Reference: | 梁國源、周大森 (2002),「臺灣經濟預測引用國際數據之檢視─以WEFA、 IMF 與 OECD 為例」,《臺灣經濟預測與政策》,33(1),41-74。
徐士勛,管中閔與羅雅惠 (2005), 「以擴散指標為基礎之總體經濟預測」,《臺灣經濟預測與政策》, 36(1), 1–28。
陳宜廷,徐士勛,劉瑞文與莊額嘉 (2011),「經濟成長率預測之評估與更新」, 《經濟論文叢刊》,39(1), 1-44。 [Chen, Y.-T., S.-H. Hsu, R.-W. Liou, and O.-C. Chuang (2011),“Evaluating and Updating Economic Growth Rate Forecasts,” Taiwan Economic Review,39(1), 1-44.]
Aruoba, S. B. (2008). Data revisions are not well ehaved. Journal of Money,Credit and Banking, 40, 319–340.
Capistran, Carlos and Gabriel Lopez-Moctezuma. 2010. Forecast Revisions of Mexican Inflation and GDP Growth. Working Paper 2010-11, Banco de Mexico.
Faust, J., Rogers, J. H., \\& Wright, J. H. (2005). News and noise in G-7 GDP announcements. Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, 37(3), 403-419.
Joutz, F. L., \\& Stekler, H. O. (1998). Data revisions and forecasting. Applied Economics, 30, 1011–1016.
Mankiw, N. G., Runkle, D. E., \\& Shapiro, M. D. (1984). Are preliminary announcements of the money stock rational forecasts? Journal of Monetary Economics, 14, 15-27.
Mankiw, N. G., \\& Shapiro, M. D. (1986). News or noise: an analysis of GNP revisions. Survey of Current Business, 66(May), 20-25.
Mincer, J., \\& Zarnowitz, V. (1969). The evaluation of economic forecasts. In J. Mincer (Ed.), Economic forecasts and expectations. New York: National Bureau of Economic Research.
Morgenstern, O. (1963). On the accuracy of economic observations. Princeton: Princeton University Press.
Sinclair, T. M., Gamber, E. N., Stekler, H., and Reid, E. (2012). Jointly evaluating the federal reserve forecasts of gdp growth and inflation. International Journal of
Forecasting, 28(2):309-314.
Sinclair, Tara M. and Herman O. Stekler (2013), Examining the quality of early GDP component estimates, International Journal of Forecasting, 2013, 29 (4),
736-750.
Stekler, H. O. (1967). Data revisions and economic forecasting. Journal of the American Statistical Association, 62, 470-483.
Zellner, A. (1958). A statistical analysis of provisional estimates of gross national product and its components, of selected national income components, and of personal saving. Journal of the American Statistical
Association, 53, 54-65. |