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    政大機構典藏 > 商學院 > 財務管理學系 > 學位論文 >  Item 140.119/116768


    Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: https://nccur.lib.nccu.edu.tw/handle/140.119/116768


    Title: 股利支付率與未來獲利能力成長之關聯性分析
    The Analysis of the Relationship between Dividend Payout Ratio and the Growth of Future Profitability
    Authors: 周文楷
    Chou, Wen Kai
    Contributors: 岳夢蘭
    周文楷
    Chou, Wen Kai
    Keywords: 股利支付率
    成長機會
    自由現金流量假說
    Dividend payout ratio
    Growth opportunity
    Free cash flow theory
    Date: 2017
    Issue Date: 2018-04-09 15:39:25 (UTC+8)
    Abstract: 本篇論文主要探討股利支付率與未來獲利能力成長的關聯性。過去相關文獻專注在股利變化率與未來盈餘成長的關係，股利支付率的文獻則較少。本研究以1991至2016年台灣上市、上櫃公司為樣本，利用固定效果模型來進行分析，實證結果發現股利支付率與未來獲利能力成長的關係呈顯著正相關。本研究根據文獻在迴歸模型中加入成長機會代理變數來檢驗股利支付率與未來獲利能力成長的正向關係是否能以自由現金流量假說解釋，實證結果與文獻一致，說明當成長機會愈低，台灣上市櫃公司之股利支付率與未來獲利能力成長之關聯性愈強，透過將剩餘的自由現金流量以股利發放的形式返還予股東，能減少公司之代理成本，市場上的投資機會未受到市場的競爭而使報酬率高於預期，因此出現公司股利支付率愈高，未來獲利能力成長愈高的現象。
    This study examines the relationship between dividend payout ratio and the growth of future profitability. Previous literatures mainly focused on the relationship between dividend change rate and future earnings growth instead of dividend payout ratio. The sample of this study includes companies listed on Taiwan Stock Exchange and the OTC market from 1991 to 2016. Results of the fixed effect model shows that there is a significantly positive relationship between dividend payout ratio and the growth of future profitability. Proxy variables for growth opportunities are used in the　fixed effect model to further verify whether the positive relationship can be explained by free cash flow theory. Our results support the explanation, indicating that the positive relationship between dividend payout ratio and the growth of future profitability is stronger when growth opportunities are low. Companies can reduce agency costs by paying out dividends to shareholders, and the returns of investment opportunities on the market are unaffected by competition force, which results in the counter-intuitive phenomenon of higher dividend payout ratio and subsequent growth of future profitability.
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    Description: 碩士
    國立政治大學
    財務管理研究所
    104357014
    Source URI: http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G0104357014
    Data Type: thesis
    Appears in Collections:[財務管理學系] 學位論文

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