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    題名: 在不確定性情況下具有可靠度考量之全球運籌管理模式之探討
    作者: 吳釜蒼
    貢獻者: 林我聰
    吳釜蒼
    關鍵詞: 全球運籌管理
    數量模式
    可靠度
    日期: 2002
    上傳時間: 2016-05-09 16:27:50 (UTC+8)
    摘要:   在全球化的推波助瀾之下,運籌管理中各功能面早已跨越國界的藩籬,企業的合作夥伴因為不再受地理位置侷限,所以多半散佈於全球各地,全球運籌管理的形成使得對供應商、工廠、倉庫、運輸管道的選擇更顯重要。我國廠商過去以優良的製造品質以及較低的代工成本,受國際大廠青睞接獲許多代工訂單,然而隨著代工利潤逐漸降低,加強全球運籌管理能力已是我國企業下一步努力的目標,藉由加強本身的運籌管理能力,提昇在國際市場上的競爭力。
      在過去的全球運籌管理數量模式相關研究上,最大的缺點是未將不確定因素加以考量,且模式的目標多為單純追求總成本的最小化,這類模式所得的計算結果將只是一個理論值,且無法應付多變的全球市場。Vidal and Goetschalckx(2000)曾經探討不確定因素對全球運籌系統的影響,針對匯率波動、需求變化、供應商可靠度、前置時間等四項因素的改變與最小總成本的影響進行分析。本研究延伸其賦予每個供應商一個可靠度的做法,在數量模式的發展上,對貨物自原物料採購至成品完成間的物流過程中,所可能經過的供應商、工廠、倉庫、運輸管道均加入可靠度的考量;並且針對特定成本之下求最大可靠度,以及特定可靠度之上求最小總成本兩種操作情境,對假設之範例資料進行計算與分析。
      本研究對範例資料進行計算與分析,發現在全球運籌管理的成本及可靠度皆有一臨界值。在臨界值之下,企業增加成本所獲得可靠度提升的效益較高;相反的,超過該臨界值,企業增加相同成本卻對可靠度的提升無太大幫助,且臨界值前後的差距相當懸殊。利用本研究提供之方法論,決策者可以在進行全球佈局規劃時,找出影響全球運籌管理的關鍵因子,並加以改善。
    參考文獻: 中文部分:
    [1]王立志,民88,系統化運籌與供應鏈管理,滄海書局。
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    [4]徐壽政,民87,長鞭效應之情境分析模式,國立交通大學工業工程與管理學系碩士論文。
    [5]張永青,民90,『從國際分工看經營管理的挑戰與變革~以筆記型電腦為例』,中國工業工程學會工業工程雜誌,第一期:19~25頁。
    [6]梁定澎,民86,『資訊管理研究方法總論』,中華民國資訊管理學報,資訊管理實證研究方法研討會特刊,第四卷.第一期:1~7頁。
    [7]陳麗玉,民89,全球化供應鏈管理績效評估與探討,國立政治大學資訊管理學系碩士論文。
    [8]陳延元,民90,『我國筆記型電腦廠商2002年概況』。
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    [10]陳春益、謝東緯、李啟安、謝玉霜,民88,『網路分析作業環境之探討』,中華民國第四屆運輸網路研討會。
    [11]董興國,民85,半導體IC工業之產銷體系模擬研究,元智大學管理研究所碩士論文。
    [12]詹進勝,民89,全球運籌與供應鏈管理在台灣企業國際化之整合發展研究,國立台灣科技大學資訊管理學系碩士學位論文。
    [13]彰化銀行,民89,產業動態報導-筆記型電腦產業。
    [14]數位文化,民90,Word、Excel VBA實務應用,第三波資訊股份有限公司。
    [15]蔡宏明,民88,『全球化、數位化與快速化時代的全球運籌管理策略』,經濟部全球資訊網。
    [16]黎漢林,民90,供應鏈管理與決策,儒林圖書公司。
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    英文部分:
    [1]A. Huchzermeier and M.A. Cohen, “Value Operational Flexibility under Exchange Rate Risk,” Operations Research, 44, No1, January-February 1996, pp:69-93
    [2]A.M. Geoffrion, R.F. Powers, “Twenty years of strategic distribution system design: An evolutionary perspective,” Interfaces 25, 1995, pp:105-128
    [3]Arntzen B.C., Brown G.G., Harrison T.P. & Trafton L.L., “Global Supply Chain Management at Digital Equipment Corporation,” Interface, 25(1), January-February 1995, pp:69-93
    [4]B. M. Beamon, “Supply chain design and analysis: Models and methods,” International Journal of production economics 55, 1998, pp:281-294
    [5]Bank, J., Nelson, B. & Carson, J., Discrete-Event System Simulation, Prentice Hall, 1995
    [6]Bhatnagar, Rohit, Chandra Pankaj, S.K. Goyal, “Models for multi-plant coordination,” European Journal of Operation Research 67, 1993, pp:141-160
    [7]C.H. Aikens, “Facility location models for distribution planning,” European Journal of Operation Research 22, 1985, pp:263-279
    [8]C. J.Vidal and M.Goetschalckx, “The Role and Limitations of Quantitative Techniques in the Strategic Design of Global Logistics Systems,” accepted for publication in the Journal of Technological Forecasting and Social Change, April 30,1996
    [9]C. J.Vidal and M.Goetschalckx, “Strategic Production-Distribution Models: A Critical Review with Emphasis on Global Supply Chain Models,” European Journal of Operational Research, 1997 March, pp:1-18
    [10]Carlos J.Vidal, “Modeling the effect of uncertainties on global logistics systems,” Journal of Business Logistics, 2000
    [11]Charles Oman, The Policy Challenges of Globalization and Regionalization, OECD Development Center Policy Brief No.11, 1996, p:8
