政大機構典藏-National Chengchi University Institutional Repository(NCCUR):Item 140.119/123148
English  |  正體中文  |  简体中文  |  Post-Print筆數 : 27 |  全文笔数/总笔数 : 113648/144635 (79%)
造访人次 : 51677309      在线人数 : 548
RC Version 6.0 © Powered By DSPACE, MIT. Enhanced by NTU Library IR team.
搜寻范围 查询小技巧：
  • 您可在西文检索词汇前后加上"双引号"，以获取较精准的检索结果
  • 若欲以作者姓名搜寻，建议至进阶搜寻限定作者字段，可获得较完整数据
    •  进阶搜寻


    请使用永久网址来引用或连结此文件: https://nccur.lib.nccu.edu.tw/handle/140.119/123148


    题名: 中國大陸秈稻生產之經濟分析
    A Techno-Economic Analysis of Mainland China`s Indica Rice Type Production
    作者: 施正屏
    Shih, Cheng-Pin
    贡献者: 中國大陸研究
    关键词: 價格彈性;生產要素需求彈性;生產要素組合之技術進步傾向
    input demand and output supply elasticities;technical change
    日期: 1999-01
    上传时间: 2019-04-25 11:10:56 (UTC+8)
    摘要: 中國大陸自一九七八年改革開放以來，農產品統派購制度逐步取消，農產品由傳統的計畫生產逐步邁向生產經營自主化，使得農業生產結構發生了顯著的變化。秈稻生產於九○年代起大幅萎縮，出現供需嚴重失衡的情形。而另一方面秈稻生產成本在生產資料價格大帳上漲之壓力下，農民條益銳減，引起農民強烈的反彈。在比較利益的影響下，中國大陸經濟發達省分，農村拋荒情形日益嚴重，尤其農民與非農民所得差距日益擴大，地區間矛盾衝突愈形尖銳，使中國大陸在處理糧食問題時面對了極為嚴峻的挑戰。本研究針對大陸秈稻問題，由大陸及各農區產量、耕作面積、收購價格、各種生產投入要素成本，逐一分析，並建立計量模型，估算出各省秈稻之價格彈性、生產要素需求彈性及生產要素組合之技術進步傾向對其生產要素投入的影響，提供決策者及生產者較佳之決策參考，以兼顧國家糧食安全與生產都利潤之雙重目標。本研究主要發現有二點：第一、長期而言中國大陸糧食生產仍將面對高成本、低效率的惡劣環境，下一世紀開始前期中國大陸極有可能出現糧食總產量短缺、結構性短缺及地區性短缺之困境。第二、秈稻生產技術進步傾向於多使用資本與技術密集之生產要素投入，減少勞力生產要素，將引起大陸農村剩餘勞動力移轉之結構性問題，故農業產業化將是未來中國大陸能否順利解決大陸三農（農業、農村、農民）問題的關鍵因素。
    Considerable attention has been given to the proper measurement, estimation, and analysis of the technological structure of Chinese agriculture. During the past four decade, studies motivated by duality theory have also analyzed regional farm production. No attempt has been made, however to analyze the Indica type rice production structure of Mainland China. China is a large nation in terms of both population and economy. Due to rapid development of industrial and commercial sectors, China`s agricultural sector has experienced substantial change in its production structure and profitability. One immediate impact of land reform was constrained expansion in farm size. Lester Brown points out that if countries become densely populated before industrialization takes place, they inevitably suffer a heavy loss of cropland. This loss of cropland quickly overrides the rise in land productivity, leading to a decline in grain production. The acrage of cultivated land of Indica type rice dropped from 31.8 million hectares to 27.4 million hectares. The output of Indica type rice decreased sharply in 1990`s. President Jiang Zemin warned that ”lagging agricultural growth could spawn problems that would threaten inflation, stability, and national economic development”. He indicated that some developed coastal areas where industrialization was particularly rapid had suffered a precipitous drop in the amount of acreage under cultivation, saying that this is ”a trend which must be reversed”. The purpose of this study is to exam the structure of agricultural production in the Mainland China using a ”single-output, multiple inputs” variable profit model. Specifically, input demand and output supply elasticities were estimated for Indica type rice and five inputs. 1.The effects of technical change on input were capital intensive and labor saving in nature for Indica type rice. This indicates the increasing use of inputs which are biased toward machinery and seed and against labor. The interrelatedness of the results from this analysis of farm production has significance for policy formulation. 2.The impact of single price change on all other inputs can easily be determined in such an integrated framework.
    關聯: 中國大陸研究, 42(2),
    数据类型: article
    显示于类别:[中國大陸研究 TSSCI] 期刊論文

    文件中的档案:

    档案 描述 大小格式浏览次数
    421.pdf1111KbAdobe PDF288检视/开启


    在政大典藏中所有的数据项都受到原著作权保护.


    社群 sharing

    著作權政策宣告 Copyright Announcement
    1.本網站之數位內容為國立政治大學所收錄之機構典藏，無償提供學術研究與公眾教育等公益性使用，惟仍請適度，合理使用本網站之內容，以尊重著作權人之權益。商業上之利用，則請先取得著作權人之授權。
    The digital content of this website is part of National Chengchi University Institutional Repository. It provides free access to academic research and public education for non-commercial use. Please utilize it in a proper and reasonable manner and respect the rights of copyright owners. For commercial use, please obtain authorization from the copyright owner in advance.

    2.本網站之製作，已盡力防止侵害著作權人之權益，如仍發現本網站之數位內容有侵害著作權人權益情事者，請權利人通知本網站維護人員(nccur@nccu.edu.tw)，維護人員將立即採取移除該數位著作等補救措施。
    NCCU Institutional Repository is made to protect the interests of copyright owners. If you believe that any material on the website infringes copyright, please contact our staff(nccur@nccu.edu.tw). We will remove the work from the repository and investigate your claim.
    DSpace Software Copyright © 2002-2004  MIT &  Hewlett-Packard  /   Enhanced by   NTU Library IR team Copyright ©   - 回馈