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    题名: 整合統計模式與專家系統之研究
    Integrating Statistical Models and Expert Systems
    作者: 黃建芬
    贡献者: 余千智
    黃建芬
    日期: 1989
    上传时间: 2016-05-04 14:24:21 (UTC+8)
    摘要: 摘要
    近年來隨著統計分析的日受重視，統計套裝軟體之使用率普遍提昇；而現今一般統計套裝軟體，除可提供良好的數值處理功能與便於使用的優點外，對於使用者有二基本假設：(1)熟悉系統操作與程式設計， (2)可正確使用統計方法。故易造成一般非統計專業人員之使用者的誤用與不便。
    本文係引進專家系統之推理、解釋等統計專家知識，與決策支援系統之數量分析、資料粹取管理功能等，實際與統計套裝軟體整合，建構一統計專家系統，以改善統計套裝軟體之缺點，並增加系統之使用者親和性。
    文中首先將過去統計專家系統之相關研究文獻，做一分類回顧與探討；並提出一整合性統計專家系統的觀念、架構，其中設計重點有二：
    (1)統計知識之模組化層次設計：配合統計知識結構與統計分析特性，將統計知識採塊狀模組化層次設計，實際解決統計系統與專家系統之知識整合。
    (2)執行程序庫之設計：控制專家系統與統計軟體系統間之資訊傳遞，實際處理統計系統與專家系統之軟體整合。
    為擴增系統使用層面，此架構又具二功能之子系統：
    (1)統計諮詢系統：利用統計知識庫，提供非統計專業人員一完整之統計問題諮詢；含適當統計模式的選取、分析及分析結果解釋等。
    (2) 統計決策支援系統：提供統計專業人員一親和性之統計決策支援環境；使用者無需統計知識庫的協助，直接進入系統，選取所需統計模式進行分析。
    整合性統計專家系統強調其對各種軟體具有包容性及擴展性；為驗證其可行性，特引用現有軟體，依此觀念架構建立一原型系統，並分別以多元直線迴歸與多項式迴歸二例，代入系統實際執行，以觀察其運作流程。
    參考文獻: 參考文獻
    (一)中文部份
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    (一)英文部份
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    [30] Hand. D.J. (1984) "Statistical Expert Systems : Design." The Statistician. 33. 351-369.
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    [34] Heverlee. P.L.D. (1986) "Building Expert Systems with the Help of Existing Statistical Software: An Example." in Proceeding COMPSTAT 86. Antoni.F.D ., Lauro.N ., and Rizzi.A. (ed.). Physica-Verlag. 277-282.
    [35] Holsapple. C.W ., and Whinston. A.B., (1987) Business Expert Systems. Reading. Irwin.
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    [49] Sprague. Building Reading. R.H.J., and Carlson. E.D. (1986) Effective Decision Support Systems.
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    描述: 碩士
    國立政治大學
    統計學系
    資料來源: http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#B2002005735
    数据类型: thesis
    显示于类别:[統計學系] 學位論文

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