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Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item:
https://nccur.lib.nccu.edu.tw/handle/140.119/12450
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Title: | Value-at-Risk Analysis for Long Term Interest Rate Futures: Fat-Tail and Long Memory in Return Innovations |
Authors: | Wu,Ping-Tsung;Shieh,Shwu-Jane 謝淑貞 |
Keywords: | Long memory;FIGARCH(1,d,1);Value-at-Risk;Kupiec LR test;Daily price limits |
Date: | 2006-02 |
Issue Date: | 2008-12-03 13:51:06 (UTC+8) |
Abstract: | This article uses the FIGARCH(1,d,1) models to calculate daily Value-at-Risk (VaR) for T-bond interest rate futures returns of long and short trading positions based on the normal, Student-t, and skewed Student-t innovations distributions. The empirical results show that based on Kupiec LR failure rate tests, in-sample and out-of-sample VaR values calculated using FIGARCH(1,d,1) model with skewed Student-t innovations are more accurate than those generated using traditional GARCH(1,1) models. Moreover, we find that the in-sample values of VaR are subject to a significant positive bias, as pointed out by Inui et al. [Inui, K., Kijima, M., Kitano, A., 2003. VaR is subject to a significant positive bias, working paper]. |
Relation: | Journal of Empirical Finance, 14(2), 248-259 |
Data Type: | article |
DOI 連結: | http://dx.doi.org/http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jempfin.2006.02.001 |
DOI: | 10.1016/j.jempfin.2006.02.001 |
Appears in Collections: | [國際經營與貿易學系 ] 期刊論文
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248-259.pdf | | 248Kb | Adobe PDF2 | 915 | View/Open |
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