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    题名: 貨幣政策之經濟成長效果
    作者: 江惠珠
    Jiang, Hui-Zhu
    贡献者: 高明瑞
    Kao, Ming-Rea
    江惠珠
    Jiang, Hui-Zhu
    日期: 1998
    上传时间: 2016-05-11
    摘要: 經濟成長是目前各國所希望追求的目標，本文之研究目的在於探討貨幣政策對經濟社會長期產出成長之影響效果。因為貨幣政策是決定通貨膨脹的重要因素，故將焦點放在通貨膨與產出成長的關係。從1950年代開始至今，經濟學家對於通貨膨脹的經濟成長效果各家說法不一，所以本文先行介紹從新古典成長理論發展至內生成長理論的相關文獻，接著即在內生長理論的架構下，藉由理論模型的推導來了解通貨膨脹的傳遞途徑。本文歸納出通貨膨脹為經由直接或間接改變投資水準和投資效率，來達到產出成長效果。實證方法採用傳統的最小平方迴歸估計法及近代發展的共整合檢定法，實證對象為亞洲地區之台灣、韓國、泰國、馬來西亞、印尼五國，分別就通貨膨脹與產出成長可能之關係進行檢測。實證結果發現在通貨膨脹較嚴重的國家，其對經濟成長有負面的影響效果，至於通貨膨脹較緩和的地區，通貨膨脹與產出成長之間的關係較不顯著甚至無關，兩者的關係為非線性。因此政府當局因視實際社會情形，決定是否採行壓抑或穩定通貨膨脹的貨幣政策。
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