divorce raise divorce rates? Evidence from panel data.” The American Economic Review, 88(3), 608-627.
    Fritze, J. G., G. A. Blashki, S. Burke, and J. Wiseman (2008). Hope, despair and transformation: Climate change and the promotion of mental health and wellbeing. International Journal of Mental Health Systems, 2(13), 1-10.
    Fu, H. and W. LI (2008). The analysis of the contemporary chinese divorce situation and the marriage forecast. Northwest Population Journal, 29(2), 55-58.
    Glick, P. C. and S. L. Lin (1986). Recent changes in divorce and remarriage. Journal of Marriage and Family, 48(4), 737-747.
    Hausman, J. A., (1978). Specification tests in econometrics. Econometrica, 46(6), 1251-1271.
    Katherine, T. and S. South (1989). Structural determinants of the divorce rate: Across-societal analysis. Journal of Marriage & the Family, 51(2), 391-404.
    Hsing, Y. (2003). Impact of institutional and socioeconomic changes on marital relationship: The case of Taiwan. International Journal of Social Economics, 30(5), 613-618.
    Huang, C. C., I. Garfinkel, and W. J. Han (2001). The contributing factors to divorce and separated mothers in Taiwan: A test of the economic independence hypothesis. Journal of Social Policy and Social Work, 4(1), 45-75.
    Huang, J. T. (2003). Unemployment and family behavior in Taiwan. Journal of Family and Economic Issues, 24, 27-48.
    Johnson, W. R. and J. Skinner (1986). Labor supply and marital separation. The American Economic Review, 76(3), 455-469.
    LeSage J. P. and R. K. Pace (2008). Introduction to spatial econometrics. London: CRC Press Taylor and Francis Group.
    Levin A., C. F. Lin, and C. S. J. Chu (2002). Unit root tests in panel data: Asymptotic and finite sample properties. Journal of Econometrics, 108(1), 1-24.
    Lichte, D. T., F. B. LeClere, and D. K. McLaughlin (1991). Local marriage markets and the marital behavior of black and white women. American Journal of Sociology, 96 (4), 843-867.
    Meehl, G. A., T. Claudia (2004). More intense, more frequent, and longer lasting heat waves in the 21st Century. Science, 305(5686), 994-997.
    Palmer M. (2007). Transforming family law in post-Deng China: marriage, divorce and reproduction. Journal Article, 191, 675-695.
    Michel, R. T. (1977). Why did the U.S. divorce rate double within a decade,” Research in Population Economics, 6, 367-399.
    Musai, M. (2011). The relationship between divorce and economic-social variables in Iran. British Journal of Arts and Social Sciences, 1(2), 89-93.
    Nakonezny, P. A., R. D. Shull, and J. L. Rodgers (1995). The effect of no fault divorce law on the divorce rate across the 50 states and its relation to income, education, and religiosity. Journal of Marriage Family, 57(2). 477-488.
    IPCC (2014). Climate change 2014: Synthesis report. Geneva, Switzerland: IPCC.
    Perry, J. M. and K. Folk (1994). Class, couples, and conflict: effects of the division of labor on assessments of marriage in dual earner families”. Journal of Marriage and Family, 6(1), 165-180.
    Peters, H. (1986). Marriage and divorce: Informational constraints and private contracting. American Economic Review, 76(3), 437-454.
    Peters, H. (1992). Marriage and divorce: reply. American Economic Review, 82(3), 686-693.
    Poumade"re, M., C. Mays, S. LeMer, and R. Blong (2005). The 2003 heat wave in France: Dangerous climate change here and now. Risk Analysis, 25, 1483-1494.
    Platte, E. (1988). Divorce trends and patterns in China: Past and present. Pacific Affairs, 61(3), 428-445.
    Ressler, R. W. and M. S. Waters (2001). Female earnings and the divorce rate: A simultaneous equations model. Applied Economics, 32(14), 1889-1898.
    Slack, T. and L. Jensen (2002). Race, ethnicity, and underemployment in nonmetropolitan America: A 30-year profile. Rural Sociology, 67(2), 208-233.
    Snyder, A. R., S. L. Brown, and E. P. Condo (2004). Residential differences in family formation: The significance of cohabitation. Rural Sociology, 69(2), 235-260.
    Snyder, A. R. and S. L. Brown (2006). Residential differences in cohabitors’ union transitions. Rural Sociology, 7(2), 311-334.
    South, S. J. (1985). Economic conditions and the divorce rate: A time series analysis of the postwar United States. Journal of Marriage and the Family, 47, 31-42.
    Spitze, G. and S. J. South (1985). Women`s employment, time expenditure, and divorce. Article Information, 6(3), 307-329.
    Stevenson B. and J. Wolfers (2007). Marriage and divorce: Changes and their driving forces. American Economic Association, 21(2), 27-52.
    Su, L. Y., Y. Liu, and X. W. Peng (2015). Spatial aggregation and spatial temporal pattern of provincial divorce rate in China. Population Research, 6, 74-84.
    Wang Q. and Q. Zhou (2010). China`s divorce and remarriage rates: Trends and regional disparities. Journal of Divorce & Remarriage, 51(4), 257-267.
    Wang Q. and M. Li (2012). Home computer ownership and internet use in China: Trends, disparities, socioeconomic impacts, and policy implications. First Monday, 17(2). https://doi.org/10.5210/fm.v17i2.3767.
    Wei, W.Q., J. G. Lu, A. D. Galinsky, H. Wu, S. D. Gosling, P. J. Rentfrow, W.J. Yuan, Q. Zhang, Y. Y. Guo, M. Zhang, W.J. Gui, X. Y. Guo, J. Potter, J. Wang, B.T. Li, X. J. Li, Y. M. Han, M. Z. Lv, X. Q. Guo, Y. Choe, W. P. Lin, K. Yu, Q. Y. Bai, Z. Shang, Y. Han, and L. Wang (2017). Regional ambient temperature is associated with human personality. Nature Human Behaviour, 1(12), 890-895.
    Zhang H. and S. K. M. Tsang (2012). Wives’ relative income and marital quality in urban China: The role of perceived equity. Social Justice Research, 25, 406-420.
    描述: 碩士
    國立政治大學
    行政管理碩士學程
    107921211
    資料來源: http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G0107921211
    数据类型: thesis
    DOI: 10.6814/NCCU202001019
    显示于类别:[行政管理碩士學程(MEPA)] 學位論文

