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    Title: 財務報導資訊在偵測財務危機上的有用性-個案研究
    The Usefulness of Financial Reporting Information in Detecting Financial Distress: A Case Study Approach
    Authors: 張家瑋
    Contributors: 張清福
    張家瑋
    Keywords: 財務危機
    財務報表舞弊
    個案研究
    安隆
    世界通訊
    博達
    力霸
    Financial distress
    Fraudulent financial statement
    Case study
    Enron
    WordCom
    Procomp
    Rebar
    Date: 2017
    Issue Date: 2017-08-28 11:22:37 (UTC+8)
    Abstract: 由於各國地雷股事件層出不窮,致使投資人財富遭受巨大損失,若是能事先察覺地雷股的存在,便能使投資人財富有更大的保障。本研究以四家國內外大型的舞弊個案-安隆、世界通訊、博達、力霸作為研究樣本,透過四家公司之財務資訊深入剖析各個案公司之舞弊手法。本研究歸納整理出21個預警指標,以作為未來投資人的評估基礎,以發現危機的早期徵兆,能及早避開地雷股。
    研究發現即便是有進行窗飾財務報表的財務危機公司,仍能透過財務報導資訊中發現其端倪,四家個案公司在獲利性指標、流動性指標、安全性指標都有出現至少一項的紅旗警訊。研究結果顯示在下列指標上有較多家公司同時符合:(1) 獲利性指標。當資產報酬率以及股東權益報酬率過低或逐年下滑;(2)流動性指標。現金流量比率過低或逐年下滑;(3)安全性指標。借款依存度過高或逐年增加,以及流動比率過低或逐年下滑。
    Does financial reporting information itself provide early insightful information in detecting financial distress? Window dressing in financial reporting casts doubtful questions on this issue. As with investors usually taking a look at individual firm’s financial reporting, this study utilizes case study with four cases to address this fundamental role of financial reporting.
    Among the four fraud cases investigated, two are from the United States and the other two are Taiwan companies, including Enron, WorldCom, Procomp, and Rebar. This study sorts out 21 warning indices to evaluate each company’s financial condition and find out the signals for financial distress.
    All of these four cases investigated have at least one red flag signaled in profitability, liquidity and leverage. The most prominent indices in these three dimensions include (1) Profitability---ROE or ROA decreases in trend annully, (2) Liquidity---low cash flow ratio or decreasing in trend annually and low current ratio or decreasing in trend annually, and (3) Leverage---high debt to equity ratio or increasing in trend annually.
    Reference: 一、中文文獻部分
    Mulford, C. W., and E. E. Comiskey.,2004,財務報表解析全書-洞悉企業財務遊戲,許崇源、林宛瑩、林容芊譯,臺北市:商周出版。
    Schilit, H.,2002,識破財務騙術的第一本書 破解當前7大類財報騙術與30種會計花招,陳儀譯,臺北市:美商麥格羅.希爾國際股份有限公司。
    何思湘,2002,美國安隆公司倒閉事件對我國相關立法之啟示(一),會計研究月刊,第199期:17-28。
    吳修辰、郭奕伶、陳春霖,2004,美麗的謊言,商業周刊,第866期。
    吳萬益、林清河,2000,企業研究方法,臺北市:華泰文化。
    李志宏,2016,從財務報表尋找商機,哈佛商業評論 全球繁體中文版,2016年9月號:40-43。
    李榮鎮、賴鈺城、陳賢名,2003,特殊目的個體(SPE)對當前公司治理制度之影響以安隆(Enron)案為例,財稅研究,第35卷,第4期:77-107。
    林柄滄,2002,SPE是啥玩意兒,會計研究月刊,第196期:28-32。
    林柄滄,2002,從安隆效應談如何確保財務報告品質,會計研究月刊,第196期:21-27。
    馬秀如,2002,Enron地雷的啟示,會計研究月刊,第196期:14-27。
    馬秀如,2002,SPE與會計把戲,今日會計,第88期:2-15。
    馬秀如、侯宜廷,2007,受查者舞弊及審計失敗-力霸案之省思,會計研究月刊,第261期:28-47。
    馬嘉應、吳莎莉,2015,探討私募公司債之財務操作-以力霸集團為例,財稅研究,第44卷第1期:150-170。
    張漢傑,2002,安隆醜聞vs.台鳳炒股 財報資訊能成為股價的守護神嗎?會計研究月刊,第197期:32-38。
    張漢傑,2007,破解財務危機 台灣上市危機公司總體檢,臺北市:梅霖文化事業有限公司。
    陳依蘋,2002,美國史上最大破產案-安隆(Enron)深度報導,會計研究月刊,第195期:15-20。
    陳松柏,2004,從博達案看整體會計環境-剖析財報現端倪 道德專業待提昇,會計研究月刊,第225期:54-60。
    陳松柏,2007,看力霸弊案中,財務報表如何唬弄! 財報還原真相營私舞弊難逃,會計研究月刊,第258期:75-81。
