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    政大機構典藏 > 商學院 > 統計學系 > 學位論文 >  Item 140.119/89232
    Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: https://nccur.lib.nccu.edu.tw/handle/140.119/89232


    Title: 台灣地區失業率的時空數列分析
    Authors: 陳雅玫
    CHEN, YA-MEI
    Contributors: 吳柏林
    陳雅玫
    CHEN, YA-MEI
    Keywords: 區域經濟
    失業率
    時空數列
    預測模式
    Date: 1992
    1991
    Issue Date: 2016-05-02 15:17:07 (UTC+8)
    Abstract: 三十多年來,台灣經濟快速成長,由開發中國家擠身新興工業國家之列,但是經濟區域卻未能兼顧整體之均衡發展。而產業轉型時期的人力供需及失業率問題,一直為社會學者所關切。另一方面亦產生了都市化的問題,造成南北大都會區(台北市、高雄市)的人口密度激增,且勞動力亦往此少數地區移轉。
    時空數列模型描述地區本身及地區與地區之間的時空動態關係。基在區域經濟及環境科學上應用極為廣泛。本文即以失業率代表勞動市場供需變數的指標,考慮台北市、高雄市與台灣省的地緣關係,應用時空數列的方法,分析台灣地區勞動市場的變動情況,最後並預測未來幾期失業率的變動趨勢。
    Reference: (1)中文部分
    吳忠林,〝台灣的勞動市場與經濟發展〞,台灣經濟研究論叢:第一輯
    經濟發展與政策,中華經濟研究院,民國80年7月,頁82-112
    林忠正,〝揭開我國失業問題的面紗〞,財經風雲,敦理出版社,民國75年9月,頁232-237
    SAS/ETS-套裝程式集中文手冊,松崗電腦圖書資料有限公司

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    Description: 碩士
    國立政治大學
    統計學系
    Source URI: http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#B2002004643
    Data Type: thesis
    Appears in Collections:[統計學系] 學位論文

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