    [12]Cooper, M. C., D. M. Lambert, and J.D. Pagh, “Supply Chain Management More Than a New Name for Logistics”, The Internal Journal of Logistics Management, pp.1-14, Volume 8, Number 1, 1997
    [13]D.F. Pyke, M.A. Cohen, “Performance characteristics of stochastic integrated production-distribution systems,” European Journal of Operation Research 68, 1993, pp:23-48
    [14]D.J. Thomas, P.M. Griffin, “Coordinated supply chain management,” European Journal of Operation Research 94, 1996, pp:1-15
    [15]D.R, Towill, M.M. Naim, J. Wikner, “Industrial dynamics simulation models in the design of supply chains,” International Journal of Physical Distribution and Logistics Management 22, 1992, pp:3-13
    [16]Davis T., “Effective Supply Chain management,” Slone Management Review, 1993, pp:35-46
    [17]Donald B Rosenfield, “Global and variable cost manufacturing systems,” European Journal of Operational Research, 1996
    [18]Dornier P. P., Ricardo E., Michel F. & Panos K., “Global Operation & Logistics,” John Wiley & Sons, Inc., 1998
    [19]Flaherty T.M., “Global Operations Management,” McGraw-Hill, New York, 1996
    [20]Forrester, J.W., Industrial Dynamics, MIT Press, Cambridge, MA, 1961
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    [22]John T Mentzer; William DeWitt; James S Keebler; Soonhong Min, “Defining supply chain management,” Journal of Business Logistics, 2001, pp:1-25
    [23]Kelle, P., and Alistair Milne, The Effect of (s,S) Ordering Policy on the Supply Chain, Int. J. Production Economics, Vol.59, 1999, pp.113-122
    [24]Kenneth J Petersen, “An empirical investigation of global sourcing strategy effectiveness,” Journal of Supply Chain Management, Spring 2000
    [25]Law, A. M. & Kelton, W. D., “Simulation Modeling & Analysis,” McGraw-Hill, Second Edition, 1991.
    [26]Lee, H. L. & Billington, C., “The Evolution of Supply Chain Management Models & Practice at Hewlett-Packard,” September-October 1995, pp:42-63
    [27]Lee,H. L., and V. Padamanabhan, The Bullwhip Effect in Supply Chains, Sloan Management Review, 1997, pp93-101
    [28]Lee, H. L., V. Padamanabhan, and S. Whang, Information Distortion in a Supply Chain: The Bullwhip Effect, Management Science, Vol.43, No.4, April 1997, pp.546-565
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    [31]Michael J. Bauer, “The E-ffect of the Internet on Supply Chain & Logistics,” World Trade, September 2000, pp:71-76
    [32]Naish, H.F., "Production Smoothing in the Linear Quadratic Inventory Model ", Quarterly Journal of Economics, 104, 1994, pp864-875
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    [34]Roy Blanchard, Five steps to better supply-chain performance, Railway Age, Oct 2001
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    [37]Supply Chain Council, http://www.supply-chain.org
    [38]Verter, V., and, Dincer, M.C. , Global manufacturing strategy, in: Z. Drezner (ed.), Facility Location: A Survey of Applications and Methods, Springer-Verlag, New York, pp:263-282
    [39]William T. Walker, “Defining supply chain management,” APICS Educational & Research Foundation, 1999
    描述: 碩士
    國立政治大學
    資訊管理學系
    89356021
    資料來源: http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#A2010000430
    資料類型: thesis
    顯示於類別:[資訊管理學系] 學位論文

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