    陳肇榮,1983,運用財務比率預測企業財務危機之實證研究,國立政治大學企業管理研究所博士論文。
    黃金澤,2002,Enron案省思-會計及揭露,會計研究月刊,第196期:33-42。
    葉至誠、葉立誠,2002,研究方法與論文寫作,臺北市:商鼎文化。
    葉銀華,2004,透視上市公司 聰明選股,遠離地雷,臺北市 : 商智文化出版。
    葉銀華,2005,蒸發的股王 領先發現地雷危機,臺北市 : 商智文化出版。
    葉銀華、李存修、柯承恩,2002,公司治理與評等系統,台北:商智文化事業公司。
    廖玉惠,2007,小心,有地雷! 財報資訊透端倪謹慎剖析避地雷,會計研究月刊,第257期:28-36。
    臺灣士林地方法院93年金重訴字第3 號刑事判決。
    臺灣高等法院102年金上重更(一)字第16號刑事判決。
    臺灣高等法院98年矚上重訴字第23號,98年金上重訴字第57號刑事判決。
    臺灣最高法院102年臺上字第3250號刑事判決。
    臺灣臺北地方法院96年矚重訴字第2、3號,97 年金重訴字第2 號,97 年金訴字第1號刑事判決。

    二、英文文獻部分
    Altman, E. I. 1968. Financial ratios, discriminant analysis and the prediction of corporate bankruptcy. The journal of finance 23(4): 589-609.
    Altman, E. I., R. G. Haldeman, and P. Narayanan. 1977. ZETA Analysis: A new model to identify bankruptcy risk of corporations. Journal of Banking and Finance 1(1): 29-54.
    Barsky, N. P., A. H. Catanach Jr, S. C. Rhoades-Catanach, and J. C. Thibodeau. 2003. Enron: Did the financial Reporting model really fail. Com. Lending Rev. 18: 5-9.
    Beaver, W. 1966. Financial ratios as predictors of failure. Journal of Accounting Research 4: 72-102.
    Benston, G. J. 2006. Fair-value accounting: A cautionary tale from Enron. Journal of Accounting and Public Policy 25: 465-484.
    Blum, M. 1974. Failing company discriminant analysis. Journal of Accounting Research 12(1): 1-25.
    Bufkins, W. R., and B. G. Dharan. 2004. Red Flags in Enron`s Reporting of Revenues and Key Financial Measures. Enron: Corporate Fiascos and Their Implications : 97-110.
    Catanach Jr, A. H., and S. Rhoades-Catanach. 2003. Enron: A financial reporting failure. Vill. L. Rev. 48(4): 1057.
    Gibney, A. (Director). 2005. Enron: The Smartest Guys in the Room. United States: Alliance Films.
    Koh, H. C., and S.S. Tan. 1999. A neural network approach to the prediction of going concern status. . Accounting and Business Research 29(3): 211-216.
    Ohlson, J. A. 1980. Financial ratios and the probabilistic prediction of bankruptcy. Journal of Accounting Research 18: 109-131.
    Rose, P. S., W. T. Andrews, and G. A. Giroux. 1982. Predicting business failure: A macroeconomic perspective. Journal of Accounting, Auditing and Finance 6(1): 20-31.
    Sidak, J. G. 2003. The failure of good intentions: The WorldCom fraud and the collapse of American telecommunications after deregulation. . Yale J. on Reg. 20: 207-267.
    Theodossiou, P. 1993. Predicting shifts in the mean of a multivariate time series process: an application in predicting business failures. Journal of the American Statistical Association 88(422): 441-449.
    White, G. I., A. C. Sondi, and D. Fried. 2003. The Analysis and Use of Financial Statements. 3rd ed. New York: John Willey & Sons.
    Description: 碩士
    國立政治大學
    會計學系
    104353014
    Source URI: http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G0104353014
    Data Type: thesis
    Appears in Collections:[Department of Accounting] Theses

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