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    題名: 適應性預期之財政政策-以能源稅為例
    Fiscal Policy with Adaptive Expectation-Taking Energy Tax as an Example
    作者: 李佳頤
    Lee, Chia Yi
    貢獻者: 毛維凌
    Mao,Wei Ling
    李佳頤
    Lee,Chia Yi
    關鍵詞: 適應性預期
    理性預期
    能源稅
    財政政策
    日期: 2007
    上傳時間: 2016-05-06 16:54:54 (UTC+8)
    摘要: 本文乃探討,當預期政府的政策在未來有所改變時,民眾採適應性預期而非理性預期的學習下,經濟體系中的總體變數間究竟產生何種互動,尤其希望透過檢視利率的動態路徑來觀察期間之動態變化.
    在一稟賦模型及恆常所得的假設下,藉由政府調整能源稅率之議題,分別探討恆久性政策及暫時性政策下之利率路徑.透過模擬之結果得出,在適應性預期的學習下,利率波動的方向與理性預期成反向之波動變化;其次,模型也可得到,稅額改變的幅度越大,或對於能源消費所佔支出比例越高,經濟體系受到的波動幅度也越大之結果.
    納入生產部門並放寬稟賦條件後,若考量要素替代性對於家計單位所得報酬之影響,則兩部門的能源使用量關係方向未定,可能為正,亦可能為負.因此,政府提高能源稅,不一定能降低經濟體系能源的使用量.
    參考文獻: 1. Benhabib, J. and R. Farmer 〈1994〉 ""Indeterminacy and increasing returns,`` Journal of Economic Theory, 63, pp.19-41
    2. Brett, C. and M. Keen〈2000〉 ""Political uncertainty and the earmarking of environmental taxes,`` Journal of Regulatory Economics vol.8, pp.33-44
    3. Evans, G. W., S. Honkapohja, and K. Mitra〈2007〉 Anticipated fiscal policy and adaptive learning. Cambridge Working papers in Economics, 0705
    4. Hoel, M.〈1996〉 ""Should a carbon tax be different across sectors?`` Journal of Public Economics, vol.59, pp.17-32
    5. Marsiliani, L. and T. I. Renstrom 〈2000〉 ""Time inconsistency in environmental policy: Tax earmarking as a commitment solution,`` Economic Journal, vol.110, C123-C138.
    6. Miguel, C. d. and B. Manzano〈2001〉 Optimal oil taxation in a small open economy. Script
    7. Nahuis, R. and P. J. G. Tang〈2005〉 Environmental policy competition and differential tax treatment: A case for tighter coordination.CPB Discussion Paper, No.50
    8. Richer, W. F. and K. Schneider〈2003〉 ""Energy taxation: Reasons for discriminating in favor of the production sector,`` European Economic Review, vol.47, pp.462-476
    9. Rietveld, P. and S. Woudenberg〈2005〉 ""Why fuel prices differ,`` Energy Economics, vol.27, pp.79-92
    10. Smulders, S. and R. Gradus〈1996〉 ""Pollution abatement and long-term growth,`` European Journal of Political Economy, vol.12, pp.505-532
    11. Sugiyama, Y.〈2006〉 The transfer of pollution abatement technology and the environment. Discussion paper series, No.148
    12. Yi, W.〈2006〉 Oil dependence and economic instability. Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Working Paper Series, 2006-060A
    描述: 碩士
    國立政治大學
    經濟學系
    94258003
    資料來源: http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G0094258003
    資料類型: thesis
    顯示於類別:[經濟學系] 學位論文

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