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政大機構典藏 > 國際事務學院 > 期刊論文 > Item 140.119/129877

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题名:	Crisis and Contract Breach: The Domestic and International Determinants of Expropriation
作者:	李佳怡 Lee, Chia-yi Jonston, Noel P. Jensen, Nathan M. Sahin, Hadi
贡献者:	國際事務學院
关键词:	Expropriations;Economic crisis;Multilateral financial institutions;Reputational costs;Retaliation costs
日期:	2019-07
上传时间:	2020-05-26 14:17:25 (UTC+8)
摘要:	In this paper we address how external factors shape government decisions to break or uphold contracts, specifically focusing on how economic shocks and support from multilateral financial institutions shape leader decisions to expropriate from investors. Contrary to conventional wisdom and much of the existing scholarship, we argue that governments are less likely to expropriate from investors during periods of economic crisis since governments become more sensitive to the reputational costs of expropriating. We also argue that governments are sensitive to the levers other governments may use to punish for expropriation, such as withholding IMF and World Bank funding. We test these theories using a dataset of investment expropriations and case studies of thirty-four investment disputes that were resolved pre-claim. Our econometric analysis suggests that expropriations of foreign investment are less common during periods of crisis, and that countries under IMF agreements or borrowing from the World Bank are less likely to expropriate. Our thirty-four case studies, which substantiate the role of government reputation and multilateral pressure, support our statistical results.
關聯:	Review of International Organizations, pp.00-00
数据类型:	article
DOI 連結:	https://doi.org/10.1007/s11558-019-09363-z
DOI:	10.1007/s11558-019-09363-z
显示于类别:	[國際事務學院] 期刊論文

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