    文件中的档案:

    没有与此文件相关的档案.



    在政大典藏中所有的数据项都受到原著作权保护.


    社群 sharing

    著作權政策宣告 Copyright Announcement
    1.本網站之數位內容為國立政治大學所收錄之機構典藏，無償提供學術研究與公眾教育等公益性使用，惟仍請適度，合理使用本網站之內容，以尊重著作權人之權益。商業上之利用，則請先取得著作權人之授權。
    The digital content of this website is part of National Chengchi University Institutional Repository. It provides free access to academic research and public education for non-commercial use. Please utilize it in a proper and reasonable manner and respect the rights of copyright owners. For commercial use, please obtain authorization from the copyright owner in advance.

    2.本網站之製作，已盡力防止侵害著作權人之權益，如仍發現本網站之數位內容有侵害著作權人權益情事者，請權利人通知本網站維護人員(nccur@nccu.edu.tw)，維護人員將立即採取移除該數位著作等補救措施。
    NCCU Institutional Repository is made to protect the interests of copyright owners. If you believe that any material on the website infringes copyright, please contact our staff(nccur@nccu.edu.tw). We will remove the work from the repository and investigate your claim.
    DSpace Software Copyright © 2002-2004  MIT &  Hewlett-Packard  /   Enhanced by   NTU Library IR team Copyright ©   - 回馈