English  |  正體中文  |  简体中文  |  Post-Print筆數 : 27 |  Items with full text/Total items : 113648/144635 (79%)
Visitors : 51637147      Online Users : 547
RC Version 6.0 © Powered By DSPACE, MIT. Enhanced by NTU Library IR team.
Scope Tips:
  • please add "double quotation mark" for query phrases to get precise results
  • please goto advance search for comprehansive author search
    •  Adv. Search
    Home ‧ Login ‧ Upload ‧ Help ‧ About ‧ Administer Goto mobile version


    Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: https://nccur.lib.nccu.edu.tw/handle/140.119/114471


    Title: 投票意願與經濟不景氣：台灣的情形
    Voter Turnout and Economic Adversity in Taiwan
    Authors: 楊孟麗
    Yang, Meng-Li
    Keywords: 投票率;經濟不景氣;多層線性邏輯迴歸模式
    Turnout;economic adversity;logistic regression;HLM
    Date: 2003-11
    Issue Date: 2017-11-08 11:26:52 (UTC+8)
    Abstract: 本文主要探討經濟不景氣對投票率的影響，除了檢測關於不景氣時的投票率之三個互斥的假設外，並藉用與延伸經濟投票的模式以瞭解哪些心理因素會使投票意願降低。在此之前則先建構台灣不投票選民的側面圖，以作為前者的基礎。方法則是以二層線性輯迴歸模式分析「2001年選舉與民主化調查研究」資料。研究結果無法支持三個互斥理論中的任何一個。而對自已與社會、過去與未來的經濟環境的評估中，只有對社會未來的經濟環境抱持悲觀態度者會有較低的投票意願，其他三種評估都沒有影響，與經濟投票的研究中，只有未來大環境的評估會影響投票方向的發現相若；但如果選民抱持積極態度或明確歸因於執政黨者，則投票意願較高。至於側面圖方面，一般而言，台灣的選民投票意願不受職業與收入的影響。但教育程度愈高者，愈傾向於不投票，與美國的發現不同。而投票意願隨著年齡增長而增加。女性與參加工會社團等組織對於增高投票意願的影響則在顯著邊緣，另一方面，選民對於政府、制度及政治的觀感都不影響投票意願；倒是選民對政治愈熱衷，政治知識愈高及黨派傾向愈濃，則投票意願愈高。
    I investigated the effects of adversity on voter turnout in Taiwan. In addition to testing three exclusive hypotheses regarding turnout in economic adversity, I borrowed and expanded the economic voting theory to better understand the effects. Before doing this, I also constructed a non-voting electorate’s profile, to serve as a base for the economic adversity model. Date were drawn from the ’2001 Taiwan Election and Democratization Survey’ and analyzed in a 2-level logistic regression model. The result did not support any of the three hypotheses. Pessimistic views of future economic condition reduced turnout possibility, which was similar to the ’sociotropic voting’ theory in that only perception of the society’s future matters in the voting decision. Attributing the problem to the government and naming economy as the first priority for improvement significantly improved voting probability. Regarding the non-voting electorate’s profile, older people and less educated people were more likely to vote. This last finding was contradictory to American literature. Women and membership in unions or social groups marginally improved turnout rate. As to psychological factors, only electorate’s own interest in politics, political knowledge and partisanship were effective factors for turnout; evaluations and the system and government responsiveness did not matter.
    Relation: 選舉研究 , 10(2) , 159-191
    Data Type: article
    DOI 連結: 10.6612/tjes.2003.10.02.159-191
    DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.6612%2ftjes.2003.10.02.159-191
    Appears in Collections:[選舉研究 TSSCI] 期刊論文

    Files in This Item:

    File Description SizeFormat
    10(2)(159-191).pdf1725KbAdobe PDF2412View/Open


    All items in 政大典藏 are protected by copyright, with all rights reserved.


    社群 sharing

    著作權政策宣告 Copyright Announcement
    1.本網站之數位內容為國立政治大學所收錄之機構典藏，無償提供學術研究與公眾教育等公益性使用，惟仍請適度，合理使用本網站之內容，以尊重著作權人之權益。商業上之利用，則請先取得著作權人之授權。
    The digital content of this website is part of National Chengchi University Institutional Repository. It provides free access to academic research and public education for non-commercial use. Please utilize it in a proper and reasonable manner and respect the rights of copyright owners. For commercial use, please obtain authorization from the copyright owner in advance.

    2.本網站之製作，已盡力防止侵害著作權人之權益，如仍發現本網站之數位內容有侵害著作權人權益情事者，請權利人通知本網站維護人員(nccur@nccu.edu.tw)，維護人員將立即採取移除該數位著作等補救措施。
    NCCU Institutional Repository is made to protect the interests of copyright owners. If you believe that any material on the website infringes copyright, please contact our staff(nccur@nccu.edu.tw). We will remove the work from the repository and investigate your claim.
    DSpace Software Copyright © 2002-2004  MIT &  Hewlett-Packard  /   Enhanced by   NTU Library IR team Copyright ©   - Feedback