政大機構典藏-National Chengchi University Institutional Repository(NCCUR):Item 140.119/114487
English  |  正體中文  |  简体中文  |  Post-Print筆數 : 27 |  Items with full text/Total items : 113656/144643 (79%)
Visitors : 51719610      Online Users : 624
RC Version 6.0 © Powered By DSPACE, MIT. Enhanced by NTU Library IR team.
Scope Tips:
  • please add "double quotation mark" for query phrases to get precise results
  • please goto advance search for comprehansive author search
    •  Adv. Search
    Home ‧ Login ‧ Upload ‧ Help ‧ About ‧ Administer Goto mobile version


    Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: https://nccur.lib.nccu.edu.tw/handle/140.119/114487


    Title: 台北市選民分裂投票之研究民國八十七年市長市議員選舉之分析
    Split-Ticket Voting in 1998 Taipei Mayoral and City Council Elections
    Authors: 吳怡銘
    Wu, Yi-Ming
    Keywords: 區位謬誤;分裂投票;台北市選舉;策略投票
    ecological fallacy;split-ticket voting;Taipei election strategic voting
    Date: 2001-05
    Issue Date: 2017-11-08 11:33:04 (UTC+8)
    Abstract: 在台灣，許多研究者認為因為多數立法委員享有雄厚的基層實力，所以在不同選舉中，可獲得機乎同一批選民的支持，此篇論文即著眼於，檢證這個假設。此篇論文所採用的研究方法是分析候選人得票率最高的地區，在此地區尋找不穩定的蹟象。大體而言，我們發現多數候選人的支持基礎並不穩定。於不同次選舉之間，候選人的地盤可能發生不少變動。換言之，有不少候選人是依賴相異的票源基礎而連任。影響候選人地盤穩定最重要的變數是候選人故鄉人口的多寡。來自較大鄉鎮市的候選人，地盤較為穩定。
    It is generally assumed that strong grassroots support ensures thatTaiwanese legislators get support from the same voters over repeated elections.This paper attempts to test this hypothesis.We look at each candidate`sstrongest areas in each election.By comparing these areas overseveral elections,we can search for evidence of instability in his or hervote support.In general,we find that there is far less stability in support patternsthan might be expected.It is rare that all of a candidate`s strongest areasin one election are included in his or her strongest areas in subsequentelections.In other words,many legislators have been elected and reelectedwith significantly different patterns of support.For the overwhelmingmajority of candidates,the crucial variable in determining stabilityis the size of their hometowns.Candidates from large townshipsgenerally have more stable support,while those from smaller townshipshave less stable support.
    Relation: 選舉研究 , 8(1) , 159-209
    Data Type: article
    DOI link: http://dx.doi.org/10.6612%2ftjes.2001.08.01.159-209
    DOI: 10.6612/tjes.2001.08.01.159-209
    Appears in Collections:[Journal of Electoral studies] Journal Articles

    Files in This Item:

    File Description SizeFormat
    8(1)(159-209).pdf6250KbAdobe PDF2431View/Open


    All items in 政大典藏 are protected by copyright, with all rights reserved.


    社群 sharing

    著作權政策宣告 Copyright Announcement
    1.本網站之數位內容為國立政治大學所收錄之機構典藏，無償提供學術研究與公眾教育等公益性使用，惟仍請適度，合理使用本網站之內容，以尊重著作權人之權益。商業上之利用，則請先取得著作權人之授權。
    The digital content of this website is part of National Chengchi University Institutional Repository. It provides free access to academic research and public education for non-commercial use. Please utilize it in a proper and reasonable manner and respect the rights of copyright owners. For commercial use, please obtain authorization from the copyright owner in advance.

    2.本網站之製作，已盡力防止侵害著作權人之權益，如仍發現本網站之數位內容有侵害著作權人權益情事者，請權利人通知本網站維護人員(nccur@nccu.edu.tw)，維護人員將立即採取移除該數位著作等補救措施。
    NCCU Institutional Repository is made to protect the interests of copyright owners. If you believe that any material on the website infringes copyright, please contact our staff(nccur@nccu.edu.tw). We will remove the work from the repository and investigate your claim.
    DSpace Software Copyright © 2002-2004  MIT &  Hewlett-Packard  /   Enhanced by   NTU Library IR team Copyright ©   - Feedback