| Reference: | (一)財務理論方面的參考文獻
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15.Ferson, W.E. and Merrick, J.J.(1987)" Non-Stationarity and Stage-of-the-Business-Cycle Effects In Consumption-Based Asset Pricing Relations
", Journal of Financial Economics, 18, 127-146.
16.Gaudet, G and Howitt, P.(1989)" A Note on Uncertainty and the Hotelling Rule ",Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, 16, 80-86.
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18.Grossman, S.J. Melino, A. and Shiller, R.J.(1987) " Estimating the Continuous-Time Consumption-Based Asset-Pricing Model", Journal of Business & Economic Statistics,5, 315-327.
19.Grossman, S.J. and Shiller, R.J.(1982)" Consumption Correlatedness and Risk Measurement In Economies with Non-Traded Asset and Heterogeneous Information " Journal of Financial Economics, 10, 195-210.
20.Hansen, L.P and Singleton, K.J.(1983)" Stochastic Consumption, Risk Aversion, and the Temporal Behavior of Asset Return N, Journal of Political Economy, 91, 249-265.
21.Harvey, C.R.(1988)" The Real Term Structure and Consumption Growth", Journal of Financial Economics , 22, 305-333.
22.Harvey, C.R.(1989)" Forecasts of Econonic Growth from the Bond and Stock Markets ", Financial Analysts Journal, 45, 38-45.
23.Kazemi, H.B.(1988)" An Alternative Testable Form of the Consumption CAPM H, The Journal of Finance, 43, 61-70.
24.Keppe, H.J. and Weber, M.(1990)" Stochastic Dominance with Incomplete Information on Probabilities ", European Journal of Operational Research, 43, 350-355.
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27.Merton, R,C.(1971) " Optimum Consumption and Portfolio Rules in a Continuous-Time Model", Journal of Economic Theory, 3, 373-413.
28.Merton, R.C.(1973) " An Intertemporal Capital Pricing Model ", Econometrica, 41, 867-887.
29.Mankiw, N.G. and` Shapiro, M.D.(1986) " Risk and Return: Consumption Beta Versus Market Beta ", The Review of Economics and Statistics, 452-459.
30.0bstfeld, M(1986) " Capital Controls, The Dual Exchange Rate, and Devaluation v, Journal of International Economics, 20, 1-20.
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32.Rubinstein(1976) " The Valuation of Uncertain Incone Streams and the Pricing of options ", Bell Journal of Economics, 7, 407-425.
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34.William, J.T.(1977) " Capital Asset Prices with Heterogeneous Beliefs", Journal of Finace, 5 , 219-239.
(二)時間數列方面的參考文獻
35.Akaike, H.(1976) "Canonical Correlations Analysis of Time Series and the Use of an Information Criterion" in Mehra, R. and Lainiotis, D.G. (eds.), Advance and Case Studies in System Identification, New York: Academic Press, 27-95.
36.Cameron, A.V. (1982) " Interest Rate Forecasting and Portfolio Analysis Using the State Space Forecasting System" in Anderson, O.D. and Perryman, M.R. (eds.), Applied Time Series Analysis ,43-52.
37.Artis, M.J. and Zhang,W.(1990) "BVAR Forecasts for the G-7", International Journal of Forecasting, 6, 349-362.
38.Bessler, D.A. and Kling, J.L.(1986) " Forecasting Vector Autoregressions with Bayesian Prior", Amercan Agricutural Economics Association, 144-151.
39.Boero, G.(1990) " Comparing Ex-ante Forecasts from a SEM and VAR Model: an Application to the Italian Economy?, Journal of Forecasting, 9,13-24.
40.Chen, Liu, Lon-Mu and Hudak, G.B.(1990) " Outlier Detection and Adjustment in Time Series Modeling and Forecasting ?,Working Paper.
41.Doan, T.A. and Litterman, R.B.(1987) User`s Manual: RATS, Version 2.10
42.Doan, T.A.(1988) User`s Manual: RATS, Version 3.00
43.Doan, T.A., Litterrnan, R.B. and Sims, C.(1984)" Forecasting and Conditional Projection Using Realistic Prior Distribution", Econometric Review,l-100.
44.Funke, M.(1990) " Assessing the Forecasting Accuracy of Monthly Vector Autoregressive Models ", International Journal of Forecasting, 6, 363-378.
45.Harvey(1981), Time Series Models ,101-119, 9-17.
46.Holden, K and Broomhead, A.(1990) "An Examination of Vector Autoregressive Forecasts for the U.K. Economy " ,International Journal of Forecasting, 6, 11-23.
47.Jonathan D. Cryer(1986), Time Series Analysis, 234-240.
48.Jones, R.H.(1985)~ Time Series Analysis with Unequally Spaced Data "in Hannan, E.J.,Krishnaiah , P.R. and Rao, M.M.(eds.l, Handbook of Statistics 5,157-177.
49.Koehler,A.B. and Murphrese,S.(1988) " A Comparison of Result State Space Forecasting with Forecasts from the Makridakis Competition " ,International Journal of Forecasting, 4, 45-55.
50.Lesage, J.P.(1989) " Incorating Regional Wage Relations in Local Forecasting Models with a Bayesian Prior " ,International Journal of Forecasting, 5,37-47.
51.Litterrnan, R.B.(1979) "Technique of Forecasting Using Vector Autoregressions ", Doctoral Thsis. University of Minnesota.
52.Litterrnan, R.B.(1984) " Forecasting and Policy Analysis with Bayesian Vector Autoregression Model ",Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis Quarterly Review, 30-41.
53.Litterrnan, R.B.(1986a) " Specifying Vector Auto-regressions for Macroeconomics Forecasting "in Goel, P. and Zellner, A.(eds.), Bayesian Inference and Decision Techniques, ch.6 ,79-94.
54.Litterman, R.B.(1986b) " Forecasting with Bayesian Vector Autoregressions-Five Years of Experience ",Journl of Business & Economic Statistics, 4, 25-38.
55.Liu,Lon-Mu and Hudak, G.(1985) " Unified Econometric Model Building Using Simultaneous Transfer Function Equations " in Anderson, O.D.(eds. Time Series Analysis: Theory and Practice, 7, 277-288.
56.Liu,Lon-Mu and Hanssens, D.H.(1982)" Identification of Multiple Input Transfer Function Models" ,Communications in Statistics-Theory and Method
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57.Liu,Lon-Mu(1987)" Sales Forecasting Using Multi-Equation Transfer Function Models ",Journal of Forecasting,6,223-238.
58.Liu,Lon-Mu(1983)" An Integrated Time Series Analysis Computer Program: The SCA Statistical System ",in Anderson, O.D.(eds.), Time Series Analysis: Theory and Practice 4,291-309.
59.Narayan,J.Y. and Aksu,C.(1985)" Causality Testing Based on Ex Ante Forecasts ",in Anderson, O.D.(eds.), Time Series Analysis: Theory and _Practice 7,263-275.
60.SAS/ETS User`s Guide, Version 6,1988.
61.Theil,H.(1963)" On the Use of Incomplete Prior Information In Regression Analysis ",American Statistical Association Journal, 401-414.
62.Todd, R.M.(1984)" Improving Economic Forecasting with Bayesian Vector Autoregression ", Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis Quarterly Review, 18-29.
63.Tsay,R.S.(1990) Multivariate Time Series Analysis.
64.Vinod,H.D. and Hui, B.S.(1983)" A Canonical Correlations Approach to State Vector Analysis of Capital Approptiations and Expenditure "in Anderson, O.D.(eds.), Time Series Analysis: Theory and Practice 4,229-236. |
