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    政大機構典藏 > 商學院 > 財務管理學系 > 學位論文 >  Item 140.119/90132


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    題名: 所得稅的稅收預測-預測效果與效果監控
    作者: 羅時萬
    貢獻者: 高安邦
    羅時萬
    日期: 1990
    1989
    上傳時間: 2016-05-03 14:15:17 (UTC+8)
    參考文獻: 參考文獻
    一、中文部分
    1.江振南，“政府財政收入預測”，經濟論文第一卷第一期(台北南港:中央研究院經濟研究所，民國六十二年三月)。
    2.李川源，“台灣地區所得稅徵收之預測"，交通大學管理科學研究所碩士論文，民國六十八年六月。
    3.李慶泉，“我國稅收估測方法之研究"，稅務旬刊第895期(民國六十五年八月)及第896期。
    4.林華德、林振國，“關稅稅收之預測"，稅制委員會六十五年專題研究報告(五)。
    5.林華德，“台灣賦稅收入預測"，台大經濟論文叢刊，民國六十七年十一月。
    6.徐偉初，“我國財政收支模型之估計"，中央研究院經濟研究所舉辦(民國七十八年十二月)之台灣經濟計量模型研討會的論文。
    7.曾永清，“台灣地區賦稅收入之預測-時間數列分析法在土地增值稅上之應用"，財稅研究，民國七十五年十一月。
    8.梁國源、王國源，“預測組合權數之分析與詮釋"，經濟論文第十七卷第一期(台北南港:中央研究院經濟研究所，民國七十八年三月)。
    9.蔡招榮，“台灣財產稅月稅收預測-隨機時間序列分析之應用"，交通大學管理研究所碩士論文，民國六十八年六月。
    10.鍾世保，“我國賦稅收入短期預測之研究"，中國統計學報第十四卷第三期，民國六十五年八月。
    11.顏月珠，“幾種預測方法的比較---兼談台灣主要風景區遊客人數的預測”，中國統計學報第十七卷第四期。
    12.魏宗參，“台灣消費稅收之短期預測"，交通大學管理科學研究所碩士論文，民國六十八年六月。

    二、外文部分
    1. .Agnew. C. E. , "Baynesian Consensus Forescates of Macroeconomic Variables",Journal of Forecasting,Vol.4,1985,pp.451-458.
    2. Anderson, R. L. , "Distribution of the Seria1 Correlation Coefficient" ,Ann. Hath. Stat. ,13,1942.
    3. Bails,D.G., and Peppers,L.C. ,"Business Fluctuations -forecasting techniques and app1ication" , (Prentic – Hall,Inc., Englewood Cliffs,N.J.1983)
    4. Box.G.E.P ., and Jenkins.G.H .,” Time Series Analysis Forecasting and Control", (San Francisco:Holden - Day,1976)
    5. Box,G.E.P., and Tiao,G.C. ,"Intervention Analysis with Applications to Environmental and Economic Problem".Journal of the American Statistical Association,Vol.70,1975,p.71.
    6. Clive,W.J.G ., and Ramanathan.R.,"Improve Methods of Combining Forecast",Journal of Forecasting,Vol.3,1984,pp .197-204.
    7. Gardner,E.S ., “Automatic Monitoring of Forecast Errors",Journal of Forecasting,Vol.2,1983.pp.1-21.
    8. Gardner,E.S.,"Exponential Smoothing: The State of the Art" , Journa1 of Forecasting. Vo1. 4.1985. pp .1-28.
    9. Granger.C.W.J ., and Newbold.P ., "Forecasting Economic Time Series". (New York:Academic Press. Inc. 1977)
    10. Gupta.S ., and Wilton.P.C .,” Combination of Economic Forecat:an Odds - Matrix Approach. Journal of Business and Economic Statistics. Vo 1. 6.1988. pp. 373-379.
    11. Hans Levenbach. and James. P. C ., "The Modern forecaster -The Forecasting Process Tbrough Data Anaiysis",1985.
    12. Harvey,A.C ., "The Econometric Analysis of Time Series" (Phillip Allan,1981)
    13. Kao.AN-Pang."The Forecasting Performance of Alternatiye Techniques: An Application To Groundfisb Prices In The U.S.".University Microfilms International A Beil and Howeil Information Company. 1986.
    14. Kulsheshths.J.D.S.,and Akinfemiwa.A ., "A Comparison of Alternative Approaches To Forecasting Cattle Prices In Canada", Department Of Agricultural Economics University Of Saskatchewan, 1982.
    15. Makridakis,S ., Wheelwrigh,S., and McGee.V ., "Forecasting Methods and Applications" .2nd. ed., (John Wiley and Sons,Inc. ,1983)
    16. Mahmoud.Essam,"Accuracy in Forecasting:A Survey",Journal of Forecasting.Vol.3.1984,pp.139-159.
    17. Montgomery,D.C ., and Johnson,L.A.,"Forecasting and Time Series Analysis" , (McGraw - Hill. Inc. ,1976)
    18. Naik,Gopal, and Raymond,H.Leuthold,"A Note on Qualitative Forecast Evaluatioo",American &.ricultural Economics Association,1986,pp.721-726.
    19. Ne1son. C. R ., "Aprlied Time Series Analysis for Managerial Forecasting", (Ssn Fraancisco: Ho1den - Day, Inc .1976)
    20. Pinelyck, R. S ., and Rubinfeld. D.L.,"Econometric Model and Economic Forecasts". (McGraw - Hill Book Co ., 1981)
    21. Quenouille, M.H ., "Approximate Tests of Correlation In Time Series",Jour,Royal Stat. Soc.Bll,1949.
    22. Robert, G.B ., "Smoothing Forecasting and Prediction-of Discrere Time Series" , (Prencite - Ha11, Inc ., 1962)
    23. Robert, H.S ., "Applied Statistical Time Serier Analysis",(Prencite- Hall, Inc ., 1988)
    24. John, E.H., and Authur, G.R. ,"Business Forecasting". (Allyn and Bacoo,1989)
    25. Thomopoulos, N . T. ,”Apr1ied forecasting Methods". (Plentice-Hall. Inc. ,1980)
    27 Tsay, R.S ., and Tiao, G.C ., "Consistent Estimates of Autoregressive Parameters and Extended Ssmple Autocorrelation Function for Stationary and Noostatiooary ARHA Models".Journal of the American Statistical Association,Vol.79,1984.pp.84-96.
    28. Sullivan. W. G. , "Foundamentals of Forecasting", (Prentice Hall, Inc., 1977)
    29. Vandaele, W ., "Applied Time Series and Box-Jenkins Models"(Academic Press,Ioc.,1983)
    描述: 碩士
    國立政治大學
    財政學系
    資料來源: http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#B2002005332
    資料類型: thesis
    顯示於類別:[財務管理學系] 學位論文

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